Redenção FC 2-2 Grapiuna Itabuna: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Redenção FC 2-2 Grapiuna Itabuna: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Baiano - 2 🌍 Brazil

Sun, Jun 7 2026 · 18:00

Redenção FC

2 - 2

Grapiuna Itabuna

🏆 Baiano - 2

🌍 Brazil

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.61

League avg: 1.80

Both

2.85

League avg: 2.40

Away

1.24

League avg: 0.60

1X2 Probability

Home

44%

ELO-based: 48%

Draw

28%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

28%

ELO-based: 28%

Goal Probability

2.5+

54%

3.5+

32%

BTTS

52%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

2 - 19%

1 - 09%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Redenção FC vs Grapiuna Itabuna

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Redenção FC vs Grapiuna Itabuna.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Grapiuna Itabuna
		0	1	2	3	4
Redenção FC	0	5.8%	7.2%	4.5%	1.8%	0.6%
	1	9.3%	11.5%	7.2%	3.0%	0.9%
	2	7.5%	9.3%	5.8%	2.4%	0.7%
	3	4.0%	5.0%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
	4	1.6%	2.0%	1.2%	0.5%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1490+2

League

1488±0

Away

1395-3

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Redenção FC	1490	1484	1497	1532	1472	+2
Grapiuna Itabuna	1395	1394	1476	1414	1294	-3

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Redenção FC	6	5	6	2	0	3	9	9	LLWWL
Grapiuna Itabuna	8	5	3	1	0	4	3	10	LLLLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Redenção FC	5	40%	56%	44%	1.8	1.8
Grapiuna Itabuna	5	20%	19%	38%	0.6	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Redenção FC	1.5	2.0	1.8	1.5	2.0	1.8
Grapiuna Itabuna	0.0	1.0	0.6	2.5	1.7	2.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Redenção FC	1.8	1.5	1.8	1.5
Grapiuna Itabuna	0.6	1.0	2.0	1.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15			11.11%	30.00%
16-30		100.00%	22.22%
31-45	22.22%		11.11%	10.00%
46-60	22.22%		22.22%	20.00%
61-75	22.22%		11.11%	20.00%
76-90	22.22%		22.22%	20.00%

Team Comparison

67%

Form

33%

75%

Attack

25%

53%

Defense

47%

64%

Poisson

36%

H2H

Goals

65%

Total

35%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Redenção FC	3-2	0-6	0-1	5-0	3 / 6	2 / 5
Grapiuna Itabuna		0-2	0-4	3-0	0 / 2	4 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Redenção FC	1	0	1	3	1	2
Grapiuna Itabuna	1	0	1	3	2	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Redenção FC	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Grapiuna Itabuna	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.50	1xBet
Draw	4.20	Bet365
Away win	6.25	Bet365
Over 2.5	1.60	Bet365
Under 2.5	2.37	1xBet
BTTS Yes	1.62	1xBet
BTTS No	2.18	1xBet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Type	Detail
90+7'	Redenção FC	Card	Red Card
90+1'	Grapiuna Itabuna	Goal	Normal Goal
49'	Grapiuna Itabuna	Card	Red Card
45+5'	Redenção FC	Goal	Normal Goal
18'	Grapiuna Itabuna	Goal	Normal Goal
8'	Redenção FC	Goal	Normal Goal

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Fluminense De Feira Playoffs	1	6	18	6	0	0	21	3	18	WWWWW
SSA Playoffs	2	6	15	5	0	1	10	1	9	LWWWW
Feira FC Playoffs	3	6	12	4	0	2	15	4	11	WWLLW
Barreiras FC Playoffs	4	5	12	4	0	1	14	4	10	WLWWW
Jacobina	5	5	7	2	1	2	6	5	1	LWLDL
Redenção FC	6	6	7	2	1	3	11	11	0	DLWWL
Vitoria Da Conquista	7	6	5	1	2	3	6	10	-4	WLLDD
Grapiuna Itabuna	8	6	4	1	1	4	5	12	-7	DWLLL
Leonico Relegation	9	6	4	1	1	4	4	20	-16	LLWLD
Camaçari Relegation	10	6	0	0	0	6	4	26	-22	LLLLL