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America SP 3-1 Tupa: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
🏆 Paulista Série B 🌍 Brazil
Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 18:00
FT
America SP
3 - 1
Tupa
🏆 Paulista Série B
🌍 Brazil
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.87
League avg: 0.90
Both
2.95
League avg: 2.50
Away
1.08
League avg: 1.60
1X2 Probability
Home
45%
ELO-based: 42%
Draw
28%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
27%
ELO-based: 34%
Goal Probability
2.5+
50%
3.5+
30%
BTTS
53%
Best Score Tips
1 - 111%
2 - 110%
1 - 010%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: America SP vs Tupa

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for America SP vs Tupa.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Tupa
01234
America SP 0 5.2% 5.6% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.8% 10.6% 5.7% 2.0% 0.6%
2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5%
3 5.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3%
4 2.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
ELO Overview
Home
1542+34
League
1491±0
Away
1503+6
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
America SP15421566152615051546+34
Tupa15031510150615161475+6
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
America SP271233164LWDDW
Tupa47103131111WWWLD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
America SP 5 53% 38% 69% 1.0 0.8
Tupa 5 67% 69% 69% 1.8 0.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
America SP 1.3 0.5 0.9 0.0 1.0 0.6
Tupa 1.3 2.0 1.6 1.3 2.0 1.6
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
America SP 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.0
Tupa 1.6 2.0 1.6 2.0
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 20.00% 16.67%
16-30 50.00% 8.33%
31-45 16.67% 10.00% 25.00% 16.67%
46-60 33.33% 40.00% 16.67%
61-75 33.33% 16.67%
76-90 30.00% 25.00% 16.67%
Team Comparison
44%
Form
56%
36%
Attack
64%
5%
Defense
5%
1%
Poisson
%
%
H2H
1%
%
Goals
1%
43%
Total
57%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
America SP 2-0 2-0 2 / 1 0 / 2
Tupa 2-0 1-3 0-4 3-2 2 / 3 4 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
America SP 4 3 1 2 0 2
Tupa 2 2 0 1 1 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
America SP 0 0% 0 0% — —
Tupa 0 0% 0 0% — —
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-02 Tupa 2 - 0 FT America SP
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.17 Unibet
Draw 3.30 Bet365
Away win 3.30 Bet365
Over 2.5 2.00 Bet365
Under 2.5 1.81 Unibet
BTTS Yes 1.73 Marathonbet
BTTS No 2.04 Unibet
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+5' America SP S. Yukawa Goal Normal Goal
90+3' Tupa Card Red Card
59' America SP Goal Normal Goal
37' America SP L. Pinto Goal Normal Goal
20' Tupa H. Sousa Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache · Paulista Série B 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
José Bonifácio Playoff 1 8 18 5 3 0 15 5 10 DWWDD
America SP Playoff 2 8 15 4 3 1 9 5 4 WWDDW
Assisense Playoff 3 8 13 3 4 1 13 10 3 WDDDD
Tupa Playoff 4 8 10 3 1 4 12 14 -2 LDLWW
Riopretano 5 8 6 1 3 4 5 11 -6 DLWDL
Santa Fé FC 6 8 3 1 0 7 7 16 -9 LLLLL
Independente SP Playoff 1 8 21 7 0 1 20 5 15 LWWWW
Matonense Playoff 2 8 16 5 1 2 13 9 4 DWLWW
Santacruzense Playoff 3 8 13 4 1 3 18 11 7 WLWDW
Sao Carlos Playoff 4 8 11 3 2 3 16 10 6 DWLDL
Mogi Mirim 5 8 9 3 0 5 13 13 0 WLWLL
Grêmio Catanduvense 6 8 0 0 0 8 4 36 -32 LLLLL
Flamengo SP Playoff 1 8 17 5 2 1 11 6 5 WLWWD
Guarulhos Playoff 2 8 16 5 1 2 16 9 7 WWDWW
Gremio Osasco Audax Playoff 3 8 13 5 1 2 15 7 8 WWDLW
Sporting Paulinense Playoff 4 8 9 3 0 5 6 15 -9 LWWLL
Paulínia FU 5 8 7 2 1 5 8 12 -4 LLLLD
Votoraty 6 8 4 1 1 6 7 14 -7 LLLWL
Itaquá Athletico Clube Playoff 1 8 22 7 1 0 15 3 12 WWWWD
Maua Playoff 2 8 13 3 4 1 13 10 3 DDLWD
Mauaense Playoff 3 8 12 3 3 2 9 7 2 WDLDW
Uniao Mogi Playoff 4 8 11 3 2 3 11 12 -1 DWWLL
Manthiqueira 5 8 8 2 2 4 10 15 -5 LLWDW
Barcelona EC 6 8 0 0 0 8 4 15 -11 LLLLL