Serie D — Brazil
Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.52 (league 1.31) 0.05 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.0% 22.4% 1.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
31.6%
2 - 0
24.0%
0 - 0
20.8%
Score & goals probability table
Aparecidense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Primavera MG 0 20.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPrimavera MGAparecidense
Played11
Form33%0%
Attack8%0%
Defense92%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

29%
FT probability

2.5+

20%
FT probability

3.5+

14%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Primavera MG Aparecidense
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%0%—0%
Draws—100%100%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%100%—100%
Primavera MGD
AparecidenseL

League goals

Metric Primavera MG Aparecidense
HATHAT
GF total011000
GF avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0
GA total011202
GA avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePrimavera MGAparecidense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%100%
1.50%0%0%100%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPrimavera MGAparecidense
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricPrimavera MGAparecidense
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPrimavera MGAparecidense
Wins00
Draws10
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For0100
Goals Against0120

Model comparison

MetricPrimavera MGAparecidense
Form100%0%
Att100%0%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total67.0%33.0%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Dafabet
Away2.50 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.85 @ William Hill
📊

League standings

Loading standings…
footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Primavera MG
vs
Aparecidense
Serie D • Brazil • Sun, Apr 12 2026 • 20:00 • Venue TBA
Expected goals
1.52
Primavera MG xG League Avg: 1.31
Total
1.57
0.05
Aparecidense xG League Avg: 0.87
1x2 probabilities
Home
76.0%
Draw
22.4%
Away
1.1%
Best score tips
Tip
1 - 0
31.6%
Tip
2 - 0
24.0%
Tip
0 - 0
20.8%
More chances
1.5+
29%
Chance
2.5+
20%
Chance
3.5+
14%
Chance
BTTS
57%
Chance
🟨 Cards
—
Exp.
#PrimaveraMg #Aparecidense #SerieD #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Primavera MG = 1.52 (league 1.31), Aparecidense = 0.05 (league 0.87)

Aparecidense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Primavera MG 0 20.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.6% 1.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 24.0% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.0% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 1.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1