Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
🏆 Premiership 🌍 Scotland
Wed, May 13 2026 · 19:00
FT
Heart Of Midlothian
3 - 0
Falkirk
🏆 Premiership
🌍 Scotland
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.70
League avg: 1.80
Both
2.50
League avg: 3.10
Away
0.80
League avg: 1.30
1X2 Probability
Home
69%
ELO-based: 52%
Draw
21%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
10%
ELO-based: 24%
Goal Probability
2.5+
53%
3.5+
38%
BTTS
67%
Best Score Tips
1 - 014%
2 - 012%
1 - 111%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Falkirk
01234
Heart Of Midlothian 0 8.2% 6.6% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
1 14.0% 11.2% 4.5% 1.2% 0.2%
2 11.9% 9.5% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
3 6.7% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
4 2.9% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1675+16
League
1552±0
Away
1539-32
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Heart Of Midlothian16751681160516781687+16
Falkirk15391517152816151496-32
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Heart Of Midlothian2367723856331DWWWD
Falkirk63649147154854WLLWL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Heart Of Midlothian 5 73% 83% 50% 2.0 1.2
Falkirk 5 40% 75% 0% 1.8 2.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Heart Of Midlothian 1.9 1.6 1.8 0.6 1.1 0.9
Falkirk 1.6 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Heart Of Midlothian 1.8 1.9 0.9 0.6
Falkirk 1.3 1.0 1.5 1.5
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 3.28% 13.64% 21.21% 5.17%
16-30 21.31% 15.91% 21.21% 18.97%
31-45 14.75% 11.36% 15.15% 29.31%
46-60 19.67% 20.45% 18.18% 15.52%
61-75 14.75% 27.27% 9.09% 13.79%
76-90 26.23% 11.36% 15.15% 17.24%
Team Comparison
65%
Form
35%
53%
Attack
47%
7%
Defense
3%
77%
Poisson
23%
6%
H2H
4%
64%
Goals
36%
65%
Total
35%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Heart Of Midlothian 4-0 0-3 4-2 4 / 3 3 / 4
Falkirk 5-1 0-3 3-6 4-0 5 / 3 6 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Heart Of Midlothian 16 10 6 4 0 4
Falkirk 9 4 5 10 3 7
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Heart Of Midlothian 4 100.00% 0 0% — —
Falkirk 3 100.00% 0 0% — —
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-02-21 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 0 FT Falkirk
2026-01-17 Heart Of Midlothian 1 - 1 FT Falkirk
2025-12-13 Falkirk 0 - 2 FT Heart Of Midlothian
2025-09-27 Heart Of Midlothian 3 - 0 FT Falkirk
2024-08-17 Falkirk 2 - 0 FT Heart Of Midlothian
2021-07-03 Heart Of Midlothian 4 - 0 FT Falkirk
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.44 Homepage market
Draw 4.75 Homepage market
Away win 6.50 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.67 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.91 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Stats
StatHeart Of MidlothianFalkirk
expected_goals 0.59 0.30
Ball Possession 66% 34%
Total Shots 12 4
Shots on Goal 4 1
Shots off Goal 4 2
Blocked Shots 4 1
Shots insidebox 7 3
Shots outsidebox 5 1
Corner Kicks 5 5
Offsides 2 2
Fouls 6 17
Yellow Cards 1 3
Red Cards — —
Goalkeeper Saves 1 1
Total passes 455 236
Passes accurate 340 144
Passes % 75% 61%
goals_prevented -1.07 -1.07
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+3' Heart Of Midlothian B. Spittal subst Out: A. Forrest
86' Heart Of Midlothian B. Spittal Goal Assist: M. Steinwender
83' Heart Of Midlothian A. Kyziridis subst Out: S. Kerjota
83' Heart Of Midlothian C. Braga subst Out: P. Kabore
82' Falkirk L. Henderson Card Yellow Card
76' Falkirk B. Spencer Card Yellow Card
75' Falkirk F. Yeats subst Out: H. Cartwright
67' Heart Of Midlothian C. Devlin subst Out: J. Altena
56' Falkirk C. Miller subst Out: E. Ross
52' Falkirk C. Miller Card Yellow Card
46' Heart Of Midlothian H. Milne subst Out: S. Kingsley
46' Falkirk D. Tait subst Out: R. MacIver
46' Falkirk K. Wilson subst Out: B. Parkinson
34' Heart Of Midlothian C. Devlin Goal Normal Goal
29' Heart Of Midlothian F. Kent Goal Assist: A. Kyziridis
16' Heart Of Midlothian B. Spittal Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache · Premiership 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Heart Of Midlothian Championship round 1 33 70 21 7 5 58 28 30 LWDWW
Rangers Championship round 2 33 69 19 12 2 66 31 35 WLLLL
Celtic Championship round 3 33 67 21 4 8 59 35 24 WWWWW
Motherwell Championship round 4 33 54 14 12 7 52 29 23 WLDLW
Hibernian Championship round 5 33 51 13 12 8 51 37 14 LWWLL
Falkirk Championship round 6 33 46 13 7 13 45 48 -3 LLLWL
Dundee Utd Relegation Round 7 33 40 9 13 11 45 54 -9 DDLLW
Aberdeen Relegation Round 8 33 33 9 6 18 33 48 -15 LLWDW
Dundee Relegation Round 9 33 33 8 9 16 34 53 -19 WLWWL
ST Mirren Relegation Round 10 33 30 7 9 17 27 48 -21 DWLLL
Kilmarnock Relegation Round 11 33 28 6 10 17 37 65 -28 WWWWL
Livingston Relegation Round 12 33 16 1 13 19 35 66 -31 LDLDW
Celtic Champions League Qualification 1 38 82 26 4 8 73 41 32 WWWWW
Heart Of Midlothian Champions League Qualification 2 38 80 24 8 6 67 34 33 LWDWW
Rangers Conference League Qualification 3 38 72 20 12 6 76 43 33 WLLLL
Motherwell Conference League Qualification 4 38 61 16 13 9 59 36 23 WLDLW
Hibernian 5 38 57 15 12 11 58 44 14 LWWLL
Falkirk 6 38 49 14 7 17 50 62 -12 LLLWL
Dundee Utd 1 38 45 10 15 13 49 60 -11 DDLLW
Dundee 2 38 42 11 9 18 42 61 -19 WLWWL
Aberdeen 3 38 40 11 7 20 40 55 -15 LLWDW
Kilmarnock 4 38 40 10 10 18 50 68 -18 WWWWL
ST Mirren Relegation Playoffs 5 38 34 8 10 20 30 55 -25 DWLLL
Livingston Relegation 6 38 21 2 15 21 40 75 -35 LDLDW