Matlama vs Lioli - footywow

Premier League — Lesotho

Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 13:00 • Setsoto Stadium

Match Finished

Matlama

1 - 0

Lioli

Expected Goals

0.93 (league 1.20) 0.91 (league 1.15)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
34.4%	32.5%	33.1%

best score tips

0 - 0

15.9%

1 - 0

14.8%

0 - 1

14.4%

Score & goals probability table

		Lioli
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Matlama	0	15.9%	14.4%	6.5%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	14.8%	13.4%	6.1%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	6.9%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	2.1%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Matlama	Lioli
Played	5	5
Form	73%	53%
Attack	43%	43%
Defense	93%	64%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	6 \| 1.2	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	1 \| 0.2	5 \| 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%

FT probability

2.5+

43%

FT probability

3.5+

31%

FT probability

BTTS

58%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Matlama			Lioli
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	12	13	25	14	11	25
Wins	58%	46%	52%	36%	64%	48%
Draws	33%	38%	36%	50%	18%	36%
Loses	8%	15%	12%	14%	18%	16%

MatlamaDDWWDLLWWWWLDDDWWDWWWWDDW

LioliWLWWLDWWDDWWDWLDWDWDLWDDW

League goals

Metric	Matlama			Lioli
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	19	15	34	19	14	33
GF avg	1.6	1.2	1.4	1.4	1.3	1.3
GA total	9	12	21	10	8	18
GA avg	0.8	0.9	0.8	0.7	0.7	0.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Matlama		Lioli
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	76%	60%	72%	48%
1.5	44%	16%	36%	24%
2.5	12%	8%	12%	0%
3.5	4%	0%	8%	0%
4.5	0%	0%	4%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Matlama			Lioli
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	6	4	10	7	6	13
Failed to score	4	2	6	4	3	7

Penalties

Metric	Matlama	Lioli
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Matlama	Lioli
Wins	4	2
Draws	3	2
Losses	2	1

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	4-1	0-2	5-0	2-4
Biggest losses	0-3	3-0	1-2	2-1
Goals For	4	2	5	4
Goals Against	3	3	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Matlama	Lioli
Form	58%	42%
Att	50%	50%
Def	83%	17%
Poisson Distribution	52%	48%
H2h	75%	25%
Goals	57%	43%
Total	62.5%	37.5%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Matlama vs Lioli

footywow.com

Prediction and Tips for:

Matlama

Lioli

Premier League • Lesotho • Sat, Apr 11 2026 • 13:00 • Setsoto Stadium

Expected goals

0.93

Matlama xG League Avg: 1.20

Total

1.84

0.91

Lioli xG League Avg: 1.15

1x2 probabilities

Home

34.4%

Draw

32.5%

Away

33.1%

Best score tips

Tip

0 - 0

15.9%

Tip

1 - 0

14.8%

Tip

0 - 1

14.4%

More chances

1.5+

61%

Chance

2.5+

43%

Chance

3.5+

31%

Chance

BTTS

58%

Chance

🟨 Cards

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Exp.

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Expected goals (λ): Matlama = 0.93 (league 1.20), Lioli = 0.91 (league 1.15)

		Lioli
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Matlama	0	15.9%	14.4%	6.5%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
	1	14.8%	13.4%	6.1%	1.8%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	6.9%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	3	2.1%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%
	4	0.5%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	5	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 32.5% · Away win 33.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1

Metric	Matlama	Lioli
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0