Tuggeranong United 2-3 Canberra FC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Tuggeranong United 2-3 Canberra FC: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Capital Territory NPL 🌍 Australia

Wed, May 13 2026 · 09:30

Tuggeranong United

2 - 3

Canberra FC

🏆 Capital Territory NPL

🌍 Australia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.15

League avg: 2.80

Both

4.05

League avg: 5.60

Away

1.90

League avg: 2.80

1X2 Probability

Home

37%

ELO-based: 28%

Draw

21%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

42%

ELO-based: 48%

Goal Probability

2.5+

82%

3.5+

59%

BTTS

80%

Best Score Tips

2 - 18%

2 - 27%

1 - 17%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Tuggeranong United vs Canberra FC.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Canberra FC
		0	1	2	3	4
Tuggeranong United	0	1.7%	3.3%	3.1%	2.0%	0.9%
	1	3.7%	7.1%	6.8%	4.3%	2.0%
	2	4.0%	7.7%	7.3%	4.6%	2.2%
	3	2.9%	5.5%	5.2%	3.3%	1.6%
	4	1.6%	2.9%	2.8%	1.8%	0.8%

ELO Overview

Home

1522+39

League

1521±0

Away

1615+50

ELO Verdict

Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Tuggeranong United	1522	1551	1515	1610	1310	+39
Canberra FC	1615	1653	1583	1905	1516	+50

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Tuggeranong United	3	6	15	5	0	1	17	10	WWWWW
Canberra FC	1	5	12	4	0	1	14	5	LWWWW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Tuggeranong United	5	100%	55%	72%	3.2	1.6
Canberra FC	5	80%	48%	83%	2.8	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Tuggeranong United	3.0	2.5	2.8	1.5	2.0	1.7
Canberra FC	3.5	2.3	2.8	0.5	1.3	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Tuggeranong United	2.8	3.0	1.7	1.5
Canberra FC	2.8	2.3	1.0	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	18.75%		27.27%	16.67%
16-30	6.25%	7.69%		50.00%
31-45	12.50%	23.08%	36.36%
46-60	12.50%	30.77%	9.09%
61-75	25.00%	15.38%	9.09%
76-90	25.00%	23.08%		33.33%

Team Comparison

56%

Form

44%

53%

Attack

47%

38%

Defense

62%

48%

Poisson

52%

H2H

12%

Goals

88%

41%

Total

59%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Tuggeranong United	6-4	2-4		2-1	6 / 4	4 / 2
Canberra FC	5-0	1-5		3-0	5 / 5	1 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Tuggeranong United	1	1	0	0	0	0
Canberra FC	2	1	1	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Tuggeranong United	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Canberra FC	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-08-31	Canberra FC	7 - 2 FT	Tuggeranong United
2025-07-20	Tuggeranong United	1 - 7 FT	Canberra FC
2025-05-25	Canberra FC	5 - 0 FT	Tuggeranong United
2024-08-11	Canberra FC	1 - 0 FT	Tuggeranong United
2024-06-16	Canberra FC	3 - 0 FT	Tuggeranong United
2024-04-28	Tuggeranong United	3 - 2 FT	Canberra FC

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	5.00	Homepage market
Draw	5.00	Homepage market
Away win	1.40	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.28	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+1'	Tuggeranong United	A. Antoniak	Goal	Normal Goal
89'	Canberra FC	D. Colbertaldo	Goal	Normal Goal
81'	Canberra FC	D. Seselja	Goal	Normal Goal
78'	Canberra FC	S. Whitehead	Goal	Normal Goal
69'	Tuggeranong United	A. Antoniak	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Canberra FC Playoffs	1	7	18	6	0	1	22	8	14	WWWWW
Cooma Tigers FC Playoffs	2	9	18	6	0	3	25	14	11	WWWLL
Tuggeranong United Qualification Playoffs	3	8	18	6	0	2	24	14	10	WLWWW
Monaro Panthers Qualification Playoffs	4	7	15	5	0	2	21	11	10	WLLWW
Canberra Juventus Qualification Playoffs	5	7	15	5	0	2	17	11	6	WWLWW
Queanbeyan City Qualification Playoffs	6	6	12	4	0	2	12	5	7	WWWLL
Canberra Olympic	7	8	9	3	0	5	19	24	-5	LWLLL
O'Connor Knights	8	8	9	3	0	5	10	19	-9	LLWWW
Belconnen United	9	7	4	1	1	5	11	16	-5	LLLLW
Brindabella	10	7	3	1	0	6	5	17	-12	LLWLL
Canberra White Eagles	11	8	1	0	1	7	5	32	-27	LLLLL