Skip to content
São Luiz 3-1 Joinville: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 19:00
FT
🏆 Serie D
🌍 Brazil
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.12
League avg: 0.90
Both
1.96
League avg: 1.90
Away
0.84
League avg: 1.00
1X2 Probability
Home
36%
ELO-based: 42%
Draw
34%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
30%
ELO-based: 34%
Goal Probability
2.5+
39%
3.5+
21%
BTTS
42%
Best Score Tips
1 - 016%
0 - 014%
1 - 113%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: São Luiz vs Joinville

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for São Luiz vs Joinville.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Joinville
01234
São Luiz 0 14.1% 11.9% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3%
1 15.8% 13.3% 5.6% 1.6% 0.3%
2 8.8% 7.4% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
3 3.3% 2.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1483+30
League
1515±0
Away
1446-15
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
São Luiz14831496148914231483+30
Joinville14461453142514061447-15
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
São Luiz491233388LWWLD
Joinville591543295DLLDW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
São Luiz 5 47% 17% 89% 0.6 0.4
Joinville 5 33% 17% 83% 0.6 0.6
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
São Luiz 1.5 0.4 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.9
Joinville 1.4 0.5 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.6
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
São Luiz 0.9 1.5 0.9 1.3
Joinville 1.0 0.5 0.6 0.8
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 14.29% 10.00% 11.11% 25.00%
16-30 14.29% 40.00% 22.22% 25.00%
31-45 28.57% 10.00%
46-60 28.57% 10.00% 22.22% 25.00%
61-75
76-90 14.29% 30.00% 44.44% 25.00%
Team Comparison
58%
Form
42%
5%
Attack
5%
6%
Defense
4%
57%
Poisson
43%
2%
H2H
8%
27%
Goals
73%
45%
Total
55%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
São Luiz 2-0 0-1 0-1 2-0 4 / 1 4 / 2
Joinville 2-0 1-2 1-0 2 / 2 1 / 1
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
São Luiz 5 2 3 5 2 3
Joinville 4 3 1 4 1 3
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
São Luiz 0 0% 0 0%
Joinville 1 100.00% 0 0%
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-04 Joinville 2 - 0 FT São Luiz
2025-06-14 Joinville 2 - 1 FT São Luiz
2025-05-26 São Luiz 0 - 1 FT Joinville
2020-11-14 São Luiz 2 - 1 FT Joinville
2020-10-02 Joinville 2 - 0 FT São Luiz
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.60 Unibet
Draw 2.88 Bet365
Away win 3.40 Betano
Over 2.5 4.50 Bet365
Under 2.5 1.30 Pinnacle
BTTS Yes 3.50 Bet365
BTTS No 1.46 1xBet
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
52' São Luiz Thiago Andre Goal Normal Goal
22' São Luiz Nathan Zamith Goal Normal Goal
20' Joinville Thomaz Goal Normal Goal
8' São Luiz Brandao Goal Penalty
League Standings
Local standings cache · Serie D 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Manauara Playoffs 1 9 19 5 4 0 12 5 7 WDWDW
Nacional AM Playoffs 2 9 17 5 2 2 12 8 4 DWLWD
Sao Raimundo Playoffs 3 9 13 3 4 2 10 6 4 WDLLD
Monte Roraima Playoffs 4 9 10 2 4 3 10 11 -1 LDWWD
Manaus FC 5 9 10 2 4 3 7 10 -3 DDWLD
GAS 6 9 2 0 2 7 5 16 -11 LLLDL
Guaporé Playoffs 1 9 21 6 3 0 17 7 10 WWDWD
Araguaína Playoffs 2 9 15 4 3 2 22 9 13 LDLWW
Porto Velho Playoffs 3 9 15 4 3 2 20 9 11 WDDWD
Independência Playoffs 4 9 14 4 2 3 15 8 7 WWWLD
Galvez 5 9 10 3 1 5 14 22 -8 LLWLD
Humaitá 6 9 0 0 0 9 4 37 -33 LLLLL
Gama Playoffs 1 10 26 8 2 0 23 6 17 DWWWW
Luverdense Playoffs 2 10 15 4 3 3 11 10 1 WDWLL
