Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.28)
0.82 (league 0.86)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.2% | 38.5% | 39.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.9%
0 - 1
21.2%
1 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
| America-RN | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Maguary PE | 0 | 25.9% | 21.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.8% | 11.3% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
America-RN carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 86 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Maguary PE +6.0, America-RN +19.2.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Maguary PE
vs
America-RN
Elo gapAmerica-RN +86
Home / draw / away30% / 20% / 50%
Expected home share38%
Combined Elo3097.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3097.4
Elo home share
38%
Match tone
Good Watch
| Metric | Maguary PE | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1488.1 | 1609.3 |
| Form Elo | 1491.1 | 1626.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1505.8 | 1529.3 |
| Attack Elo | 1516.9 | 1545.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1494.8 | 1671.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.0 | +19.2 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Maguary PE last-5 Elo change: +6.0; America-RN last-5 Elo change: +19.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Maguary PE | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 67% |
| Attack | 38% | 38% |
| Defense | 77% | 85% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
44%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Maguary PE | America-RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 67% | 0% | 40% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
| Loses | 33% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 20% |
Maguary PEWLWLD
America-RNWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Maguary PE | America-RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Maguary PE | America-RN | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 80% | 20% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Maguary PE | America-RN | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Maguary PE | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Maguary PE | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Maguary PE | America-RN |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 45.3% | 54.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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