Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Newroz: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Al Kahrabaa 2-1 Newroz: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Iraqi League 🌍 Iraq

Mon, May 11 2026 · 14:30

Al Kahrabaa

2 - 1

Newroz

🏆 Iraqi League

🌍 Iraq

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.25

League avg: 1.10

Both

2.60

League avg: 2.40

Away

1.35

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

29%

ELO-based: 35%

Draw

24%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

47%

ELO-based: 41%

Goal Probability

2.5+

52%

3.5+

37%

BTTS

68%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 110%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Al Kahrabaa vs Newroz

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Al Kahrabaa vs Newroz.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Newroz
		0	1	2	3	4
Al Kahrabaa	0	7.4%	10.0%	6.8%	3.0%	1.0%
	1	9.3%	12.5%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
	2	5.8%	7.8%	5.3%	2.4%	0.8%
	3	2.4%	3.3%	2.2%	1.0%	0.3%
	4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1456+13

League

1511±0

Away

1484-22

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Al Kahrabaa	1456	1460	1481	1495	1475	+13
Newroz	1484	1434	1493	1480	1489	-22

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Al Kahrabaa	15	31	25	7	4	20	34	49	LLLLD
Newroz	9	33	47	14	5	14	42	41	LDDWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Al Kahrabaa	5	7%	58%	0%	1.4	2.6
Newroz	5	33%	42%	33%	1.0	1.6

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Al Kahrabaa	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.4	1.8	1.6
Newroz	1.2	1.3	1.3	1.1	1.4	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Al Kahrabaa	1.1	1.1	1.6	1.4
Newroz	1.3	1.3	1.2	1.4

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	8.11%	9.09%	8.70%	7.69%
16-30	5.41%	22.73%	10.87%	5.13%
31-45	18.92%	13.64%	17.39%	17.95%
46-60	16.22%	4.55%	17.39%	23.08%
61-75	18.92%	15.91%	10.87%	17.95%
76-90	32.43%	34.09%	32.61%	25.64%

Team Comparison

17%

Form

83%

58%

Attack

42%

38%

Defense

62%

42%

Poisson

58%

H2H

Goals

43%

Total

58%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Al Kahrabaa	5-0	0-2	0-3	4-0	5 / 2	3 / 4
Newroz	4-1	0-3	0-3	4-0	4 / 3	3 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Al Kahrabaa	6	4	2	11	6	5
Newroz	9	4	5	9	7	2

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Al Kahrabaa	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Newroz	7	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2025-09-13	Newroz	3 - 2 FT	Al Kahrabaa
2024-10-06	Al Kahrabaa	2 - 1 FT	Newroz
2024-07-05	Al Kahrabaa	1 - 1 FT	Newroz
2023-12-07	Newroz	1 - 1 FT	Al Kahrabaa
2023-05-10	Al Kahrabaa	0 - 0 FT	Newroz
2022-12-09	Newroz	1 - 2 FT	Al Kahrabaa

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.35	Homepage market
Draw	3.25	Homepage market
Away win	2.62	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.80	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
76'	Al Kahrabaa	A. A. Hassan	Goal	Normal Goal
73'	Newroz	A. Khalil	Goal	Normal Goal
30'	Al Kahrabaa	L. Esquerdinha	Goal	Penalty

League Standings

Local standings cache · Iraqi League 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)	1	35	80	24	8	3	55	25	30	WLWWD
Al Shorta	2	35	76	23	7	5	67	30	37	WWWWD
Erbil	3	35	70	20	10	5	52	30	22	LWDWW
Al Zawra'a	4	35	66	17	15	3	49	28	21	DWWDD
Al Talaba	5	35	62	18	8	9	50	35	15	LDLWL
Al-Karma	6	35	58	15	13	7	48	25	23	DWDLD
Al Karkh	7	35	56	15	11	9	45	36	9	DWWLW
Zakho	8	34	52	14	10	10	43	36	7	DLLWD
Newroz	9	35	50	15	5	15	44	43	1	WLLWD
Duhok	10	35	49	13	10	12	42	41	1	DWWDW
Diyala	11	35	46	12	10	13	38	37	1	LWDLL
Mosul	12	35	43	10	13	12	42	47	-5	DDLDW
Naft	13	35	41	9	14	12	29	32	-3	DLDLD
Gharraf	14	35	40	10	10	15	35	38	-3	DLDDL
Al Kahrabaa	15	34	34	10	4	20	40	50	-10	WWDL
Al Minaa Basra	16	34	34	8	10	16	34	44	-10	DLDLW
Naft Maysan	17	34	34	8	10	16	39	52	-13	DWLLD
Baghdad Stars League (Relegation)	18	35	34	9	7	19	41	61	-20	LLDDD
Al Najaf Relegation	19	33	17	4	5	24	25	60	-35	DLDL
Al-Qasim Relegation	20	35	6	0	6	29	18	86	-68	DLDDD