Brasiliense Playoffs 3 10 14 3 5 2 11 10 1 WDWLL
Aparecidense Playoffs 4 10 13 3 4 3 13 12 1 DDLDW
Primavera MG 5 10 12 3 3 4 10 13 -3 LDLWW
Inhumas 6 10 1 0 1 9 3 20 -17 LLLDL
Capital Brasilia Playoffs 1 10 23 7 2 1 16 6 10 WWDWW
Goiatuba EC Playoffs 2 10 19 5 4 1 13 7 6 WDDLD
Mixto Playoffs 3 10 12 2 6 2 10 9 1 DDDWL
Ceilândia Playoffs 4 10 12 3 3 4 9 10 -1 DDWLL
União Rondonópolis 5 10 9 2 3 5 11 18 -7 LDLWD
CEOV Operário 6 10 5 1 2 7 7 16 -9 LLDLW
Trem Playoffs 1 10 20 6 2 2 19 13 6 WLWWL
Águia de Marabá Playoffs 2 10 18 5 3 2 20 11 9 LWWLW
Imperatriz Playoffs 3 10 15 4 3 3 15 10 5 WWLLW
Tuna Luso Playoffs 4 10 13 3 4 3 14 17 -3 LWDWL
Tocantinópolis 5 10 12 3 3 4 18 18 0 WLLWW
Oratório 6 10 4 1 1 8 12 29 -17 LLDLL
Iguatu Playoffs 1 10 20 5 5 0 14 7 7 WDDDW
Maracanã Playoffs 2 10 19 5 4 1 12 6 6 WWWDD
Parnahyba Playoffs 3 10 14 4 2 4 11 13 -2 WDLLW
Sampaio Correa Playoffs 4 10 13 3 4 3 12 6 6 LWWWD
Moto Club 5 10 9 2 3 5 8 15 -7 LLLDL
IAPE 6 10 4 0 4 6 10 20 -10 LLDDL
Ferroviario Playoffs 1 9 18 5 3 1 14 7 7 DWWDW
Piauí Playoffs 2 9 14 4 2 3 12 10 2 WLWDL
Fluminense PI Playoffs 3 9 14 3 5 1 12 8 4 DWDLD
Tirol/CEFAT Playoffs 4 9 10 2 4 3 9 8 1 DWDWL
Altos 5 9 8 2 2 5 6 13 -7 DLLLW
Uniclinic Atletico Clube 6 9 7 1 4 4 4 11 -7 LLLWD
ABC Playoffs 1 9 20 6 2 1 14 6 8 WDWWD
America-RN Playoffs 2 9 18 5 3 1 12 3 9 WDWDD
Maguary PE Playoffs 3 9 13 3 4 2 8 4 4 WDDDD
Sousa Playoffs 4 9 10 3 1 5 4 9 -5 LDLWW
Central SC Playoffs 5 9 10 2 4 3 6 6 0 LDDLD
Laguna 6 9 2 0 2 7 2 18 -16 LDLLL
Treze Playoffs 1 9 17 5 2 2 18 11 7 DLWWW
Serra Branca Playoffs 2 9 14 3 5 1 11 7 4 DWLDW
Sergipe Playoffs 3 9 14 4 2 3 14 12 2 LLDWW
Lagarto Playoffs 4 9 10 2 4 3 13 15 -2 WDDDL
Retrô 5 9 9 2 3 4 10 15 -5 DDWLL
Decisão 6 9 8 2 2 5 10 16 -6 DWLLL
CSA Playoffs 1 9 18 5 3 1 18 7 11 DDWWW
ASA Playoffs 2 9 15 4 3 2 10 6 4 DDWWL
Juazeirense Playoffs 3 9 14 4 2 3 11 9 2 DDLLL
Jacuipense Playoffs 4 9 12 3 3 3 11 13 -2 DDWWL
CSE 5 9 9 2 3 4 10 16 -6 DDLLW
Atlético Alagoinhas 6 9 5 1 2 6 4 13 -9 DDLLW
Uberlandia Playoffs 1 9 18 5 3 1 12 7 5 DDDWW
Betim Playoffs 2 9 12 3 3 3 10 8 2
CRAC Playoffs 3 9 12 3 3 3 6 6 0 LDWDW
Ivinhema Playoffs 4 9 12 3 3 3 8 11 -3 DLLDD
Operario Ferroviario 5 9 9 2 3 4 8 10 -2 WLWLL
ABECAT Ouvidorense 6 9 9 2 3 4 7 9 -2 WWLDD
Democrata GV Playoffs 1 9 16 5 1 3 13 9 4 WWLLW
Tombense Playoffs 2 9 16 4 4 1 13 6 7 WDWDD
Vitória ES Playoffs 3 9 14 4 2 3 12 8 4 DWDWL
Rio Branco ES Playoffs 4 9 10 2 4 3 10 12 -2 LLDDD
Porto BA 5 9 10 3 1 5 9 17 -8 LLDLW
Real Noroeste 6 9 7 1 4 4 6 11 -5 DDDWL
Portuguesa Playoffs 1 10 21 6 3 1 16 6 10 WWWDL
Água Santa Playoffs 2 10 17 5 2 3 16 8 8 LWWDD
Portuguesa RJ Playoffs 3 10 14 3 5 2 14 9 5 LDDWD
América RJ Playoffs 4 10 12 3 3 4 11 21 -10 WDLWL
Madureira 5 10 11 3 2 5 11 16 -5 WLDLW
Pouso Alegre 6 10 7 2 1 7 6 14 -8 LLLLW
XV de Piracicaba Playoffs 1 10 17 4 5 1 14 9 5 LDDWW
Noroeste Playoffs 2 10 15 4 3 3 12 7 5 WDLWW
Velo Clube Playoffs 3 10 13 3 4 3 10 10 0 WLDLD
Sampaio Corrêa RJ Playoffs 4 10 12 3 3 4 8 10 -2 LWDLL
Nova Iguaçu 5 10 12 3 3 4 7 10 -3 WLWWD
CFRJ / Maricá 6 10 11 3 2 5 9 14 -5 LWDLL
Santa Catarina Playoffs 1 10 19 6 1 3 15 9 6 WWWWL
Cianorte Playoffs 2 10 16 5 1 4 9 8 1 WLDWL
Cascavel Playoffs 3 10 15 4 3 3 9 4 5 LDWLW
São Luiz Playoffs 4 10 15 4 3 3 11 9 2 WDLWW
Joinville 5 10 15 4 3 3 10 8 2 LWDLL
Guarany de Bagé 6 10 4 1 1 8 2 18 -16 LLLLW
Blumenau Playoffs 1 10 19 6 1 3 14 8 6 LWWLD
Marcílio Dias Playoffs 2 10 16 4 4 2 9 5 4 DLDWW
Independiente FSJ Playoffs 3 10 13 3 4 3 3 4 -1 DLDLD
Sao Jose Playoffs 4 10 13 3 4 3 6 8 -2 WWDDW
Brasil DE Pelotas 5 10 10 2 4 4 9 12 -3 DLDDL
Azuriz 6 10 9 2 3 5 7 11 -4 DWLWL