Botev Plovdiv 1-2 Arda Kardzhali: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Tue, May 12 2026 Β· 17:15
FT
πŸ† First League
🌍 Bulgaria
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.10
League avg: 1.20
Both
2.30
League avg: 2.20
Away
1.20
League avg: 1.00
1X2 Probability
Home
27%
ELO-based: 33%
Draw
28%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
45%
ELO-based: 43%
Goal Probability
2.5+
45%
3.5+
32%
BTTS
58%
Best Score Tips
1 - 113%
0 - 112%
1 - 011%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Arda Kardzhali
01234
Botev Plovdiv 0 10.0% 12.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.9%
1 11.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.2% 1.0%
2 6.1% 7.3% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5%
3 2.2% 2.7% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1544-5
League
1537Β±0
Away
1592-4
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Botev Plovdiv15441552149315941558-5
Arda Kardzhali15921602153615541619-4
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Botev Plovdiv83240117143841DWWLL
Arda Kardzhali73345129123331LWLDL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Botev Plovdiv 5 47% 67% 44% 1.2 1.0
Arda Kardzhali 5 27% 11% 44% 0.2 1.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Botev Plovdiv 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3
Arda Kardzhali 0.9 1.1 1.0 0.8 1.1 0.9
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Botev Plovdiv 1.2 1.1 1.3 1.3
Arda Kardzhali 1.0 1.1 0.9 1.1
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 11.11% 16.67% 4.65% 3.57%
16-30 13.89% 13.89% 25.58% 32.14%
31-45 16.67% 25.00% 13.95% 17.86%
46-60 16.67% 5.56% 13.95% 14.29%
61-75 19.44% 11.11% 13.95% 21.43%
76-90 22.22% 27.78% 27.91% 10.71%
Team Comparison
64%
Form
36%
86%
Attack
14%
5%
Defense
5%
41%
Poisson
59%
38%
H2H
62%
3%
Goals
7%
52%
Total
49%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Botev Plovdiv 5-0 0-3 0-5 3-0 5 / 3 5 / 3
Arda Kardzhali 3-0 0-5 0-3 3-0 3 / 5 3 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Botev Plovdiv 9 3 6 11 6 5
Arda Kardzhali 14 8 6 17 8 9
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Botev Plovdiv 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Arda Kardzhali 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-26 Arda Kardzhali 0 - 2 FT Botev Plovdiv
2025-12-02 Arda Kardzhali 0 - 0 FT Botev Plovdiv
2025-08-04 Botev Plovdiv 0 - 5 FT Arda Kardzhali
2025-03-09 Botev Plovdiv 1 - 1 FT Arda Kardzhali
2024-09-23 Arda Kardzhali 1 - 0 FT Botev Plovdiv
2024-05-27 Botev Plovdiv 0 - 1 FT Arda Kardzhali
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.55 Homepage market
Draw 2.88 Homepage market
Away win 2.90 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.75 Homepage market
BTTS market 2.00 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+4' Botev Plovdiv A. Conte Card Yellow Card
90' Botev Plovdiv I. Videv subst Out: Z. Tindano
89' Arda Kardzhali F. Eboa Card Yellow Card
85' Arda Kardzhali P. Krachunov subst Out: M. Paskalev
85' Arda Kardzhali S. Yusein subst Out: E. Viyachki
80' Botev Plovdiv W. Chimezie subst Out: I. Dorgu
77' Botev Plovdiv Mascote Goal Missed Penalty
70' Arda Kardzhali A. Shinyashiki subst Out: B. Karagaren
70' Arda Kardzhali C. Huseynov Goal Normal Goal
68' Botev Plovdiv C. Meotti Goal Assist: Mascote
63' Botev Plovdiv N. Iliev subst Out: C. Meotti
63' Arda Kardzhali W. Samake subst Out: A. Vutov
61' Arda Kardzhali C. Huseynov Goal Normal Goal
56' Arda Kardzhali S. Yusein Card Yellow Card
54' Botev Plovdiv C. Algarra Card Yellow Card
46' Botev Plovdiv E. Martinho da Silva subst Out: Lucas Araujo
45+1' Botev Plovdiv E. Martinho da Silva Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· First League 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Levski Sofia Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group) 1 30 70 22 4 4 64 22 42 DWDWW
Ludogorets Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group) 2 30 60 17 9 4 57 20 37 LDWWW
CSKA 1948 Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group) 3 30 59 18 5 7 50 31 19 WWLWW
CSKA Sofia Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group) 4 30 56 16 8 6 43 23 20 DWWWL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group) 5 30 46 11 13 6 30 33 -3 DDWWW
Cherno More Varna Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group) 6 30 44 11 11 8 33 26 7 LDLLW
Arda Kardzhali Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group) 7 30 44 12 8 10 33 27 6 WLWWW
Botev Plovdiv Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group) 8 30 40 11 7 12 40 37 3 WDWWL
Slavia Sofia efbet League (Relegation Group) 9 30 39 10 9 11 36 33 3 DLWLD
Botev Vratsa efbet League (Relegation Group) 10 30 38 9 11 10 24 26 -2 WLDLW
Lokomotiv Sofia efbet League (Relegation Group) 11 30 37 9 10 11 40 39 1 LWLLW
Spartak Varna efbet League (Relegation Group) 12 30 27 5 12 13 25 50 -25 DWLLL
Dobrudzha efbet League (Relegation Group) 13 30 26 7 5 18 23 43 -20 LLDLL
Septemvri Sofia efbet League (Relegation Group) 14 30 26 7 5 18 25 58 -33 DWDLL
Beroe efbet League (Relegation Group) 15 30 23 4 11 15 19 44 -25 DLLWL
Montana efbet League (Relegation Group) 16 30 17 3 8 19 15 45 -30 DLLLL
Cherno More Varna Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs) 5 35 54 14 12 9 38 31 7 LWWDW
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6 35 52 13 13 9 34 40 -6 LLWWL
Arda Kardzhali 7 35 51 14 9 12 39 32 7 WWLDL
Botev Plovdiv 8 35 46 13 7 15 48 43 5 WLLLW
Levski Sofia Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) 1 35 80 25 5 5 71 25 46 WDLWW
CSKA 1948 Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 2 35 66 20 6 9 54 35 19 WDLLW
Ludogorets Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs) 3 35 64 18 10 7 60 25 35 LDWLL
CSKA Sofia 4 35 63 18 9 8 47 29 18 LDWWL
Botev Vratsa 9 36 50 12 14 10 33 32 1 WWDDW
Lokomotiv Sofia 10 36 47 11 14 11 51 45 6 WDDDW
Slavia Sofia 11 36 43 11 10 15 40 44 -4 LLLWL
Septemvri Sofia 12 36 35 9 8 19 31 63 -32 WWDLD
Beroe efbet League (Relegation) 13 36 34 7 13 16 28 49 -21 LDWDW
Spartak Varna Relegation - Vtora liga 14 36 34 7 13 16 32 57 -25 WLWDL
Dobrudzha Relegation - Vtora liga 15 36 30 8 6 22 27 51 -24 LWLDL
Montana Relegation - Vtora liga 16 36 23 4 11 21 21 53 -32 LLDDD