Sun, May 10 2026 • 00:30 •
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Expected Goals
3.94 (league 1.01)
2.30 (league 0.77)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 47.3% | 13.1% | 16.7% |
best score tips
3 - 2
5.3%
4 - 2
5.2%
3 - 1
4.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Union Santa Fe | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Independ. Rivadavia | 0 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
| 3 | 2.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | |
| 5 | 1.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 33% |
| Attack | 85% | 62% |
| Defense | 77% | 38% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
87%
FT probability
2.5+
61%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-4
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 7 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 67% | 57% | 63% | 38% | 25% | 31% |
| Draws | 11% | 43% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Loses | 22% | 0% | 13% | 13% | 50% | 31% |
Independ. RivadaviaWWWWLWDDLWWWWDWD
Union Santa FeDLWLDWWWDDLWLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 10 | 29 | 11 | 13 | 24 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 10 | 5 | 15 | 5 | 15 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Independ. Rivadavia | Union Santa Fe | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 75% | 75% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 56% | 19% | 44% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 25% | 0% | 19% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Union Santa Fe | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 0-2 | 4-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | — | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Independ. Rivadavia | Union Santa Fe |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 58% | 42% |
| Def | 73% | 27% |
| Poisson Distribution | 63% | 37% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 62% |
| Total | 55.0% | 45.0% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.24 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ BetVictor
Away3.82 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.35 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.65 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ Unibet
No1.85 @ Betano
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League standings
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