Naft vs Gharraf - footywow

Iraqi League — Iraq

Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 16:30 • Venue TBA

Match Finished

Naft

1 - 0

Gharraf

Expected Goals

1.08 (league 1.20) 0.59 (league 1.08)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
47.2%	32.8%	19.9%

best score tips

1 - 0

20.3%

0 - 0

18.8%

1 - 1

12.0%

Score & goals probability table

		Gharraf
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Naft	0	18.9%	11.1%	3.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.4%	12.0%	3.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	11.0%	6.5%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.9%	2.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Naft	Gharraf
Played	5	5
Form	60%	27%
Attack	38%	15%
Defense	85%	54%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	2 \| 0.4
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	2 \| 0.4	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%

FT probability

2.5+

39%

FT probability

3.5+

28%

FT probability

BTTS

57%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Naft			Gharraf
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	10	15	25	14	12	26
Wins	30%	27%	28%	43%	25%	35%
Draws	40%	40%	40%	21%	25%	23%
Loses	30%	33%	32%	36%	50%	42%

Form: Naft: WLDWDLDDLWLWLDDLLWLDWDWDD • Gharraf: WWWDDDLLLDLWWDWLLWWLLLLLWD

League goals

Metric	Naft			Gharraf
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	10	13	23	15	10	25
GF avg	1.0	0.9	0.9	1.1	0.8	1.0
GA total	8	15	23	12	15	27
GA avg	0.8	1.0	0.9	0.9	1.3	1.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Naft		Gharraf
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	56%	56%	58%	62%
1.5	28%	32%	19%	31%
2.5	8%	4%	15%	12%
3.5	0%	0%	4%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Naft			Gharraf
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	4	7	11	6	4	10
Failed to score	3	8	11	7	4	11

Penalties

Metric	Naft	Gharraf
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 80.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	1 \| 20.00%	0 \| 0%
Total	5	4

Streaks

Metric	Naft	Gharraf
Wins	1	3
Draws	2	3
Losses	2	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-3	3-1	0-3
Biggest losses	1-2	3-1	1-2	3-0
Goals For	3	3	4	3
Goals Against	2	3	3	3

Model comparison

Metric	Naft	Gharraf
Form	69%	31%
Att	71%	29%
Def	75%	25%
Poisson Distribution	63%	37%
H2h	0%	100%
Goals	0%	100%
Total	69.5%	30.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Naft or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.77 @ Dafabet

Draw3.45 @ Unibet

Away5.00 @ BetVictor

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ BetVictor

No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.38 @ Bet365

Under 2.51.55 @ Unibet

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Naft vs Gharraf

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Naft

Gharraf

Iraqi League • Iraq • Thu, Apr 9 2026 • 16:30 • Venue TBA

Expected goals

1.08

Naft xG League Avg: 1.20

Total

1.67

0.59

Gharraf xG League Avg: 1.08

1x2 probabilities

Home

47.2%

Draw

32.8%

Away

19.9%

Best score tips

Tip

1 - 0

20.3%

Tip

0 - 0

18.8%

Tip

1 - 1

12.0%

More chances

1.5+

55%

Chance

2.5+

39%

Chance

3.5+

28%

Chance

BTTS

57%

Chance

🟨 Cards

—

Exp.

#Naft #Gharraf #IraqiLeague #footballpredictions #footywow

Expected goals (λ): Naft = 1.08 (league 1.21), Gharraf = 0.59 (league 1.09)

		Gharraf
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Naft	0	18.9%	11.1%	3.3%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%
	1	20.4%	12.0%	3.5%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
	2	11.0%	6.5%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	3.9%	2.3%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	1.1%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 32.9% · Away win 19.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Naft	Gharraf
Scored (total \| %)	4 \| 80.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	1 \| 20.00%	0 \| 0%
Total	5	4