Olancho 0-2 CD Motagua: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Olancho 0-2 CD Motagua: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Liga Nacional 🌍 Honduras

Wed, May 13 2026 · 00:00

Olancho

0 - 2

CD Motagua

🏆 Liga Nacional

🌍 Honduras

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.45

League avg: 1.60

Both

2.90

League avg: 3.30

Away

1.45

League avg: 1.70

1X2 Probability

Home

31%

ELO-based: 32%

Draw

22%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

47%

ELO-based: 44%

Goal Probability

2.5+

58%

3.5+

41%

BTTS

75%

Best Score Tips

1 - 112%

1 - 28%

2 - 18%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Olancho vs CD Motagua

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Olancho vs CD Motagua.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		CD Motagua
		0	1	2	3	4
Olancho	0	5.5%	8.0%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
	1	8.0%	11.6%	8.4%	4.1%	1.5%
	2	5.8%	8.4%	6.1%	2.9%	1.1%
	3	2.8%	4.1%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%
	4	1.0%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%

ELO Overview

Home

1504-18

League

1505±0

Away

1559-16

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Olancho	1504	1503	1510	1515	1532	-18
CD Motagua	1559	1563	1548	1606	1552	-16

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Olancho	2	46	66	16	18	12	74	57	DLDLW
CD Motagua	3	46	77	21	14	11	79	59	DWLDL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Olancho	5	33%	33%	53%	1.0	1.4
CD Motagua	5	33%	53%	60%	1.6	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Olancho	1.9	1.3	1.6	1.2	1.3	1.2
CD Motagua	1.7	1.7	1.7	1.5	1.0	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Olancho	1.6	1.9	1.2	1.2
CD Motagua	1.7	1.7	1.3	1.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	12.33%	8.75%	12.07%	8.77%
16-30	16.44%	8.75%	12.07%	12.28%
31-45	20.55%	26.25%	20.69%	17.54%
46-60	19.18%	15.00%	12.07%	21.05%
61-75	10.96%	15.00%	20.69%	17.54%
76-90	20.55%	26.25%	22.41%	22.81%

Team Comparison

Form

38%

Attack

62%

46%

Defense

54%

46%

Poisson

54%

62%

H2H

38%

57%

Goals

43%

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Olancho	6-2	0-4	0-3	4-1	6 / 4	3 / 4
CD Motagua	5-1	1-7	0-4	3-1	5 / 7	4 / 3

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Olancho	10	4	6	8	3	5
CD Motagua	10	3	7	10	5	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Olancho	6	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
CD Motagua	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-10	CD Motagua	1 - 2 FT	Olancho
2026-04-24	Olancho	0 - 0 FT	CD Motagua
2026-03-01	CD Motagua	1 - 1 FT	Olancho
2025-11-21	CD Motagua	3 - 2 FT	Olancho
2025-08-10	Olancho	3 - 1 FT	CD Motagua
2025-03-13	CD Motagua	1 - 0 FT	Olancho

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.62	Homepage market
Draw	3.30	Homepage market
Away win	2.25	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.73	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+9'	Olancho	J. Delgado	Card	Yellow Card
89'	CD Motagua	J. Serrano	subst	Out: L. Santamaria
89'	CD Motagua	C. Melendez	subst	Out: C. Palma
69'	CD Motagua	R. De Olivera	subst	Out: John Kleber
69'	Olancho	K. Lopez	subst	Out: D. Murillo
63'	Olancho	D. Martinez	subst	Out: G. Leiva
60'	CD Motagua	Romario	subst	Out: J. Macias
60'	CD Motagua	L. Vega	subst	Out: M. Santos
51'	CD Motagua	R. De Olivera	Goal	Normal Goal
46'	Olancho	J. Sanchez	subst	Out: C. J. Zuniga Bernardez
46'	Olancho	C. Calix	subst	Out: M. R. Ramirez Arauz
46'	Olancho	H. Gomez	subst	Out: J. Delgado
45+2'	Olancho	O. Elvir	Card	Yellow Card
38'	CD Motagua	R. De Olivera	Card	Yellow Card
21'	CD Motagua	A. Reyes	Goal	Normal Goal
2'	CD Motagua	J. Serrano	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Liga Nacional 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
CD Olimpia Next group phase	1	20	44	13	5	2	45	27	18	LWLWW
CD Marathon Next group phase	2	20	42	12	6	2	41	15	26	WLWLL
CD Motagua Next group phase	3	20	35	10	5	5	39	32	7	WLDLW
Platense FC Next group phase	4	20	29	8	5	7	34	20	14	LWLWD
Real Espana Next group phase	5	20	29	8	5	7	29	22	7	LWLWW
Olancho Next group phase	6	20	27	6	9	5	38	30	8	DLWLD
Lobos Upnfm	7	20	26	6	8	6	24	30	-6	WLLLD
Juticalpa	8	20	21	6	7	7	28	42	-14	WLLDL
Génesis	9	20	18	4	6	10	29	35	-6	DWDDW
Victoria	10	20	14	4	2	14	23	42	-19	LLWLL
Atlético Choloma Relegation	11	20	11	3	2	15	22	57	-35	WLLWW
CD Olimpia Playoffs	1	4	10	3	1	0	5	1	4	LWLWW
Real Espana	2	4	4	1	1	2	4	3	1	LWLWW
CD Motagua	3	4	2	0	2	2	2	7	-5	WLDLW
CD Marathon Playoffs	1	4	10	3	1	0	10	3	7	WLWLL
Olancho	2	4	4	1	1	2	5	7	-2	DLWLD
Platense FC	3	4	2	0	2	2	4	9	-5	LWLWD