Ethiopian Medhin 2-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Ethiopian Medhin 2-1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Premier League 🌍 Ethiopia

Mon, May 11 2026 · 12:00

Ethiopian Medhin

2 - 1

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

🏆 Premier League

🌍 Ethiopia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.00

League avg: 0.80

Both

1.80

League avg: 2.00

Away

0.80

League avg: 1.20

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 44%

Draw

33%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

23%

ELO-based: 32%

Goal Probability

2.5+

38%

3.5+

27%

BTTS

61%

Best Score Tips

0 - 017%

1 - 017%

0 - 113%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Ethiopia Nigd Bank
		0	1	2	3	4
Ethiopian Medhin	0	16.5%	13.2%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%
	1	16.5%	13.2%	5.3%	1.4%	0.3%
	2	8.3%	6.6%	2.6%	0.7%	0.1%
	3	2.8%	2.2%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	0.7%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1557+33

League

1500±0

Away

1505±0

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Ethiopian Medhin	1557	1573	1505	1488	1644	+33
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1505	1514	1494	1509	1524	±0

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Ethiopian Medhin	10	30	37	8	13	9	25	23	DDDWW
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	11	30	38	9	11	10	37	35	WLLDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Ethiopian Medhin	5	60%	50%	67%	1.2	0.8
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	5	47%	42%	75%	1.0	0.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Ethiopian Medhin	0.7	1.0	0.8	0.7	0.9	0.8
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1.5	0.9	1.2	1.1	1.3	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Ethiopian Medhin	0.8	0.7	0.8	0.7
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1.2	0.9	1.2	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	21.74%	17.14%	8.33%	12.12%
16-30	26.09%	5.71%	25.00%	21.21%
31-45	17.39%	17.14%	8.33%	15.15%
46-60		20.00%	16.67%	12.12%
61-75	8.70%	17.14%	16.67%	18.18%
76-90	26.09%	22.86%	25.00%	21.21%

Team Comparison

56%

Form

44%

55%

Attack

45%

43%

Defense

57%

58%

Poisson

42%

29%

H2H

71%

33%

Goals

67%

46%

Total

54%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Ethiopian Medhin	3-0	0-2	0-1	2-1	3 / 3	1 / 2
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	3-0	1-2	0-2	3-1	4 / 2	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Ethiopian Medhin	10	5	5	13	8	5
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	8	5	3	9	5	4

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Ethiopian Medhin	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	4	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-12-31	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2 - 1 FT	Ethiopian Medhin
2025-03-11	Ethiopian Medhin	2 - 1 FT	Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2024-11-28	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1 - 1 FT	Ethiopian Medhin
2024-07-06	Ethiopian Medhin	0 - 2 FT	Ethiopia Nigd Bank
2024-01-17	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	4 - 1 FT	Ethiopian Medhin

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.50	Homepage market
Draw	2.50	Homepage market
Away win	2.80	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.36	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
83'	Ethiopian Medhin	R. Yesouf	Goal	Penalty
71'	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	A. Mohamed	Goal	Own Goal
56'	Ethiopian Medhin	D. Awlachew	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Premier League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Sidama Bunna Champions League	1	32	55	15	10	7	35	20	15	LLLDW
Mekelakeya CAF Confederation Cup	2	32	52	13	13	6	41	23	18	WDDWD
Negelle Arsi	3	32	51	13	12	7	32	25	7	LWWDD
Fasil Ketema	4	32	46	11	13	8	23	24	-1	WLLDL
Awassa Kenema	5	32	45	11	12	9	32	25	7	DLDLD
Mebrat Hayl	6	32	45	11	12	9	26	21	5	LWLLD
Bahardar	7	32	44	9	17	6	25	22	3	WDWDL
Ethiopia Bunna	8	32	43	11	10	11	34	35	-1	LDDLW
Welayta Dicha	9	32	42	9	15	8	32	29	3	DWWDW
Ethiopian Medhin	10	32	41	9	14	9	28	25	3	DWWWD
Ethiopia Nigd Bank	11	32	41	10	11	11	40	38	2	WLWDL
Hadiya Hosaena	12	32	41	10	11	11	28	32	-4	WWLDD
Sheger Ketema	13	32	40	8	16	8	29	28	1	LWDDW
Kedus Giorgis	14	32	40	10	10	12	25	29	-4	DWLDL
Welwalo Adigrat Uni	15	32	39	9	12	11	29	33	-4	WDLWW
Adama Kenema	16	32	38	8	14	10	30	33	-3	LWDDL
Suhul Shire	17	32	36	8	12	12	20	27	-7	WLWDL
Dire Dawa Kenema Relegation	18	32	34	7	13	12	20	35	-15	LLDDL
Mekelle Kenema Relegation	19	32	31	6	13	13	22	35	-13	DLLDW
Arba Minch Kenema Relegation	20	32	29	5	14	13	25	37	-12	DLWDD