Greece 0-1 Italy: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Greece 0-1 Italy: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Friendlies 🌍 World

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 19:00

Greece

0 - 1

Italy

🏆 Friendlies

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 0.70

Both

1.29

League avg: 1.70

Away

1.14

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

ELO-based: 30%

Draw

37%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

56%

ELO-based: 46%

Goal Probability

2.5+

28%

3.5+

14%

BTTS

30%

Best Score Tips

0 - 131%

0 - 028%

0 - 218%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Greece vs Italy

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Greece vs Italy.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Italy
		0	1	2	3	4
Greece	0	27.5%	31.4%	17.9%	6.8%	1.9%
	1	4.1%	4.7%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
	2	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1492-22

League

1507±0

Away

1569+22

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Greece	1492	1468	1499	1538	1512	-22
Italy	1569	1618	1533	1588	1526	+22

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Greece	—	3	2	0	2	1	2	3	LDD
Italy	—	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	W

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Greece	3	22%	14%	79%	0.7	1.0
Italy	1	100%	7%	100%	1.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Greece	0.0	1.0	0.7	1.0	1.0	1.0
Italy	0.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Greece	0.7	0.0	1.0	1.0
Italy	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against
0-15	50.00%
16-30
31-45
46-60		100.00%	66.67%
61-75			33.33%
76-90	50.00%

Team Comparison

Form

67%

Attack

33%

Defense

Poisson

H2H

Goals

54%

Total

47%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Greece			0-1		0 / 2	1 / 2
Italy		0-1			0 / 1	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Greece	1	0	1	2	1	1
Italy	1	0	1	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Greece	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Italy	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2019-10-12	Italy	2 - 0 FT	Greece
2019-06-08	Greece	0 - 3 FT	Italy

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.13	1xBet
Draw	3.70	Unibet
Away win	3.55	10Bet
Over 2.5	2.02	1xBet
Under 2.5	1.90	1xBet
BTTS Yes	1.80	Betano
BTTS No	2.10	Betfair

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Greece	Italy
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	58%	42%
Total Shots	12	10
Shots on Goal	1	3
Shots off Goal	7	3
Blocked Shots	4	4
Shots insidebox	8	8
Shots outsidebox	4	2
Corner Kicks	2	3
Offsides	0	2
Fouls	12	13
Yellow Cards	0	3
Red Cards	0	1
Goalkeeper Saves	2	1
Total passes	544	396
Passes accurate	471	323
Passes %	87%	82%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
88'	Italy	L. Koleosho	subst	Out: G. Faticanti
88'	Greece	C. Tzolis	subst	Out: V. Pavlidis
88'	Greece	A. Douvikas	subst	Out: C. Kostoulas
87'	Italy	F. Esposito	subst	Out: F. Camarda
82'	Italy	C. Favasuli	Card	Yellow Card
76'	Greece	G. Vagiannidis	subst	Out: A. Tetteh
76'	Greece	C. Mouzakitis	subst	Out: C. Zafeiris
74'	Italy	S. Fini	subst	Out: C. Favasuli
74'	Italy	L. Lipani	subst	Out: M. Dagasso
68'	Italy	L. Reggiani	Card	Red Card
62'	Greece	G. Kyriakopoulos	subst	Out: K. Tsimikas
62'	Greece	N. Triantis	subst	Out: A. Androutsos
62'	Greece	G. Masouras	subst	Out: A. Kyziridis
55'	Italy	P. Comuzzo	subst	Out: L. Reggiani
46'	Italy	J. Ekhator	subst	Out: S. Fini
46'	Italy	H. Ahanor	subst	Out: F. Mane
46'	Greece	K. Koulierakis	subst	Out: L. Rota
44'	Italy	H. Ahanor	Card	Yellow Card
38'	Italy	L. Lipani	Card	Yellow Card
18'	Italy	F. Esposito	Goal	Assist: J. Ekhator