1. Division
— Cyprus
Tue, Apr 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Alphamega Stadium
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.47)
1.53 (league 1.15)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 46.2% | 21.9% | 29.9% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 1
9.0%
1 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Pafos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aris | 0 | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aris | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 53% |
| Attack | 91% | 100% |
| Defense | 27% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aris | Pafos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 57% | 29% | 43% | 64% | 50% | 57% |
| Draws | 21% | 36% | 29% | 14% | 14% | 14% |
| Loses | 21% | 36% | 29% | 21% | 36% | 29% |
Form: Aris: WWWLWDWDWWLWLWDDWWLLLDDDWLDL • Pafos: WLWWWWWLWDWWWWLWLLLWLWDDWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Aris | Pafos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 33 | 18 | 51 | 31 | 23 | 54 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 16 | 14 | 30 | 10 | 17 | 27 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aris | Pafos | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 57% | 86% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 54% | 36% | 54% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 7% | 25% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 11% | 4% | 18% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aris | Pafos | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aris | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aris | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-4 | 7-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 2-0 | 2-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aris | Pafos |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 38% | 62% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 36.2% | 63.8% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Pafos
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.10 @ Bet365
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away2.32 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.87 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.71 @ 188Bet
No2.30 @ Betano
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
footywow.com
Prediction and Tips for:
Aris
vs
Pafos
Expected goals
1.95
Aris xG
League Avg: 1.47
Total
3.48
1.53
Pafos xG
League Avg: 1.15
1x2 probabilities
Home
46.2%
Draw
21.9%
Away
29.9%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 1
9.2%
Tip
2 - 1
9.0%
Tip
1 - 2
7.0%
More chances
1.5+
86%
Chance
2.5+
61%
Chance
3.5+
43%
Chance
BTTS
70%
Chance
🟨 Cards
3 - 5
Exp.
Expected goals (λ): Aris = 1.95 (league 1.47), Pafos = 1.53 (league 1.15)
| Pafos | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aris | 0 | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 5.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 29.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1