Mon, May 11 2026 • 19:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 2.04)
2.38 (league 1.18)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 16.0% | 18.2% | 62.3% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Oriente Petrolero | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| ABB | 0 | 3.1% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 3.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away lean
Oriente Petrolero carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 23 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: ABB +6.4, Oriente Petrolero -4.2.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
ABB
vs
Oriente Petrolero
Elo gapOriente Petrolero +23
Home / draw / away34% / 27% / 39%
Expected home share47%
Combined Elo2849.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2849.7
Elo home share
47%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | ABB | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1395.7 | 1454 |
| Form Elo | 1398.9 | 1435.1 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1472.9 | 1435.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1427.3 | 1518 |
| Defense Elo | 1240.9 | 1368.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +6.4 | -4.2 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. ABB last-5 Elo change: +6.4; Oriente Petrolero last-5 Elo change: -4.2.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | ABB | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 42% | 37% |
| Defense | 32% | 74% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | ABB | Oriente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 100% | 0% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 50% | 67% | 60% | 0% | 100% | 40% |
ABBWLLWL
Oriente PetroleroLWLWW
League goals
| Metric | ABB | Oriente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 4 | 9 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 3.0 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.5 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | ABB | Oriente Petrolero | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 80% | 100% | 60% | 80% |
| 1.5 | 60% | 80% | 60% | 20% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | ABB | Oriente Petrolero | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | ABB | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | ABB | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-2 | 1-2 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 5-2 | — | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | ABB | Oriente Petrolero |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 28% | 72% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 62% | 38% |
| Total | 52.6% | 47.4% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.00 @ William Hill
Draw3.90 @ Bet365
Away3.30 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.40 @ William Hill
No2.80 @ William Hill
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.70 @ Bet365
📊
League standings
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