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Independente SP 0-1 Santacruzense: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Jun 7 2026 Β· 13:00
FT
🌍 Brazil
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.91
League avg: 2.90
Both
3.27
League avg: 5.30
Away
1.36
League avg: 2.40
1X2 Probability
Home
48%
ELO-based: 43%
Draw
25%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
27%
ELO-based: 33%
Goal Probability
2.5+
61%
3.5+
38%
BTTS
60%
Best Score Tips
1 - 110%
2 - 19%
1 - 07%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Independente SP vs Santacruzense

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Independente SP vs Santacruzense.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Santacruzense
01234
Independente SP 0 3.8% 5.2% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5%
1 7.2% 9.9% 6.7% 3.0% 1.0%
2 6.9% 9.4% 6.4% 2.9% 1.0%
3 4.4% 6.0% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6%
4 2.1% 2.9% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
ELO Overview
Home
1562+25
League
1491Β±0
Away
1517+25
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Independente SP15621590151316161535+25
Santacruzense15171518150715361518+25
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Independente SP1721700204WWWWW
Santacruzense37103131711LWDWL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Independente SP 5 100% 100% 71% 3.4 0.8
Santacruzense 5 47% 71% 36% 2.0 1.8
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Independente SP 2.7 3.0 2.9 0.7 0.5 0.6
Santacruzense 2.5 2.3 2.4 1.8 1.3 1.6
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Independente SP 2.9 2.7 0.6 0.7
Santacruzense 2.4 2.3 1.6 1.3
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 10.00% 6.25% 25.00%
16-30 10.00% 12.50%
31-45 10.00% 25.00% 8.33%
46-60 15.00% 6.25% 16.67%
61-75 10.00% 31.25% 50.00% 16.67%
76-90 45.00% 18.75% 50.00% 25.00%
Team Comparison
68%
Form
32%
63%
Attack
37%
69%
Defense
31%
63%
Poisson
37%
1%
H2H
%
71%
Goals
29%
67%
Total
33%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Independente SP 4-1 0-4 4 / 5 1 / 2
Santacruzense 6-0 1-5 2-5 2-1 6 / 5 5 / 2
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Independente SP 4 1 3 0 0 0
Santacruzense 2 2 0 0 0 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Independente SP 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Santacruzense 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-03 Santacruzense 2 - 5 FT Independente SP
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
68' Santacruzense Card Red Card
66' Santacruzense L. Cambuhy Goal Penalty
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Paulista SΓ©rie B 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
JosΓ© BonifΓ‘cio Playoff 1 8 18 5 3 0 15 5 10 DWWDD
America SP Playoff 2 8 15 4 3 1 9 5 4 WWDDW
Assisense Playoff 3 8 13 3 4 1 13 10 3 WDDDD
Tupa Playoff 4 8 10 3 1 4 12 14 -2 LDLWW
Riopretano 5 8 6 1 3 4 5 11 -6 DLWDL
Santa FΓ© FC 6 8 3 1 0 7 7 16 -9 LLLLL
Independente SP Playoff 1 8 21 7 0 1 20 5 15 LWWWW
Matonense Playoff 2 8 16 5 1 2 13 9 4 DWLWW
Santacruzense Playoff 3 8 13 4 1 3 18 11 7 WLWDW
Sao Carlos Playoff 4 8 11 3 2 3 16 10 6 DWLDL
Mogi Mirim 5 8 9 3 0 5 13 13 0 WLWLL
GrΓͺmio Catanduvense 6 8 0 0 0 8 4 36 -32 LLLLL
Flamengo SP Playoff 1 8 17 5 2 1 11 6 5 WLWWD
Guarulhos Playoff 2 8 16 5 1 2 16 9 7 WWDWW
Gremio Osasco Audax Playoff 3 8 13 5 1 2 15 7 8 WWDLW
Sporting Paulinense Playoff 4 8 9 3 0 5 6 15 -9 LWWLL
PaulΓ­nia FU 5 8 7 2 1 5 8 12 -4 LLLLD
Votoraty 6 8 4 1 1 6 7 14 -7 LLLWL
ItaquΓ‘ Athletico Clube Playoff 1 8 22 7 1 0 15 3 12 WWWWD
Maua Playoff 2 8 13 3 4 1 13 10 3 DDLWD
Mauaense Playoff 3 8 12 3 3 2 9 7 2 WDLDW
Uniao Mogi Playoff 4 8 11 3 2 3 11 12 -1 DWWLL
Manthiqueira 5 8 8 2 2 4 10 15 -5 LLWDW
Barcelona EC 6 8 0 0 0 8 4 15 -11 LLLLL