Club Nacional 4-0 Cerro: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Club Nacional 4-0 Cerro: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Primera División - Apertura 🌍 Uruguay

Sun, May 10 2026 · 22:30

Club Nacional

4 - 0

Cerro

🏆 Primera División - Apertura

🌍 Uruguay

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.25

League avg: 1.25

Both

2.50

League avg: 2.50

Away

1.25

League avg: 1.25

1X2 Probability

Home

33%

ELO-based: 55%

Draw

34%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

33%

ELO-based: 21%

Goal Probability

2.5+

46%

3.5+

24%

BTTS

51%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 110%

1 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Club Nacional vs Cerro

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Club Nacional vs Cerro.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Cerro
		0	1	2	3	4
Club Nacional	0	8.2%	10.3%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%
	1	10.3%	12.8%	8.0%	3.3%	1.0%
	2	6.4%	8.0%	5.0%	2.1%	0.7%
	3	2.7%	3.3%	2.1%	0.9%	0.3%
	4	0.8%	1.0%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1596-22

League

1519±0

Away

1429-33

ELO Verdict

Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Club Nacional	1596	1585	1559	1638	1540	-22
Cerro	1429	1407	1435	1369	1452	-33

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Club Nacional	7	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cerro	16	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Club Nacional	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cerro	—	—	—	—	—	—

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Club Nacional	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cerro	—	—	—	—	—	—

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Club Nacional	—	—	—	—
Cerro	—	—	—	—

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	—	—	—	—
16-30	—	—	—	—
31-45	—	—	—	—
46-60	—	—	—	—
61-75	—	—	—	—
76-90	—	—	—	—

Team Comparison

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Club Nacional	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —
Cerro	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Club Nacional	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cerro	—	—	—	—	—	—

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Club Nacional	—	—	—	—	—	—
Cerro	—	—	—	—	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
67'	Club Nacional	S. Coates	Card	Yellow Card
62'	Cerro	B. Aleman	subst	Out: A. Cambon
62'	Cerro	D. Suarez	subst	Out: M. Arguello
61'	Club Nacional	M. Gomez	Goal	Penalty
54'	Cerro	J. Amaro	subst	Out: S. Cristoforo
53'	Cerro	B. Aleman	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Cerro	N. Soria	subst	Out: C. Barros
28'	Club Nacional	M. Gomez	Goal	Penalty
20'	Club Nacional	M. Gomez	Goal	Normal Goal
19'	Cerro	M. Ocampo	Card	Yellow Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Primera División - Apertura 2026

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Penarol	1	53	108	33	9	11	91	51	40	WWDLD
Deportivo Maldonado	2	16	32	10	2	4	27	17	10	WWWLD
Club Nacional	3	53	104	32	11	10	104	55	49	WWLLW
Albion FC	4	16	29	8	5	3	26	16	10	DWWWW
Central Espanol	5	16	27	8	3	5	25	23	2	WWLWL
Racing Montevideo	6	53	87	24	15	14	63	52	11	WLDWD
Liverpool Montevideo	7	53	85	23	16	14	72	57	15	LLWDL
Defensor Sporting	8	53	82	23	13	17	56	51	5	LLDWD
Juventud	9	53	79	23	10	20	64	61	3	WWWDD
Boston River	10	53	75	20	15	18	68	60	8	WLWLW
Atletico Torque	11	53	72	19	15	19	77	69	8	LWDWD
Cerro Largo	12	53	66	17	15	21	57	61	-4	LLWLL
Danubio	13	53	61	14	19	20	59	65	-6	LLLWD
Cerro Relegation - Segunda Division	14	53	56	14	15	24	42	70	-28	LLLLD
Wanderers Relegation - Segunda Division	15	53	52	12	16	25	41	68	-27	DWLWL
Progreso Relegation - Segunda Division	16	53	49	12	13	28	50	85	-35	LLLLW
Boston River Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	1	3	1	0	0	4	1	3	W
Central Espanol	2	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	W
Penarol	3	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	W
Racing Montevideo	4	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	1	W
Liverpool Montevideo	5	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	L
Defensor Sporting	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	L
Cerro Largo	7	1	0	0	0	1	0	1	-1	L
Cerro	8	1	0	0	0	1	1	4	-3	L
Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final)	1	1	3	1	0	0	3	1	2	W
Juventud	2	1	3	1	0	0	2	0	2	W
Club Nacional	3	1	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	W
Wanderers	4	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	D
Albion FC	5	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	D
Atletico Torque	6	1	0	0	0	1	1	2	-1	L
Danubio	7	1	0	0	0	1	1	3	-2	L
Progreso	8	1	0	0	0	1	0	2	-2	L
Racing Montevideo Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs)	1	15	31	9	4	2	23	14	9	LDWDW
Deportivo Maldonado	2	15	29	9	2	4	24	16	8	WWLDW
Albion FC	3	15	28	8	4	3	26	16	10	WWWWW
Penarol	4	15	27	8	3	4	23	16	7	WDLDL
Central Espanol	5	15	24	7	3	5	23	22	1	WLWLD
Atletico Torque	6	15	23	6	5	4	22	16	6	WDWDL
Club Nacional	7	15	22	7	1	7	26	21	5	WLLWL
Defensor Sporting	8	15	21	5	6	4	13	11	2	LDWDW
Liverpool Montevideo	9	15	20	5	5	5	20	18	2	LWDLW
Wanderers	10	15	20	6	2	7	16	21	-5	WLWLL
Danubio	11	15	18	4	6	5	17	21	-4	LLWDD
Cerro Largo	12	15	17	5	2	8	16	19	-3	LWLLD
Boston River	13	15	17	5	2	8	14	20	-6	LWLWL
Juventud	14	15	15	4	3	8	17	22	-5	WWDDW
Progreso	15	15	10	2	4	9	12	23	-11	LLLWL
Cerro	16	15	10	2	4	9	8	24	-16	LLLDD