Expected Goals
2.70 (league 1.28)
1.63 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 54.8% | 17.6% | 21.3% |
best score tips
2 - 1
7.8%
3 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| CSA | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Juazeirense | 0 | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 2.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Juazeirense +32.2, CSA +18.2.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Juazeirense
vs
CSA
Elo gapCSA +15
Home / draw / away34% / 28% / 38%
Expected home share48%
Combined Elo3121.9
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3121.9
Elo home share
48%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Juazeirense | CSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1536 | 1585.9 |
| Form Elo | 1560.1 | 1600.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1540.7 | 1494 |
| Attack Elo | 1468 | 1602.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1517.9 | 1641.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +32.2 | +18.2 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Juazeirense last-5 Elo change: +32.2; CSA last-5 Elo change: +18.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Juazeirense | CSA |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
81%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Juazeirense | CSA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 50% | 80% | 67% | 50% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 0% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
JuazeirenseWWWWL
CSAWWLDW
League goals
| Metric | Juazeirense | CSA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Juazeirense | CSA | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 80% | 100% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 20% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 0% | 40% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Juazeirense | CSA | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Juazeirense | CSA |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Juazeirense | CSA |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-2 | 3-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-0 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Juazeirense | CSA |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 47% | 53% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 65% | 35% |
| H2h | 36% | 64% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 46.7% | 53.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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