Parana 6-1 Toledo: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Parana 6-1 Toledo: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Paranaense - 2 🌍 Brazil

Sun, May 10 2026 · 20:00

Parana

6 - 1

Toledo

🏆 Paranaense - 2

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.60

League avg: 1.60

Both

2.10

League avg: 2.20

Away

0.50

League avg: 0.60

1X2 Probability

Home

77%

ELO-based: 52%

Draw

19%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

ELO-based: 24%

Goal Probability

2.5+

39%

3.5+

28%

BTTS

58%

Best Score Tips

1 - 020%

2 - 016%

0 - 012%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Parana vs Toledo

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Parana vs Toledo.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Toledo
		0	1	2	3	4
Parana	0	12.2%	6.1%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
	1	19.6%	9.8%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
	2	15.7%	7.8%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
	3	8.4%	4.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	4	3.3%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1570+53

League

1497±0

Away

1433-17

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Parana	1570	1612	1525	1556	1559	+53
Toledo	1433	1425	1460	1396	1366	-17

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Parana	1	10	26	8	2	0	16	3	WWWWW
Toledo	8	10	10	2	4	4	6	12	LLDWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Parana	5	100%	77%	85%	2.0	0.4
Toledo	5	27%	15%	38%	0.4	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Parana	1.8	1.4	1.6	0.4	0.2	0.3
Toledo	0.6	0.6	0.6	1.0	1.4	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Parana	1.6	1.8	0.3	0.4
Toledo	0.6	0.6	1.2	1.4

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	21.43%		33.33%	10.00%
16-30		33.33%	33.33%	10.00%
31-45	21.43%			20.00%
46-60	21.43%	16.67%	33.33%	30.00%
61-75	14.29%	16.67%		10.00%
76-90	21.43%	33.33%		20.00%

Team Comparison

79%

Form

21%

83%

Attack

17%

Defense

Poisson

H2H

89%

Goals

11%

84%

Total

17%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Parana	3-1	0-3			3 / 3	1 / 1
Toledo	1-0	0-1	0-2	4-1	1 / 1	2 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Parana	7	3	4	1	0	1
Toledo	4	2	2	4	2	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Parana	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Toledo	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-03	Toledo	0 - 2 FT	Parana
2026-04-10	Parana	2 - 0 FT	Toledo
2023-04-30	Parana	2 - 0 FT	Toledo
2021-03-17	Toledo	0 - 2 FT	Parana
2020-03-15	Toledo	1 - 0 FT	Parana

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.33	Homepage market
Draw	4.10	Homepage market
Away win	7.50	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	2.10	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
85'	Parana	Liliu	Goal	Normal Goal
68'	Parana	Daniel Cruz	Goal	Normal Goal
59'	Parana	Thiaguinho	Goal	Normal Goal
45'	Parana	Ruan Lima	Goal	Normal Goal
29'	Parana	Joao Felipe	Goal	Normal Goal
14'	Toledo	Shinji	Goal	Normal Goal
10'	Parana	M. Santana	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Parana Playoffs	1	9	23	7	2	0	14	3	11	WWWWW
Patriotas Playoffs	2	9	19	6	1	2	16	9	7	WWDLW
Laranja Mecânica Playoffs	3	9	14	4	2	3	7	9	-2	LDLWD
Araucária Playoffs	4	9	12	3	3	3	13	14	-1	LWWWL
Rio Branco PR Playoffs	5	9	11	2	5	2	16	14	2	LLWDL
Paranavaí Playoffs	6	9	10	3	1	5	10	11	-1	LWDLL
Nacional PR Playoffs	7	9	10	2	4	3	9	12	-3	LDWDL
Toledo Playoffs	8	9	10	2	4	3	6	10	-4	LLWDL
Batel Relegation	9	9	9	2	3	4	10	10	0	LDDWD
Prudentópolis Relegation	10	9	4	1	1	7	4	13	-9	LLLLL