Pérolas Negras 2-1 Serrano RJ: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Pérolas Negras 2-1 Serrano RJ: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Carioca A2 🌍 Brazil

Sat, Jun 6 2026 · 17:45

Pérolas Negras

2 - 1

Serrano RJ

🏆 Carioca A2

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.40

League avg: 1.00

Both

2.93

League avg: 2.30

Away

1.53

League avg: 1.30

1X2 Probability

Home

27%

ELO-based: 31%

Draw

24%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

49%

ELO-based: 45%

Goal Probability

2.5+

52%

3.5+

31%

BTTS

57%

Best Score Tips

1 - 111%

1 - 29%

0 - 18%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Pérolas Negras vs Serrano RJ

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Pérolas Negras vs Serrano RJ.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Serrano RJ
		0	1	2	3	4
Pérolas Negras	0	5.3%	8.2%	6.2%	3.2%	1.2%
	1	7.5%	11.4%	8.7%	4.4%	1.7%
	2	5.3%	8.0%	6.1%	3.1%	1.2%
	3	2.5%	3.8%	2.9%	1.5%	0.6%
	4	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1482-11

League

1497±0

Away

1547-20

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Pérolas Negras	1482	1477	1496	1478	1485	-11
Serrano RJ	1547	1525	1520	1494	1551	-20

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Pérolas Negras	6	6	7	2	1	3	6	10	DLLWL
Serrano RJ	8	6	9	2	3	1	8	7	DDDWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Pérolas Negras	5	27%	36%	29%	1.0	2.0
Serrano RJ	5	40%	43%	57%	1.2	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Pérolas Negras	1.3	0.7	1.0	1.3	2.0	1.7
Serrano RJ	0.7	2.0	1.3	1.0	1.3	1.2

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Pérolas Negras	1.0	1.3	1.7	1.3
Serrano RJ	1.3	2.0	1.2	1.3

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15		33.33%	25.00%
16-30		33.33%	12.50%	16.67%
31-45		16.67%		16.67%
46-60		16.67%
61-75	100.00%		12.50%	33.33%
76-90			37.50%	16.67%

Team Comparison

Form

45%

Attack

55%

38%

Defense

63%

35%

Poisson

65%

71%

H2H

29%

67%

Goals

33%

49%

Total

51%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Pérolas Negras	3-1	0-1	0-2	4-1	3 / 1	2 / 4
Serrano RJ		1-2	1-2		1 / 2	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Pérolas Negras	1	0	1	2	1	1
Serrano RJ	1	1	0	1	1	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Pérolas Negras	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Serrano RJ	1	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2024-11-06	Serrano RJ	2 - 2 FT	Pérolas Negras
2023-10-02	Pérolas Negras	0 - 1 FT	Serrano RJ
2022-11-12	Serrano RJ	0 - 1 FT	Pérolas Negras
2022-11-05	Pérolas Negras	1 - 0 FT	Serrano RJ
2022-10-26	Pérolas Negras	2 - 0 FT	Serrano RJ
2021-11-13	Pérolas Negras	1 - 1 FT	Serrano RJ

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+5'	Pérolas Negras	Tereu	Goal	Normal Goal
90+3'	Pérolas Negras	Ariel Nicolas	Goal	Normal Goal
46'	Serrano RJ	C. Fonseca	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
CFRJ / Maricá Playoffs	1	7	16	5	1	1	6	5	1	DWWWW
Americano Campos Playoffs	2	7	15	5	0	2	12	6	6	WWWLW
Resende Playoffs	3	7	15	4	3	0	14	5	9	WDWWD
América RJ Playoffs	4	7	12	4	0	3	9	8	1	WWLLW
Cabofriense	5	7	11	3	2	2	9	7	2	LWWDD
Pérolas Negras	6	7	10	3	1	3	8	11	-3	WLWLL
Olaria	7	7	9	2	3	2	8	7	1	DDLWL
Serrano RJ	8	7	9	2	3	2	9	9	0	LLWDD
Bonsucesso	9	7	8	2	2	3	6	6	0	DWLLD
Audax Rio	10	7	6	2	0	5	7	13	-6	LLLWW
São Gonçalo EC RJ Relegation	11	7	4	1	1	5	3	8	-5	DLLLL
CEAC / Araruama Relegation	12	7	3	1	0	6	7	13	-6	LLWLL