D. La Serena 0-2 Union La Calera: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

D. La Serena 0-2 Union La Calera: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Copa De La Liga 🌍 Chile

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 16:30

D. La Serena

0 - 2

Union La Calera

🏆 Copa De La Liga

🌍 Chile

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.04

League avg: 1.20

Both

3.00

League avg: 2.20

Away

1.96

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

ELO-based: 32%

Draw

16%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

76%

ELO-based: 44%

Goal Probability

2.5+

57%

3.5+

34%

BTTS

55%

Best Score Tips

1 - 110%

1 - 210%

0 - 110%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: D. La Serena vs Union La Calera

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for D. La Serena vs Union La Calera.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Union La Calera
		0	1	2	3	4
D. La Serena	0	5.0%	9.8%	9.6%	6.2%	3.1%
	1	5.2%	10.2%	9.9%	6.5%	3.2%
	2	2.7%	5.3%	5.2%	3.4%	1.6%
	3	0.9%	1.8%	1.8%	1.2%	0.6%
	4	0.2%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1414-45

League

1523±0

Away

1472+56

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
D. La Serena	1414	1368	1456	1498	1311	-45
Union La Calera	1472	1522	1477	1410	1519	+56

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
D. La Serena	4	5	1	0	1	4	6	16	DLLLL
Union La Calera	2	5	10	3	1	1	5	3	LWWDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
D. La Serena	5	7%	33%	11%	1.2	3.2
Union La Calera	5	67%	28%	83%	1.0	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
D. La Serena	1.0	1.3	1.2	4.5	2.3	3.2
Union La Calera	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.5	0.6

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
D. La Serena	1.2	1.0	3.2	4.5
Union La Calera	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.5

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	16.67%		12.50%
16-30	16.67%	20.00%	18.75%	33.33%
31-45	50.00%	20.00%	18.75%	33.33%
46-60	16.67%		12.50%
61-75			18.75%
76-90		60.00%	18.75%	33.33%

Team Comparison

Form

91%

55%

Attack

45%

16%

Defense

84%

Poisson

71%

H2H

29%

67%

Goals

33%

38%

Total

62%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
D. La Serena			0-5	3-1	2 / 2	5 / 3
Union La Calera	2-1	0-1	0-1		2 / 1	1 / 1

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
D. La Serena	0	0	0	1	1	0
Union La Calera	2	1	1	1	1	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
D. La Serena	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Union La Calera	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-28	Union La Calera	2 - 1 FT	D. La Serena
2026-03-06	D. La Serena	3 - 0 FT	Union La Calera
2025-08-16	Union La Calera	1 - 1 FT	D. La Serena
2025-03-16	D. La Serena	1 - 0 FT	Union La Calera
2022-10-30	D. La Serena	2 - 1 FT	Union La Calera
2022-05-22	Union La Calera	1 - 1 FT	D. La Serena

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	3.10	Bet365
Draw	3.15	Betano
Away win	2.35	Betano
Over 2.5	2.29	Pinnacle
Under 2.5	1.62	10Bet
BTTS Yes	1.91	William Hill
BTTS No	1.91	William Hill

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
89'	Union La Calera	Y. W. Andia Leon	subst	Out: F. Pozzo
87'	D. La Serena	M. Marin	Card	Yellow Card
85'	D. La Serena	Y. Salazar	Card	Yellow Card
81'	D. La Serena	F. Diaz	subst	Out: B. Sandoval
79'	Union La Calera	Y. W. Andia Leon	Card	Yellow Card
76'	Union La Calera	C. Moya	subst	Out: B. Argandona
68'	D. La Serena	M. Pinto	subst	Out: J. Vargas
64'	Union La Calera	C. Villanueva	subst	Out: Y. Leiva
64'	Union La Calera	M. Campos	subst	Out: B. Oyarzo Munoz
60'	Union La Calera	C. Gutierrez	Card	Yellow Card
60'	Union La Calera	C. Gutierrez	Card	Yellow Card
60'	Union La Calera	C. Gutierrez	Card	Red Card
55'	D. La Serena	F. Dinamarca	subst	Out: B. Contreras
48'	D. La Serena	F. Dinamarca	Card	Yellow Card
46'	D. La Serena	R. Delgado	subst	Out: Y. Salazar
46'	D. La Serena	G. Escalante	subst	Out: J. Gutierrez
44'	Union La Calera	C. Villanueva	Goal	Penalty
41'	Union La Calera	N. Palma	Card	Yellow Card
31'	Union La Calera	C. Villanueva	Goal	Normal Goal
7'	D. La Serena	F. Chamorro	Card	Yellow Card

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Coquimbo Unido Playoffs	1	6	14	4	2	0	9	5	4	WWDWW
Colo Colo	2	5	10	3	1	1	8	4	4	LWWWD
Huachipato	3	5	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	DWLLD
Concepción	4	6	1	0	1	5	6	13	-7	LLLLL
Nublense Playoffs	1	6	14	4	2	0	9	3	6	WDWWW
U. Catolica	2	6	11	3	2	1	13	7	6	WDDWL
Universidad de Concepcion	3	6	4	1	1	4	7	11	-4	LLDLW
Cobresal	4	6	4	1	1	4	6	14	-8	LWLLL
O'Higgins Playoffs	1	5	11	3	2	0	9	5	4	WDWWD
Deportes Limache	2	5	6	1	3	1	7	7	0	LDWDD
Palestino	3	5	5	1	2	2	8	10	-2	WDLDL
Everton de Vina	4	5	4	1	1	3	7	9	-2	LDLLW
A. Italiano Playoffs	1	5	10	3	1	1	10	7	3	WDLWW
Union La Calera	2	5	10	3	1	1	5	3	2	WDWWL
Universidad de Chile	3	5	7	2	1	2	10	5	5	LWWLD
D. La Serena	4	5	1	0	1	4	6	16	-10	LLLLD