Wed, May 13 2026 • 19:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.83) 1.18 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.8% 20.0% 19.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 1
8.9%
2 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mirassol U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atlético Mineiro U20 0 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 7.6% 8.9% 5.2% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.7% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.0% 7.1% 4.2% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.3% 3.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.4% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Atlético Mineiro U20 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 121 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Atlético Mineiro U20 -0.4, Mirassol U20 -15.6.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Atlético Mineiro U20 Elo 1572.8 · -0.4
vs
Mirassol U20 Elo 1487.2 · -15.6
Elo gapAtlético Mineiro U20 +121
Home / draw / away55% / 18% / 27%
Expected home share67%
Combined Elo3060
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3060
Elo home share 67%
Match tone Heavy Favorite
Metric Atlético Mineiro U20 Mirassol U20
Overall Elo1572.81487.2
Form Elo1573.61459
Home / Away Elo1569.81485
Attack Elo1732.11480.1
Defense Elo1526.41530.5
Last 5 Elo change-0.4-15.6

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Atlético Mineiro U20 last-5 Elo change: -0.4; Mirassol U20 last-5 Elo change: -15.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtlético Mineiro U20Mirassol U20
Played44
Form50%50%
Attack55%45%
Defense64%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.55 | 1.3
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 18 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atlético Mineiro U20 Mirassol U20
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%50%50%50%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%50%50%50%
Atlético Mineiro U20LWWL
Mirassol U20WWLL

League goals

Metric Atlético Mineiro U20 Mirassol U20
HATHAT
GF total426235
GF avg2.01.01.51.01.51.3
GA total044448
GA avg0.02.01.02.02.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtlético Mineiro U20Mirassol U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%50%100%
1.550%25%50%75%
2.525%25%25%25%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtlético Mineiro U20Mirassol U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets202000
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricAtlético Mineiro U20Mirassol U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAtlético Mineiro U20Mirassol U20
Wins22
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-12-3
Biggest losses3-20-32-0
Goals For3223
Goals Against0332

Model comparison

MetricAtlético Mineiro U20Mirassol U20
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total49.3%50.8%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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