Deportivo Maldonado 2-1 Boston River: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Mon, May 11 2026 Β· 20:00
FT
🌍 Uruguay
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.75
League avg: 1.60
Both
2.55
League avg: 2.50
Away
0.80
League avg: 0.90
1X2 Probability
Home
80%
ELO-based: 49%
Draw
13%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
7%
ELO-based: 27%
Goal Probability
2.5+
50%
3.5+
36%
BTTS
69%
Best Score Tips
1 - 014%
2 - 012%
1 - 111%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Deportivo Maldonado vs Boston River.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Boston River
01234
Deportivo Maldonado 0 7.8% 6.2% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.7% 10.9% 4.4% 1.2% 0.2%
2 12.0% 9.6% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
3 7.0% 5.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
4 3.1% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1589+9
League
1519Β±0
Away
1484+16
ELO Verdict
Home edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Deportivo Maldonado15891601153915501609+9
Boston River14841494147114991526+16
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Deportivo Maldonado214268242215WWDLW
Boston River1314175271318WLWLW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Deportivo Maldonado 5 67% 69% 62% 1.8 1.0
Boston River 5 60% 62% 38% 1.6 1.6
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Deportivo Maldonado 1.8 1.4 1.6 0.8 1.3 1.1
Boston River 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.7 1.3
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Deportivo Maldonado 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.8
Boston River 0.9 0.8 1.3 1.7
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 9.09% 15.38% 6.67% 11.11%
16-30 18.18% 20.00% 11.11%
31-45 31.82% 7.69% 20.00% 11.11%
46-60 9.09% 23.08% 11.11%
61-75 4.55% 7.69% 33.33% 33.33%
76-90 27.27% 46.15% 20.00% 22.22%
Team Comparison
53%
Form
47%
53%
Attack
47%
62%
Defense
38%
78%
Poisson
22%
4%
H2H
6%
43%
Goals
57%
55%
Total
45%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Deportivo Maldonado 4-2 2-4 1-2 3-1 4 / 4 2 / 3
Boston River 4-1 1-2 0-2 4-1 4 / 2 2 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Deportivo Maldonado 6 3 3 1 0 1
Boston River 3 2 1 6 4 2
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Deportivo Maldonado 4 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Boston River 0 0% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2024-08-17 Boston River 1 - 0 FT Deportivo Maldonado
2024-02-18 Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 2 FT Boston River
2023-10-08 Boston River 2 - 0 FT Deportivo Maldonado
2023-02-26 Deportivo Maldonado 3 - 2 FT Boston River
2022-09-23 Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 1 FT Boston River
2022-04-24 Boston River 2 - 0 FT Deportivo Maldonado
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.70 Homepage market
Draw 3.30 Homepage market
Away win 4.50 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 2.05 Homepage market
BTTS market 1.80 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+2' Boston River M. Hornos Card Yellow Card
88' Deportivo Maldonado G. Lopez Card Yellow Card
87' Deportivo Maldonado F. Tealde subst Out: J. Fernandez
85' Boston River L. Suhr subst Out: G. Ramirez
85' Boston River F. Dafonte subst Out: A. Gonzalez
79' Boston River F. Munoa subst Out: M. Hornos
79' Boston River F. Dafonte Card Yellow Card
76' Deportivo Maldonado M. Espindola subst Out: A. Vila
76' Deportivo Maldonado J. Ramos subst Out: S. Tormo
76' Deportivo Maldonado S. Ramirez subst Out: S. Gonzalez
68' Boston River I. Ithurralde Card Yellow Card
58' Boston River Y. Gonzalez subst Out: G. Reyna
54' Deportivo Maldonado S. Ramirez Card Yellow Card
49' Deportivo Maldonado G. Lopez Goal Normal Goal
46' Boston River J. S. O'Neill Lopez subst Out: F. Barrios
21' Deportivo Maldonado R. Cesar subst Out: G. Lopez
12' Boston River M. Rivero Goal Normal Goal
2' Deportivo Maldonado R. Cesar Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Primera DivisiΓ³n - Apertura 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Penarol 1 53 108 33 9 11 91 51 40 WWDLD
Deportivo Maldonado 2 16 32 10 2 4 27 17 10 WWWLD
Club Nacional 3 53 104 32 11 10 104 55 49 WWLLW
Albion FC 4 16 29 8 5 3 26 16 10 DWWWW
Central Espanol 5 16 27 8 3 5 25 23 2 WWLWL
Racing Montevideo 6 53 87 24 15 14 63 52 11 WLDWD
Liverpool Montevideo 7 53 85 23 16 14 72 57 15 LLWDL
Defensor Sporting 8 53 82 23 13 17 56 51 5 LLDWD
Juventud 9 53 79 23 10 20 64 61 3 WWWDD
Boston River 10 53 75 20 15 18 68 60 8 WLWLW
Atletico Torque 11 53 72 19 15 19 77 69 8 LWDWD
Cerro Largo 12 53 66 17 15 21 57 61 -4 LLWLL
Danubio 13 53 61 14 19 20 59 65 -6 LLLWD
Cerro Relegation - Segunda Division 14 53 56 14 15 24 42 70 -28 LLLLD
Wanderers Relegation - Segunda Division 15 53 52 12 16 25 41 68 -27 DWLWL
Progreso Relegation - Segunda Division 16 53 49 12 13 28 50 85 -35 LLLLW
Boston River Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final) 1 1 3 1 0 0 4 1 3 W
Central Espanol 2 1 3 1 0 0 2 1 1 W
Penarol 3 1 3 1 0 0 2 1 1 W
Racing Montevideo 4 1 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 W
Liverpool Montevideo 5 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 -1 L
Defensor Sporting 6 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 -1 L
Cerro Largo 7 1 0 0 0 1 0 1 -1 L
Cerro 8 1 0 0 0 1 1 4 -3 L
Deportivo Maldonado Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs: Final) 1 1 3 1 0 0 3 1 2 W
Juventud 2 1 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 W
Club Nacional 3 1 3 1 0 0 2 1 1 W
Wanderers 4 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 D
Albion FC 5 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 D
Atletico Torque 6 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 -1 L
Danubio 7 1 0 0 0 1 1 3 -2 L
Progreso 8 1 0 0 0 1 0 2 -2 L
Racing Montevideo Promotion - Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs) 1 15 31 9 4 2 23 14 9 LDWDW
Deportivo Maldonado 2 15 29 9 2 4 24 16 8 WWLDW
Albion FC 3 15 28 8 4 3 26 16 10 WWWWW
Penarol 4 15 27 8 3 4 23 16 7 WDLDL
Central Espanol 5 15 24 7 3 5 23 22 1 WLWLD
Atletico Torque 6 15 23 6 5 4 22 16 6 WDWDL
Club Nacional 7 15 22 7 1 7 26 21 5 WLLWL
Defensor Sporting 8 15 21 5 6 4 13 11 2 LDWDW
Liverpool Montevideo 9 15 20 5 5 5 20 18 2 LWDLW
Wanderers 10 15 20 6 2 7 16 21 -5 WLWLL
Danubio 11 15 18 4 6 5 17 21 -4 LLWDD
Cerro Largo 12 15 17 5 2 8 16 19 -3 LWLLD
Boston River 13 15 17 5 2 8 14 20 -6 LWLWL
Juventud 14 15 15 4 3 8 17 22 -5 WWDDW
Progreso 15 15 10 2 4 9 12 23 -11 LLLWL
Cerro 16 15 10 2 4 9 8 24 -16 LLLDD