Erbil vs Mosul - footywow

Iraqi League — Iraq

Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 14:00 • Franso Hariri Stadium

Match Finished

Erbil

2 - 2

Mosul

Expected Goals

1.25 (league 1.20) 1.00 (league 1.08)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
41.9%	28.5%	29.4%

best score tips

1 - 0

13.2%

1 - 1

13.2%

0 - 0

10.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Mosul
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Erbil	0	10.7%	10.6%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	13.3%	13.2%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	8.3%	8.2%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	3.4%	3.4%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	1.1%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Erbil	Mosul
Played	5	5
Form	60%	67%
Attack	38%	62%
Defense	92%	62%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	8 \| 1.6
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.2	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%

FT probability

2.5+

45%

FT probability

3.5+

32%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

0-0

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Erbil			Mosul
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	13	26	12	13	25
Wins	69%	46%	58%	33%	38%	36%
Draws	15%	46%	31%	8%	38%	24%
Loses	15%	8%	12%	58%	23%	40%

Form: Erbil: WWDWWWWDWDWWLLDDWLWWWWWDDD • Mosul: LWWLLWDDDLLLWWLLDWDLWWDWL

League goals

Metric	Erbil			Mosul
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	20	16	36	12	15	27
GF avg	1.5	1.2	1.4	1.0	1.2	1.1
GA total	12	7	19	18	13	31
GA avg	0.9	0.5	0.7	1.5	1.0	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Erbil		Mosul
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	73%	58%	64%	80%
1.5	46%	15%	36%	32%
2.5	19%	0%	8%	12%
3.5	0%	0%	0%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Erbil			Mosul
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	7	11	1	4	5
Failed to score	3	4	7	4	5	9

Penalties

Metric	Erbil	Mosul
Scored (total \| %)	6 \| 100.00%	6 \| 85.71%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 14.29%
Total	6	7

Streaks

Metric	Erbil	Mosul
Wins	5	2
Draws	2	3
Losses	2	3

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-1	1-3	2-0	0-3
Biggest losses	0-2	1-0	1-3	3-0
Goals For	3	3	2	3
Goals Against	2	2	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Erbil	Mosul
Form	47%	53%
Att	38%	62%
Def	83%	17%
Poisson Distribution	57%	43%
H2h	100%	0%
Goals	100%	0%
Total	56.3%	43.8%

Advice: Double chance : Erbil or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…

League page • Country page • Venue page • Erbil vs Mosul

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Erbil

Mosul

Iraqi League • Iraq • Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 14:00 • Franso Hariri Stadium

Expected goals

1.25

Erbil xG League Avg: 1.20

Total

2.24

1.00

Mosul xG League Avg: 1.08

1x2 probabilities

Home

41.9%

Draw

28.5%

Away

29.4%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

13.2%

Tip

1 - 1

13.2%

Tip

0 - 0

10.6%

More chances

1.5+

64%

Chance

2.5+

45%

Chance

3.5+

32%

Chance

BTTS

64%

Chance

🟨 Cards

0 - 0

Exp.

#Erbil #Mosul #IraqiLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Erbil = 1.24 (league 1.21), Mosul = 0.99 (league 1.09)

		Mosul
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Erbil	0	10.7%	10.6%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	13.3%	13.2%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
	2	8.3%	8.2%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
	3	3.4%	3.4%	1.7%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	1.1%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.3%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.8% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 29.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Erbil	Mosul
Scored (total \| %)	6 \| 100.00%	6 \| 85.71%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	1 \| 14.29%
Total	6	7