Naxxar Lions 0-1 Mosta: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Sun, May 10 2026 Β· 09:00
FT
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Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.65
League avg: 1.30
Both
2.60
League avg: 2.40
Away
0.95
League avg: 1.10
1X2 Probability
Home
67%
ELO-based: 45%
Draw
20%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
13%
ELO-based: 31%
Goal Probability
2.5+
55%
3.5+
39%
BTTS
70%
Best Score Tips
1 - 012%
1 - 112%
2 - 010%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Naxxar Lions vs Mosta

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Naxxar Lions vs Mosta.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Mosta
01234
Naxxar Lions 0 7.4% 7.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
1 12.3% 11.6% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4%
2 10.1% 9.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.3%
3 5.6% 5.3% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.3% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
ELO Overview
Home
1500-28
League
1531Β±0
Away
1438+24
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Naxxar Lions15001486149315381474-28
Mosta14381451145314631409+24
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Naxxar Lions6323598154151LDLDL
Mosta6322668183458DWDLD
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Naxxar Lions 5 13% 18% 53% 0.6 1.6
Mosta 5 40% 41% 53% 1.4 1.6
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Naxxar Lions 1.4 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.9 1.6
Mosta 1.3 0.8 1.1 1.7 1.9 1.8
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Naxxar Lions 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.1
Mosta 1.1 0.8 1.8 1.9
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 9.52% 11.43% 10.00% 8.77%
16-30 19.05% 17.14% 16.00% 17.54%
31-45 21.43% 20.00% 14.00% 14.04%
46-60 9.52% 17.14% 16.00% 15.79%
61-75 16.67% 17.14% 26.00% 14.04%
76-90 23.81% 17.14% 18.00% 29.82%
Team Comparison
25%
Form
75%
3%
Attack
7%
5%
Defense
5%
7%
Poisson
3%
6%
H2H
4%
59%
Goals
41%
49%
Total
51%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Naxxar Lions 5-0 0-4 1-3 4-0 5 / 4 3 / 4
Mosta 3-0 0-2 0-5 5-0 3 / 3 5 / 5
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Naxxar Lions 5 3 2 10 4 6
Mosta 5 2 3 12 5 7
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Naxxar Lions 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Mosta 6 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-02-04 Naxxar Lions 5 - 0 FT Mosta
2025-12-19 Mosta 2 - 3 FT Naxxar Lions
2025-10-29 Mosta 3 - 0 FT Naxxar Lions
2025-02-02 Mosta 1 - 0 FT Naxxar Lions
2024-08-23 Naxxar Lions 2 - 1 FT Mosta
2024-05-03 Mosta 2 - 0 FT Naxxar Lions
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 2.10 Homepage market
Draw 3.50 Homepage market
Away win 2.80 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 2.08 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+4' Mosta N. Portelli subst Out: S. Cachia
90+4' Mosta Giancarlo subst Out: C. Diamanka
82' Mosta Agius Card Yellow Card
82' Mosta Card Yellow Card
79' Naxxar Lions Vitinho subst Out: C. Kontchou
