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Sacramento Republic 1-1 Monterey Bay: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, Jun 7 2026 Β· 03:00
PEN
🌍 USA
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
4.20
League avg: 2.50
Both
4.35
League avg: 5.00
Away
0.15
League avg: 2.50
1X2 Probability
Home
99%
ELO-based: 52%
Draw
1%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
0%
ELO-based: 24%
Goal Probability
2.5+
71%
3.5+
48%
BTTS
43%
Best Score Tips
4 - 017%
3 - 016%
5 - 014%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Sacramento Republic vs Monterey Bay.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Monterey Bay
01234
Sacramento Republic 0 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.9% 2.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 16.7% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1557+16
League
1503Β±0
Away
1419+1
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Sacramento Republic15571575154615341649+16
Monterey Bay14191423143514471445+1
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Sacramento Republic12620050WW
Monterey Bay52310155WL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Sacramento Republic 2 100% 33% 100% 2.5 0.0
Monterey Bay 2 50% 33% 67% 2.5 2.5
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Sacramento Republic 4.0 1.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0
Monterey Bay 2.0 3.0 2.5 1.0 4.0 2.5
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Sacramento Republic 2.5 4.0 0.0 0.0
Monterey Bay 2.5 3.0 2.5 4.0
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 20.00% 25.00% 20.00%
16-30 25.00% 20.00%
31-45 20.00% 25.00%
46-60 40.00% 40.00%
61-75 25.00%
76-90 20.00% 20.00%
Team Comparison
67%
Form
33%
5%
Attack
5%
1%
Defense
%
1%
Poisson
%
38%
H2H
62%
45%
Goals
55%
5%
Total
5%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Sacramento Republic 4-0 0-1 4 / 1 0 / 0
Monterey Bay 2-1 4-3 2 / 3 1 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Sacramento Republic 2 1 1 0 0 0
Monterey Bay 0 0 0 0 0 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Sacramento Republic 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Monterey Bay 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-03-22 Sacramento Republic 1 - 1 FT Monterey Bay
2025-09-28 Monterey Bay 1 - 0 FT Sacramento Republic
2025-08-10 Sacramento Republic 1 - 0 FT Monterey Bay
2025-03-01 Monterey Bay 2 - 1 FT Sacramento Republic
2024-10-10 Sacramento Republic 2 - 2 FT Monterey Bay
2024-06-09 Monterey Bay 0 - 2 FT Sacramento Republic
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.69 Dafabet
Draw 3.70 Bet365
Away win 5.08 1xBet
Over 2.5 2.05 Unibet
Under 2.5 1.95 Bet365
BTTS Yes 2.00 Unibet
BTTS No 1.85 William Hill
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
120+5' Sacramento Republic R. Spaulding Goal Penalty
120+4' Sacramento Republic M. Malango Goal Penalty
120+4' Monterey Bay W. Leggett Goal Penalty
120+3' Sacramento Republic L. Desmond Goal Penalty
120+3' Monterey Bay O. Glasgow Goal Penalty
120+2' Sacramento Republic M. Benitez Goal Penalty
120+2' Monterey Bay I. Paul Goal Missed Penalty
120+1' Sacramento Republic M. Kaye Goal Penalty
120+1' Monterey Bay E. Blancas Goal Penalty
80' Sacramento Republic T. Wolff subst Out: P. Reedy
67' Sacramento Republic D. Crisostomo subst Out: M. Malango
67' Sacramento Republic D. Wanner subst Out: R. Spaulding
61' Monterey Bay S. Lletget subst Out: W. Leggett
61' Monterey Bay R. Bidois subst Out: I. Paul
60' Sacramento Republic M. Benitez Goal Penalty
58' Monterey Bay S. Ritchie Card Yellow Card
53' Monterey Bay R. Bidois Goal Normal Goal
46' Sacramento Republic M. Rodriguez subst Out: B. Willey
46' Monterey Bay N. Ross subst Out: R. Nakamura
46' Monterey Bay L. Malesevic subst Out: O. Glasgow
46' Monterey Bay G. Lomtadze subst Out: E. Blancas
45+2' Sacramento Republic T. Wolff Card Yellow Card
37' Sacramento Republic K. Edwards subst Out: C. Ukaegbu
30' Sacramento Republic J. Timmer Card Red Card
6' Monterey Bay K. Egwu Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· USL League One Cup 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Tampa Bay Rowdies Playoffs 1 3 9 3 0 0 8 1 7 WWW
Miami FC 2 3 6 2 0 1 6 5 1 LWW
Sporting JAX 3 4 4 1 1 2 4 7 -3 LLWL
Sarasota Paradise 4 3 3 1 0 2 2 4 -2 WLL
Naples 5 3 2 1 1 2 5 8 -3 LWL
Tormenta 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 β€”
Charleston Battery Playoffs 1 3 8 3 1 0 10 3 7 DWW
Charlotte Independence 2 2 5 2 1 0 7 4 3 WW
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 3 3 5 1 2 2 8 9 -1 DLW
Loudoun United 4 2 3 1 0 1 3 2 1 WL
Greenville Triumph 5 1 0 0 0 1 0 3 -3 L
Richmond Kickers 6 3 0 0 0 3 1 8 -7 LLL
Hartford Athletic Playoffs 1 3 7 2 1 1 9 5 4 WWL
Rhode Island 2 3 5 1 1 1 8 5 3 WLW
Portland Hearts of Pine 3 2 4 1 1 1 8 8 0 WL
Brooklyn 4 2 3 1 0 1 3 2 1 LW
NY Cosmos 5 3 3 1 0 2 4 9 -5 LWL
Westchester SC 6 3 2 1 1 2 9 12 -3 LLW
Sacramento Republic Playoffs 1 3 9 3 1 0 6 1 5 DWW
Spokane Velocity 2 3 6 2 0 1 3 5 -2 WWL
Boise 3 3 5 1 1 1 10 8 2 LWW
Oakland Roots 4 3 4 1 1 1 6 6 0 WLL
Monterey Bay 5 3 2 1 2 2 9 9 0 DLW
Las Vegas Lights 6 3 1 0 1 2 3 8 -5 LLL
Colorado Springs Playoffs 1 3 9 3 0 0 7 1 6 WWW
El Paso Locomotive 2 3 6 2 0 1 5 3 2 LWW
New Mexico United 3 3 6 2 0 1 6 5 1 WLW
Alta 4 3 3 1 0 2 3 5 -2 WLL
Phoenix Rising 5 3 3 1 0 2 2 6 -4 LWL
Orange County SC 6 3 0 0 0 3 3 6 -3 LLL
San Antonio Playoffs 1 3 8 2 1 0 6 2 4 WWW
FC Tulsa 2 3 4 1 1 1 5 6 -1 LWL
Corpus Christi 3 2 3 1 0 1 1 1 0 LW
Birmingham Legion 4 2 3 1 2 1 5 6 -1 WL
One Knoxville 5 2 2 1 1 1 4 4 0 LW
Chattanooga Red Wolves 6 2 1 0 1 2 3 5 -2 LL
Louisville City Playoffs 1 2 6 2 0 0 8 2 6 WW
Union Omaha 2 3 6 2 0 1 7 8 -1 WLW
Lexington 3 2 5 2 1 0 8 4 4 DW
Indy Eleven 4 3 5 1 1 1 8 5 3 WWL
Detroit City 5 2 4 1 1 1 3 4 -1 DW
Fort Wayne 6 3 1 0 1 2 6 12 -6 LLL
Forward Madison 7 3 0 0 0 3 2 7 -5 LLL