Città di Fasano 1-2 Paganese: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Città di Fasano 1-2 Paganese: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie D - Girone H 🌍 Italy

Sun, May 10 2026 · 14:00

AET

Città di Fasano

1 - 2

Paganese

🏆 Serie D - Girone H

🌍 Italy

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.55

League avg: 1.50

Both

2.45

League avg: 2.60

Away

0.90

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

57%

ELO-based: 39%

Draw

25%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

18%

ELO-based: 37%

Goal Probability

2.5+

47%

3.5+

34%

BTTS

62%

Best Score Tips

1 - 013%

1 - 112%

2 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Città di Fasano vs Paganese

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Città di Fasano vs Paganese.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Paganese
		0	1	2	3	4
Città di Fasano	0	8.6%	7.8%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%
	1	13.4%	12.0%	5.4%	1.6%	0.4%
	2	10.4%	9.3%	4.2%	1.3%	0.3%
	3	5.4%	4.8%	2.2%	0.7%	0.1%
	4	2.1%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

ELO Overview

Home

1560-11

League

1502±0

Away

1547-2

ELO Verdict

Draw edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Città di Fasano	1560	1564	1563	1615	1530	-11
Paganese	1547	1536	1521	1465	1564	-2

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Città di Fasano	3	34	62	18	8	8	51	35	WLWLW
Paganese	4	34	58	17	7	10	36	32	LDLWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Città di Fasano	5	60%	65%	71%	2.2	1.0
Paganese	5	27%	35%	47%	1.2	1.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Città di Fasano	1.9	1.1	1.5	0.8	1.2	1.0
Paganese	1.1	1.0	1.1	0.7	1.2	0.9

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Città di Fasano	1.5	1.9	1.0	0.8
Paganese	1.1	1.0	0.9	1.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	9.80%	28.57%	8.57%	6.06%
16-30	15.69%	14.29%	17.14%	18.18%
31-45	17.65%	22.86%	8.57%	21.21%
46-60	21.57%	8.57%	8.57%	27.27%
61-75	13.73%	8.57%	20.00%	15.15%
76-90	19.61%	14.29%	25.71%	12.12%

Team Comparison

69%

Form

31%

65%

Attack

35%

64%

Defense

36%

67%

Poisson

33%

64%

H2H

36%

71%

Goals

29%

67%

Total

33%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Città di Fasano	6-0	0-2	0-3	3-0	6 / 3	3 / 3
Paganese	5-0	1-3	1-3	6-0	5 / 3	3 / 6

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Città di Fasano	15	9	6	9	3	6
Paganese	14	9	5	10	5	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Città di Fasano	6	85.71%	1	14.29%	—	—
Paganese	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-05-03	Città di Fasano	6 - 0 FT	Paganese
2025-12-21	Paganese	0 - 0 FT	Città di Fasano
2024-05-05	Città di Fasano	3 - 2 FT	Paganese
2023-12-20	Paganese	2 - 1 FT	Città di Fasano

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.91	Homepage market
Draw	3.30	Homepage market
Away win	3.50	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.65	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
111'	Paganese	L. Lombardi	Goal	Normal Goal
70'	Città di Fasano	V. Corvino	Goal	Normal Goal
40'	Paganese	A. Mancino	Goal	Normal Goal

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie D - Girone H 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Barletta Promotion	1	34	70	20	10	4	54	20	34	LWWWW
Martina Franca Promotion Playoffs	2	34	62	18	8	8	47	30	17	WLWLW
Città di Fasano Promotion Playoffs	3	34	62	18	8	8	51	35	16	LWLWL
Paganese Promotion Playoffs	4	34	58	17	7	10	36	32	4	WLWLD
Nardò	5	34	55	14	13	7	40	27	13	LWLWD
Gravina Promotion Playoffs	6	34	55	16	7	11	50	40	10	WWWWD
Afragolese	7	34	49	13	10	11	45	46	-1	LLDDD
Fidelis Andria	8	34	48	13	9	12	35	28	7	LDWWD
Virtus Francavilla	9	34	48	12	12	10	45	40	5	DLLLD
Real Normanna	10	34	43	10	13	11	27	26	1	LWDLW
Francavilla	11	34	43	11	10	13	39	38	1	WDWWD
Manfredonia Relegation Playoffs	12	34	43	11	10	13	34	39	-5	WDLWD
Sarnese	13	34	41	9	14	11	51	49	2	WDDLD
Nola 1925 Relegation Playoffs	14	34	41	11	8	15	42	50	-8	DWLDL
Heraclea Relegation Playoffs	15	34	38	10	8	16	31	39	-8	DWLLL
Pompei Relegation Playoffs	16	34	34	9	7	18	26	38	-12	LWWWW
Ferrandina Relegation	17	34	30	7	9	18	21	43	-22	LWDLL
Real Acerrana Relegation	18	34	14	3	5	26	20	74	-54	LLLLL