Cherno More Varna 2-0 Lokomotiv Plovdiv: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Tue, May 12 2026 Β· 14:45
FT
πŸ† First League
🌍 Bulgaria
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.10
League avg: 1.10
Both
2.10
League avg: 2.20
Away
1.00
League avg: 1.10
1X2 Probability
Home
36%
ELO-based: 35%
Draw
32%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
32%
ELO-based: 41%
Goal Probability
2.5+
41%
3.5+
29%
BTTS
59%
Best Score Tips
1 - 014%
1 - 114%
0 - 012%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Lokomotiv Plovdiv
01234
Cherno More Varna 0 12.2% 12.2% 6.1% 2.0% 0.5%
1 13.5% 13.5% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6%
2 7.4% 7.4% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
3 2.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1547+25
League
1537Β±0
Away
1575-16
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Cherno More Varna15471549150814371599+25
Lokomotiv Plovdiv15751572154214781602-16
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Cherno More Varna53351131283626DLWDW
Lokomotiv Plovdiv63252131363430DDLWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Cherno More Varna 5 53% 33% 56% 0.6 0.8
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 5 53% 56% 78% 1.0 0.4
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Cherno More Varna 1.1 1.1 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.8
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.8 1.1 0.9
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Cherno More Varna 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.9
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1.1 1.1 0.9 1.1
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 5.88% 11.11% 17.86% 3.57%
16-30 20.59% 19.44% 14.29% 7.14%
31-45 17.65% 19.44% 17.86% 17.86%
46-60 8.82% 11.11% 21.43% 14.29%
61-75 17.65% 5.56% 10.71% 25.00%
76-90 29.41% 33.33% 17.86% 32.14%
Team Comparison
5%
Form
5%
38%
Attack
63%
33%
Defense
67%
51%
Poisson
49%
62%
H2H
38%
55%
Goals
45%
48%
Total
52%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Cherno More Varna 4-0 0-3 0-4 2-1 4 / 3 4 / 2
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-0 0-2 0-5 4-0 3 / 2 5 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Cherno More Varna 17 9 8 11 6 5
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 13 9 4 8 4 4
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Cherno More Varna 4 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-04-26 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0 - 1 FT Cherno More Varna
2026-02-15 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 1 FT Cherno More Varna
2025-08-23 Cherno More Varna 1 - 1 FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2025-02-08 Cherno More Varna 1 - 2 FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv
2024-08-19 Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1 - 2 FT Cherno More Varna
2024-04-28 Cherno More Varna 1 - 0 FT Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.90 Homepage market
Draw 3.25 Homepage market
Away win 4.33 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.57 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.73 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90' Lokomotiv Plovdiv A. Chindris Card Yellow Card
89' Cherno More Varna V. Drobarov subst Out: R. Stefanov
89' Cherno More Varna A. Chandarov subst Out: N. Kostadinov
85' Lokomotiv Plovdiv T. Pavlov Card Yellow Card
84' Lokomotiv Plovdiv I. Ivanov Card Yellow Card
84' Lokomotiv Plovdiv I. Ivanov Card Red Card
79' Lokomotiv Plovdiv E. Ali subst Out: A. Velev
76' Lokomotiv Plovdiv S. Idriz subst Out: C. Longville
76' Cherno More Varna E. Nyagolov subst Out: N. Zlatev
72' Cherno More Varna G. Lazarov Card Yellow Card
65' Cherno More Varna A. Donchev Goal Normal Goal
62' Lokomotiv Plovdiv G. B. Chorbadzhiyski subst Out: D. Iliev
62' Lokomotiv Plovdiv J. Lamy subst Out: Francisco Politino
62' Lokomotiv Plovdiv M. Atanasov subst Out: M. Trdan
61' Cherno More Varna A. Calcan Card Yellow Card
54' Cherno More Varna V. Panayotov subst Out: A. Calcan
46' Cherno More Varna B. Beyhan subst Out: D. Teles
42' Lokomotiv Plovdiv I. Ivanov Card Yellow Card
42' Cherno More Varna A. Chandarov Card Yellow Card
40' Cherno More Varna A. Chandarov Goal Normal Goal
7' Lokomotiv Plovdiv M. Atanasov Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· First League 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Levski Sofia Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group) 1 30 70 22 4 4 64 22 42 DWDWW
Ludogorets Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group) 2 30 60 17 9 4 57 20 37 LDWWW
CSKA 1948 Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group) 3 30 59 18 5 7 50 31 19 WWLWW
CSKA Sofia Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group) 4 30 56 16 8 6 43 23 20 DWWWL
Lokomotiv Plovdiv Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group) 5 30 46 11 13 6 30 33 -3 DDWWW
Cherno More Varna Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group) 6 30 44 11 11 8 33 26 7 LDLLW
Arda Kardzhali Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group) 7 30 44 12 8 10 33 27 6 WLWWW
Botev Plovdiv Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group) 8 30 40 11 7 12 40 37 3 WDWWL
Slavia Sofia efbet League (Relegation Group) 9 30 39 10 9 11 36 33 3 DLWLD
Botev Vratsa efbet League (Relegation Group) 10 30 38 9 11 10 24 26 -2 WLDLW
Lokomotiv Sofia efbet League (Relegation Group) 11 30 37 9 10 11 40 39 1 LWLLW
Spartak Varna efbet League (Relegation Group) 12 30 27 5 12 13 25 50 -25 DWLLL
Dobrudzha efbet League (Relegation Group) 13 30 26 7 5 18 23 43 -20 LLDLL
Septemvri Sofia efbet League (Relegation Group) 14 30 26 7 5 18 25 58 -33 DWDLL
Beroe efbet League (Relegation Group) 15 30 23 4 11 15 19 44 -25 DLLWL
Montana efbet League (Relegation Group) 16 30 17 3 8 19 15 45 -30 DLLLL
Cherno More Varna Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs) 5 35 54 14 12 9 38 31 7 LWWDW
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 6 35 52 13 13 9 34 40 -6 LLWWL
Arda Kardzhali 7 35 51 14 9 12 39 32 7 WWLDL
Botev Plovdiv 8 35 46 13 7 15 48 43 5 WLLLW
Levski Sofia Promotion - Champions League (Qualification) 1 35 80 25 5 5 71 25 46 WDLWW
CSKA 1948 Promotion - Conference League (Qualification) 2 35 66 20 6 9 54 35 19 WDLLW
Ludogorets Promotion - efbet League (Conference League - Play Offs) 3 35 64 18 10 7 60 25 35 LDWLL
CSKA Sofia 4 35 63 18 9 8 47 29 18 LDWWL
Botev Vratsa 9 35 47 11 14 10 31 31 0 WDDWD
Lokomotiv Sofia 10 35 44 10 14 11 49 45 4 DDDWD
Slavia Sofia 11 35 43 11 10 14 40 42 -2 LLWLD
Beroe 12 35 34 7 13 15 28 48 -20 DWDWW
Septemvri Sofia efbet League (Relegation) 13 35 32 8 8 19 30 63 -33 WDLDD
Spartak Varna Relegation - Vtora liga 14 35 31 6 13 16 30 57 -27 LWDLL
Dobrudzha Relegation - Vtora liga 15 35 30 8 6 21 26 49 -23 WLDLL
Montana Relegation - Vtora liga 16 35 23 4 11 20 21 51 -30 LDDDW