Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Torpedo Moskva: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Shinnik Yaroslavl 1-1 Torpedo Moskva: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 First League 🌍 Russia

Mon, May 11 2026 · 14:00

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1 - 1

Torpedo Moskva

🏆 First League

🌍 Russia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.20

League avg: 1.00

Both

1.85

League avg: 2.10

Away

0.65

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

56%

ELO-based: 37%

Draw

31%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

13%

ELO-based: 39%

Goal Probability

2.5+

39%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

54%

Best Score Tips

1 - 019%

0 - 016%

1 - 112%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Torpedo Moskva.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Torpedo Moskva
		0	1	2	3	4
Shinnik Yaroslavl	0	15.7%	10.2%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%
	1	18.9%	12.3%	4.0%	0.9%	0.1%
	2	11.3%	7.4%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
	3	4.5%	2.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	1.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1548+26

League

1519±0

Away

1561+10

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Shinnik Yaroslavl	1548	1574	1525	1455	1589	+26
Torpedo Moskva	1561	1579	1515	1495	1575	+10

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Shinnik Yaroslavl	8	32	46	11	13	8	31	25	WWDWW
Torpedo Moskva	9	32	42	11	9	12	35	38	DWLDW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Shinnik Yaroslavl	5	87%	90%	80%	1.8	0.4
Torpedo Moskva	5	53%	70%	50%	1.4	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Shinnik Yaroslavl	1.3	0.7	1.0	0.6	1.0	0.8
Torpedo Moskva	1.5	0.7	1.1	1.3	1.1	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Shinnik Yaroslavl	1.0	1.3	0.8	0.6
Torpedo Moskva	1.1	0.7	1.2	1.1

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	13.33%	8.82%	7.69%	5.13%
16-30	23.33%	14.71%	11.54%	10.26%
31-45	16.67%	11.76%	23.08%	30.77%
46-60	3.33%	20.59%	15.38%	17.95%
61-75	13.33%	11.76%	26.92%	7.69%
76-90	30.00%	32.35%	15.38%	28.21%

Team Comparison

62%

Form

38%

56%

Attack

44%

71%

Defense

29%

74%

Poisson

26%

25%

H2H

75%

33%

Goals

67%

54%

Total

47%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Shinnik Yaroslavl	4-1	1-2	0-2	3-0	4 / 2	2 / 3
Torpedo Moskva	4-1	0-2	1-4	3-0	4 / 2	4 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Shinnik Yaroslavl	16	9	7	12	5	7
Torpedo Moskva	12	6	6	12	4	8

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Shinnik Yaroslavl	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Torpedo Moskva	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-10-20	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 0 FT	Shinnik Yaroslavl
2025-05-11	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 0 FT	Shinnik Yaroslavl
2024-09-21	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 1 FT	Torpedo Moskva
2024-06-20	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 0 FT	Shinnik Yaroslavl
2024-05-20	Torpedo Moskva	1 - 1 FT	Shinnik Yaroslavl
2023-10-28	Shinnik Yaroslavl	1 - 1 FT	Torpedo Moskva

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+4'	Torpedo Moskva	K. Gotsuk	Card	Yellow Card
90'	Torpedo Moskva	D. Tsypchenko	Goal	Normal Goal
86'	Shinnik Yaroslavl	D. Samoilov	subst	Out: A. Kosogorov
81'	Torpedo Moskva	D. Utkin	subst	Out: I. Berkovsky
72'	Torpedo Moskva	A. Kashtanov	subst	Out: D. Tsypchenko
72'	Shinnik Yaroslavl	I. Porokhov	subst	Out: A. Gongapshev
69'	Torpedo Moskva	A. Kashtanov	Card	Yellow Card
64'	Torpedo Moskva	A. Yushin	subst	Out: D. Kalayda
64'	Torpedo Moskva	V. Shitov	subst	Out: N. Ishchenko
46'	Torpedo Moskva	M. Camara	subst	Out: R. Apekov
45+1'	Shinnik Yaroslavl	I. Porokhov	Goal	Normal Goal
13'	Shinnik Yaroslavl	A. Galoyan	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · First League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Rodina Moskva Promotion - Premier League	1	34	68	19	11	4	58	28	30	WWWWL
Fakel Promotion - Premier League	2	34	68	20	8	6	44	22	22	WDWDD
Ural Promotion - Premier League (Promotion)	3	34	61	18	7	9	51	31	20	LWLWW
Rotor Volgograd Promotion - Premier League (Promotion)	4	34	56	15	11	8	47	26	21	WLDDW
KAMAZ	5	34	49	12	13	9	46	34	12	LLWWW
Enisey	6	34	49	13	10	11	37	35	2	LWLWW
Spartak Kostroma	7	34	49	12	13	9	46	41	5	LDLDW
Shinnik Yaroslavl	8	34	48	11	15	8	34	28	6	DDWWD
Torpedo Moskva	9	34	46	12	10	12	37	39	-2	WDWDL
Chelyabinsk	10	34	44	10	14	10	42	40	2	DLWLD
FK Neftekhimik	11	34	43	10	13	11	40	41	-1	LDLLW
Ska-khabarovsk	12	34	42	10	12	12	37	45	-8	WDWLL
Arsenal Tula	13	34	39	8	15	11	42	44	-2	LLDDD
Volga Ulyanovsk	14	34	37	9	10	15	35	48	-13	LDLDW
FC UFA	15	34	37	9	10	15	32	40	-8	WWLLL
Chernomorets Relegation	16	34	35	9	8	17	37	49	-12	WWLLL
FK Sokol Saratov Relegation	17	34	26	5	11	18	16	44	-28	WDWWL
Chayka Relegation	18	34	22	5	7	22	30	76	-46	LLLLL