Expected Goals
2.24 (league 2.68)
0.56 (league 1.79)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.2% | 16.4% | 7.7% |
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
1 - 0
13.7%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Njardvik | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afturelding | 0 | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.3% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.4% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away edge
Njardvik carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 57 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Afturelding +29.9, Njardvik +21.3.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Afturelding
vs
Njardvik
Elo gapNjardvik +57
Home / draw / away32% / 23% / 45%
Expected home share42%
Combined Elo3076.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3076.8
Elo home share
42%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Afturelding | Njardvik |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1492.3 | 1584.5 |
| Form Elo | 1559.6 | 1633.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1506.8 | 1524 |
| Attack Elo | 1597.8 | 1619.7 |
| Defense Elo | 1409.7 | 1553 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +29.9 | +21.3 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Afturelding last-5 Elo change: +29.9; Njardvik last-5 Elo change: +21.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Afturelding | Njardvik |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 47% | 32% |
| Defense | 84% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 4.5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 2 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
7.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
85%
FT probability
3.5+
64%
FT probability
BTTS
83%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Afturelding | Njardvik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
AftureldingWW
NjardvikWW
League goals
| Metric | Afturelding | Njardvik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 6.0 | 3.0 | 4.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Afturelding | Njardvik | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 0% | 50% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Afturelding | Njardvik | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Afturelding | Njardvik |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Afturelding | Njardvik |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 2-3 | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Afturelding | Njardvik |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 66% | 34% |
| Total | 59.2% | 40.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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