FC Luzern 1-0 FC Zurich: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

FC Luzern 1-0 FC Zurich: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Super League 🌍 Switzerland

Tue, May 12 2026 · 18:30

FC Luzern

1 - 0

FC Zurich

🏆 Super League

🌍 Switzerland

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.10

League avg: 2.00

Both

3.70

League avg: 3.40

Away

1.60

League avg: 1.40

1X2 Probability

Home

53%

ELO-based: 53%

Draw

20%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

27%

ELO-based: 23%

Goal Probability

2.5+

73%

3.5+

52%

BTTS

85%

Best Score Tips

2 - 19%

1 - 18%

2 - 27%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: FC Luzern vs FC Zurich

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for FC Luzern vs FC Zurich.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		FC Zurich
		0	1	2	3	4
FC Luzern	0	2.5%	4.0%	3.2%	1.7%	0.7%
	1	5.2%	8.3%	6.6%	3.5%	1.4%
	2	5.5%	8.7%	7.0%	3.7%	1.5%
	3	3.8%	6.1%	4.9%	2.6%	1.0%
	4	2.0%	3.2%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1558+38

League

1535±0

Away

1411-14

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
FC Luzern	1558	1577	1504	1741	1479	+38
FC Zurich	1411	1398	1457	1471	1407	-14

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
FC Luzern	1	36	47	12	11	13	72	66	LDWWD
FC Zurich	4	36	38	11	5	20	49	69	LLLDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
FC Luzern	5	53%	59%	41%	2.0	2.0
FC Zurich	5	27%	29%	47%	1.0	1.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
FC Luzern	2.3	1.7	2.0	2.1	1.6	1.8
FC Zurich	1.6	1.1	1.4	1.9	1.9	1.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
FC Luzern	2.0	2.3	1.8	2.1
FC Zurich	1.4	1.1	1.9	1.9

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	17.39%	10.20%	7.25%	15.94%
16-30	11.59%	18.37%	10.14%	8.70%
31-45	10.14%	18.37%	24.64%	18.84%
46-60	8.70%	12.24%	24.64%	10.14%
61-75	24.64%	24.49%	15.94%	11.59%
76-90	27.54%	16.33%	17.39%	34.78%

Team Comparison

67%

Form

33%

67%

Attack

33%

47%

Defense

53%

61%

Poisson

39%

H2H

57%

Goals

43%

58%

Total

42%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
FC Luzern	6-0	0-4	2-5	4-1	6 / 4	5 / 4
FC Zurich	3-0	1-3	0-4	3-0	3 / 3	4 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
FC Luzern	5	2	3	4	0	4
FC Zurich	2	2	0	9	3	6

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
FC Luzern	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
FC Zurich	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-02-14	FC Zurich	1 - 4 FT	FC Luzern
2025-11-08	FC Zurich	3 - 2 FT	FC Luzern
2025-08-03	FC Luzern	1 - 1 FT	FC Zurich
2025-03-15	FC Zurich	3 - 2 FT	FC Luzern
2025-01-26	FC Luzern	3 - 1 FT	FC Zurich
2024-09-01	FC Zurich	1 - 1 FT	FC Luzern

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.48	Homepage market
Draw	4.75	Homepage market
Away win	5.50	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.36	Homepage market
BTTS market	1.53	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	FC Luzern	FC Zurich
expected_goals	2.21	1.78
Ball Possession	51%	49%
Total Shots	13	16
Shots on Goal	4	3
Shots off Goal	6	10
Blocked Shots	3	3
Shots insidebox	10	14
Shots outsidebox	3	2
Corner Kicks	10	5
Offsides	3	1
Fouls	14	9
Yellow Cards	2	0
Red Cards	1	0
Goalkeeper Saves	3	3
Total passes	375	352
Passes accurate	300	285
Passes %	80%	81%
goals_prevented	0.34	0.34

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
80'	FC Luzern	S. Knezevic	Card	Yellow Card
80'	FC Zurich	I. Sauter	subst	Out: D. Ramic
80'	FC Zurich	M. Reichmuth	subst	Out: V. Berisha
79'	FC Luzern	O. Kabwit	subst	Out: S. Knezevic
79'	FC Luzern	A. Vasovic	subst	Out: L. Villiger
77'	FC Luzern	B. Freimann	Card	Red Card
73'	FC Luzern	L. Winkler	subst	Out: T. Abe
72'	FC Luzern	R. Dantas	subst	Out: A. Ciganiks
70'	FC Luzern	O. Kabwit	Goal	Assist: T. Owusu
64'	FC Luzern	L. M. Silva Ferreira	subst	Out: K. Spadanuda
59'	FC Zurich	P. P. Keny	subst	Out: U. Emmanuel
59'	FC Zurich	I. Cavaleiro	subst	Out: S. Walker
59'	FC Zurich	B. Krasniqi	subst	Out: N. Di Giusto
56'	FC Luzern	P. Dorn	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Super League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
FC Thun Championship round	1	33	74	24	2	7	75	37	38	DLLLL
FC ST. Gallen Championship round	2	33	60	17	9	7	64	40	24	DWWLW
FC Lugano Championship round	3	33	57	16	9	8	50	38	12	WDLWW
FC Basel 1893 Championship round	4	33	53	15	8	10	51	45	6	LLLWL
FC Sion Championship round	5	33	52	13	13	7	51	35	16	DDWWW
BSC Young Boys Championship round	6	33	48	13	9	11	65	60	5	DWWLL
FC Luzern Relegation Round	7	33	40	10	10	13	64	61	3	WWDWW
Servette FC Relegation Round	8	33	40	9	13	11	57	57	0	WWDWW
Lausanne Relegation Round	9	33	39	10	9	14	47	57	-10	LLLLW
FC Zurich Relegation Round	10	33	34	10	4	19	45	63	-18	LLWDL
Grasshoppers Relegation Round	11	33	27	6	9	18	40	65	-25	DWWLL
FC Winterthur Relegation Round	12	33	19	4	7	22	35	86	-51	LLWDL
FC Thun Champions League Qualification	1	38	75	24	3	11	80	52	28	DLLLL
FC ST. Gallen Conference League Qualification	2	38	70	20	10	8	72	47	25	DWWLW
FC Lugano Conference League Qualification	3	38	67	19	10	9	59	42	17	WDLWW
FC Sion	4	38	63	16	15	7	63	40	23	DDWWW
FC Basel 1893	5	38	56	16	8	14	55	58	-3	LLLWL
BSC Young Boys	6	38	55	15	10	13	80	69	11	DWWLL
FC Luzern	1	38	53	14	11	13	76	66	10	WWDWW
Servette FC	2	38	53	13	14	11	71	63	8	WWDWW
Lausanne	3	38	42	11	9	18	53	67	-14	LLLLW
FC Zurich	4	38	38	11	5	22	49	72	-23	LLWDL
Grasshoppers Relegation Playoffs	5	38	33	8	9	21	48	74	-26	DWWLL
FC Winterthur Relegation	6	38	23	5	8	25	44	100	-56	LLWDL