79' Naxxar Lions Vinicius Baiano subst Out: S. Guehi
79' Mosta Pedro Cacho subst Out: Agius
79' Mosta Leo Fernandes subst Out: C. Oderinde
75' Naxxar Lions F. Bugeja Card Yellow Card
75' Naxxar Lions F. Bugeja Card Red Card
74' Mosta Pedro Cacho Card Yellow Card
70' Mosta A. Udoh Card Yellow Card
64' Naxxar Lions C. Gauci subst Out: G. Costa Goncalves
64' Naxxar Lions Theo Kruger subst Out: M. Micallef
60' Mosta A. Kozic subst Out: Willian
49' Naxxar Lions F. Bugeja Card Yellow Card
43' Mosta Leo Fernandes Card Yellow Card
22' Mosta A. Kozic Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Premier League 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Floriana Championship round 1 11 23 7 2 2 17 11 6 WWWLW
Hamrun Spartans Championship round 2 11 22 6 4 1 15 6 9 WLLWW
Valletta FC Championship round 3 11 22 6 4 1 16 8 8 LLWLL
Sliema Wanderers Championship round 4 11 19 5 4 2 16 14 2 LDDWD
Marsaxlokk Championship round 5 11 18 5 3 3 14 11 3 LWWWW
Birkirkara Championship round 6 11 16 4 4 3 12 8 4 DDDLW
Hibernians Relegation Round 7 11 15 4 3 4 20 18 2 LWDLD
Gzira United Relegation Round 8 11 13 3 4 4 14 18 -4 LDLWL
Mosta Relegation Round 9 11 11 3 2 6 13 19 -6 WDLDW
Zabbar St. Patrick Relegation Round 10 11 10 2 4 5 11 14 -3 WLWDD
Naxxar Lions Relegation Round 11 11 5 1 2 8 10 18 -8 LLDLD
Tarxien Rainbows Relegation Round 12 11 5 1 2 8 8 21 -13 LWWDD
Hamrun Spartans Next group phase 1 16 34 10 4 2 26 10 16 WLLWW
Floriana 2 16 33 10 3 3 23 15 8 WWWLW
Valletta FC 3 16 29 8 5 3 20 11 9 LLWLL
Sliema Wanderers 4 16 26 7 5 4 21 19 2 LDDWD
Marsaxlokk 5 16 25 7 4 5 20 16 4 LWWWW
Birkirkara 6 16 16 4 4 8 15 22 -7 DDDLW
Hibernians 1 16 23 6 5 5 29 25 4 LWDLD
Gzira United 2 16 22 6 4 6 21 26 -5 LDLWL
Zabbar St. Patrick 3 16 16 3 7 6 20 22 -2 WLWDD
Mosta 4 16 16 4 4 8 20 26 -6 WDLDW
Naxxar Lions 5 16 15 4 3 9 18 25 -7 LLDLD
Tarxien Rainbows Relegation 6 16 7 1 4 11 13 29 -16 LWWDD
Floriana Championship round 1 11 25 7 4 0 20 7 13 WWWLW
Hamrun Spartans Championship round 2 11 22 6 4 1 16 4 12 WLLWW
Marsaxlokk Championship round 3 11 19 5 4 2 12 12 0 LWWWW
Naxxar Lions Championship round 4 11 18 5 3 3 20 18 2 LLDLD
Valletta FC Championship round 5 11 17 4 5 2 16 7 9 LLWLL
Gzira United Championship round 6 11 17 5 2 4 14 12 2 LDLWL
Sliema Wanderers Relegation Round 7 11 16 4 4 3 10 11 -1 LDDWD
Birkirkara Relegation Round 8 11 13 3 4 4 12 12 0 DDDLW
Hibernians Relegation Round 9 11 11 3 2 6 11 17 -6 LWDLD
Zabbar St. Patrick Relegation Round 10 11 10 2 4 5 13 15 -2 WLWDD
Tarxien Rainbows Relegation Round 11 11 6 1 3 7 9 21 -12 LWWDD
Mosta Relegation Round 12 11 4 1 1 9 7 24 -17 WDLDW
Floriana 1 16 37 11 4 1 28 12 16 WWWLW
Marsaxlokk 2 16 31 9 4 3 22 20 2 LWWWW
Hamrun Spartans 3 16 28 8 4 4 26 11 15 WLLWW
Valletta FC 4 16 24 6 6 4 21 13 8 LLWLL
Gzira United 5 16 21 6 3 7 17 17 0 LDLWL
Naxxar Lions 6 16 20 5 5 6 23 26 -3 LLDLD
Sliema Wanderers 1 16 22 5 7 4 16 17 -1 LDDWD
Birkirkara 2 16 19 4 7 5 14 14 0 DDDLW
Tarxien Rainbows 3 17 18 4 7 7 22 31 -9 LWWDD
Hibernians 4 16 16 4 4 8 16 24 -8 LWDLD
Zabbar St. Patrick 5 17 16 3 7 8 23 25 -2 WLWDD
Mosta 6 16 10 2 4 10 14 32 -18 WDLDW