Rio Branco ES 1-0 Serra Talhada: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Rio Branco ES 1-0 Serra Talhada: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Copa Espírito Santo 🌍 Brazil

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 18:00

Rio Branco ES

1 - 0

Serra Talhada

🏆 Copa Espírito Santo

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.77

League avg: 1.70

Both

2.72

League avg: 2.70

Away

0.95

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

57%

ELO-based: 40%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

18%

ELO-based: 36%

Goal Probability

2.5+

51%

3.5+

30%

BTTS

52%

Best Score Tips

1 - 012%

1 - 111%

2 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Rio Branco ES vs Serra Talhada

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Rio Branco ES vs Serra Talhada.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Serra Talhada
		0	1	2	3	4
Rio Branco ES	0	6.6%	6.2%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
	1	11.6%	11.1%	5.3%	1.7%	0.4%
	2	10.3%	9.8%	4.7%	1.5%	0.4%
	3	6.1%	5.8%	2.8%	0.9%	0.2%
	4	2.7%	2.6%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1539+9

League

1518±0

Away

1521-45

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Rio Branco ES	1539	1544	1527	1509	1619	+9
Serra Talhada	1521	1484	1486	1587	1543	-45

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Rio Branco ES	5	6	8	2	2	2	10	7	LDLDW
Serra Talhada	7	6	4	1	1	4	6	9	WLLLD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Rio Branco ES	5	33%	64%	36%	1.4	1.4
Serra Talhada	5	27%	55%	27%	1.2	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Rio Branco ES	2.0	1.3	1.7	1.0	1.3	1.2
Serra Talhada	1.3	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.7	1.5

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Rio Branco ES	1.7	2.0	1.2	1.0
Serra Talhada	1.0	0.7	1.5	1.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	16.67%	20.00%		16.67%
16-30			14.29%
31-45	16.67%	20.00%	14.29%	50.00%
46-60		20.00%	42.86%	16.67%
61-75	16.67%	40.00%	14.29%
76-90	50.00%		14.29%	16.67%

Team Comparison

56%

Form

44%

54%

Attack

46%

53%

Defense

47%

75%

Poisson

25%

38%

H2H

62%

43%

Goals

57%

53%

Total

47%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Rio Branco ES	3-0	0-4		3-0	3 / 4	2 / 3
Serra Talhada	1-0		2-3	3-2	2 / 2	3 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Rio Branco ES	2	1	1	2	0	2
Serra Talhada	1	1	0	2	0	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Rio Branco ES	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Serra Talhada	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-01-13	Rio Branco ES	0 - 0 FT	Serra Talhada
2025-04-29	Serra Talhada	3 - 3 FT	Rio Branco ES
2024-01-27	Serra Talhada	1 - 2 FT	Rio Branco ES
2023-02-03	Serra Talhada	2 - 1 FT	Rio Branco ES
2022-02-25	Serra Talhada	2 - 0 FT	Rio Branco ES
2021-05-08	Rio Branco ES	1 - 0 FT	Serra Talhada

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Porto Vitória Playoffs	1	7	16	5	1	1	14	5	9	WDWWW
Vitória ES Playoffs	2	7	13	4	1	2	16	8	8	LLWWD
Vilavelhense Playoffs	3	7	13	4	1	2	10	8	2	WWDLW
Rio Branco-VN Playoffs	4	7	13	4	1	2	6	4	2	WWWDL
Rio Branco ES	5	6	8	2	2	2	10	7	3	WWDLD
Sport Brasil ES	6	7	6	2	0	5	3	13	-10	LLLWW
Serra Talhada	7	6	4	1	1	4	6	9	-3	LDLLL
Audax São Mateus	8	7	4	1	1	5	2	13	-11	LLLDL
São Mateus	9	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	—