Al Karkh 2-1 Baghdad: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
🏆 Iraqi League 🌍 Iraq
Mon, May 11 2026 · 14:30
FT
Al Karkh
2 - 1
Baghdad
🏆 Iraqi League
🌍 Iraq
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.80
League avg: 1.20
Both
2.70
League avg: 2.30
Away
0.90
League avg: 1.10
1X2 Probability
Home
74%
ELO-based: 53%
Draw
16%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
10%
ELO-based: 23%
Goal Probability
2.5+
53%
3.5+
38%
BTTS
71%
Best Score Tips
1 - 012%
1 - 111%
2 - 011%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Al Karkh vs Baghdad

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Al Karkh vs Baghdad.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Baghdad
01234
Al Karkh 0 6.7% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 12.1% 10.9% 4.9% 1.5% 0.3%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3%
3 6.5% 5.9% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.9% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1547+22
League
1511±0
Away
1398-18
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Al Karkh15471553150915001550+22
Baghdad13981384144114491362-18
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Al Karkh73352141094133LDWLW
Baghdad18322978173559DLDDD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Al Karkh 5 47% 50% 50% 1.2 1.2
Baghdad 5 27% 50% 17% 1.2 2.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Al Karkh 1.3 1.2 1.2 0.9 1.1 1.0
Baghdad 1.3 0.9 1.1 1.4 2.3 1.8
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Al Karkh 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.9
Baghdad 1.1 0.9 1.8 2.3
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 12.50% 17.14% 8.82% 13.56%
16-30 12.50% 2.86% 17.65% 10.17%
31-45 17.50% 11.43% 14.71% 20.34%
46-60 15.00% 28.57% 11.76% 15.25%
61-75 22.50% 22.86% 14.71% 11.86%
76-90 20.00% 17.14% 32.35% 28.81%
Team Comparison
64%
Form
36%
5%
Attack
5%
63%
Defense
38%
75%
Poisson
25%
64%
H2H
36%
57%
Goals
43%
62%
Total
38%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Al Karkh 3-0 0-3 0-2 3-0 3 / 3 2 / 3
Baghdad 4-1 0-1 0-3 5-0 4 / 2 3 / 5
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Al Karkh 9 5 4 11 5 6
Baghdad 3 1 2 9 5 4
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Al Karkh 5 100.00% 0 0% — —
Baghdad 6 100.00% 0 0% — —
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-01-18 Baghdad 1 - 1 FT Al Karkh
2024-05-29 Al Karkh 0 - 0 FT Baghdad
2023-11-03 Baghdad 1 - 1 FT Al Karkh
2022-05-20 Al Karkh 2 - 1 FT Baghdad
2021-12-16 Baghdad 0 - 0 FT Al Karkh
2021-07-18 Al Karkh 0 - 0 FT Baghdad
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
54' Al Karkh Y. Hmoud Goal Normal Goal
30' Al Karkh Y. Hmoud Goal Normal Goal
27' Baghdad M. Abdel Amir Goal Penalty
League Standings
Local standings cache · Iraqi League 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase) 1 35 80 24 8 3 55 25 30 WLWWD
Al Shorta 2 35 76 23 7 5 67 30 37 WWWWD
Erbil 3 35 70 20 10 5 52 30 22 LWDWW
Al Zawra'a 4 35 66 17 15 3 49 28 21 DWWDD
Al Talaba 5 35 62 18 8 9 50 35 15 LDLWL
Al-Karma 6 35 58 15 13 7 48 25 23 DWDLD
Al Karkh 7 35 56 15 11 9 45 36 9 DWWLW
Zakho 8 34 52 14 10 10 43 36 7 DLLWD
Newroz 9 35 50 15 5 15 44 43 1 WLLWD
Duhok 10 35 49 13 10 12 42 41 1 DWWDW
Diyala 11 35 46 12 10 13 38 37 1 LWDLL
Mosul 12 35 43 10 13 12 42 47 -5 DDLDW
Naft 13 35 41 9 14 12 29 32 -3 DLDLD
Gharraf 14 35 40 10 10 15 35 38 -3 DLDDL
Al Kahrabaa 15 34 34 10 4 20 40 50 -10 WWDL
Al Minaa Basra 16 34 34 8 10 16 34 44 -10 DLDLW
Naft Maysan 17 34 34 8 10 16 39 52 -13 DWLLD
Baghdad Stars League (Relegation) 18 35 34 9 7 19 41 61 -20 LLDDD
Al Najaf Relegation 19 33 17 4 5 24 25 60 -35 DLDL
Al-Qasim Relegation 20 35 6 0 6 29 18 86 -68 DLDDD