Orvietana Calcio 1-0 Poggibonsi: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Orvietana Calcio 1-0 Poggibonsi: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie D - Girone E 🌍 Italy

Sun, May 10 2026 · 14:00

AET

Orvietana Calcio

1 - 0

Poggibonsi

🏆 Serie D - Girone E

🌍 Italy

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.30

League avg: 1.00

Both

2.30

League avg: 1.90

Away

1.00

League avg: 0.90

1X2 Probability

Home

42%

ELO-based: 45%

Draw

29%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

29%

ELO-based: 31%

Goal Probability

2.5+

45%

3.5+

32%

BTTS

63%

Best Score Tips

1 - 013%

1 - 113%

0 - 010%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Orvietana Calcio vs Poggibonsi.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Poggibonsi
		0	1	2	3	4
Orvietana Calcio	0	10.0%	10.0%	5.0%	1.7%	0.4%
	1	13.0%	13.0%	6.5%	2.2%	0.5%
	2	8.5%	8.5%	4.2%	1.4%	0.4%
	3	3.7%	3.7%	1.8%	0.6%	0.2%
	4	1.2%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1490+19

League

1492±0

Away

1422±0

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Orvietana Calcio	1490	1493	1474	1444	1558	+19
Poggibonsi	1422	1419	1458	1359	1515	±0

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Orvietana Calcio	13	34	38	9	11	14	33	37	DLWWD
Poggibonsi	16	34	31	7	10	17	29	46	DDDLW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Orvietana Calcio	5	53%	31%	77%	0.8	0.6
Poggibonsi	5	40%	31%	69%	0.8	0.8

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Orvietana Calcio	0.9	1.0	1.0	1.1	1.1	1.1
Poggibonsi	0.8	0.9	0.9	1.0	1.7	1.4

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Orvietana Calcio	1.0	0.9	1.1	1.1
Poggibonsi	0.9	0.9	1.4	1.7

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	9.38%	6.90%	10.53%	6.52%
16-30	15.63%	13.79%	13.16%	8.70%
31-45	9.38%	34.48%	18.42%	19.57%
46-60	28.13%	13.79%	15.79%	19.57%
61-75	9.38%	3.45%	15.79%	17.39%
76-90	25.00%	24.14%	23.68%	26.09%

Team Comparison

57%

Form

43%

Attack

57%

Defense

43%

56%

Poisson

44%

38%

H2H

62%

Goals

51%

Total

49%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Orvietana Calcio	4-0	0-4	0-2	5-1	4 / 4	2 / 5
Poggibonsi	3-2	1-2	1-2	4-0	3 / 2	2 / 4

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Orvietana Calcio	13	5	8	14	9	5
Poggibonsi	8	6	2	11	6	5

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Orvietana Calcio	3	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Poggibonsi	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-02	Poggibonsi	0 - 0 FT	Orvietana Calcio
2025-11-23	Orvietana Calcio	4 - 0 FT	Poggibonsi
2025-03-09	Orvietana Calcio	0 - 1 FT	Poggibonsi
2024-11-03	Poggibonsi	1 - 1 FT	Orvietana Calcio
2024-03-17	Orvietana Calcio	1 - 4 FT	Poggibonsi
2023-11-15	Poggibonsi	1 - 0 FT	Orvietana Calcio

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie D - Girone E 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Grosseto Promotion	1	34	72	22	6	6	58	25	33	WLLDD
Prato Promotion Playoffs	2	34	63	20	5	9	49	29	20	WWWWW
Tau Altopascio Promotion Playoffs	3	34	63	18	9	7	53	33	20	LWWDW
Robur Siena Promotion Playoffs	4	34	60	17	9	8	57	35	22	LDWDW
Seravezza Promotion Playoffs	5	34	57	15	12	7	42	29	13	WDDLL
Foligno Calcio	6	34	51	14	9	11	45	37	8	WDLLD
Terranuova Traiana	7	34	51	14	9	11	28	30	-2	DLWDD
Scandicci	8	34	48	11	15	8	39	32	7	LLDWW
Montevarchi Calcio	9	34	46	10	16	8	28	32	-4	LWDDD
Sporting Trestina	10	34	42	10	12	12	40	42	-2	DLDDD
Ghivizzano Borgo Mozzano	11	34	40	10	10	14	42	44	-2	LLWLD
San Donato Tavarnelle	12	34	40	9	13	12	30	35	-5	DWWWL
Orvietana Calcio Relegation Playoffs	13	34	38	9	11	14	33	37	-4	WDWWL
Gavorrano Relegation Playoffs	14	34	37	9	10	15	36	49	-13	WLWLD
Camaiore Relegation Playoffs	15	34	35	9	8	17	41	54	-13	LDLLD
Poggibonsi Relegation Playoffs	16	34	31	7	10	17	29	46	-17	LWLDD
Cannara Relegation	17	34	26	6	8	20	24	59	-35	LWDLW
Sansepolcro Relegation	18	34	22	2	16	16	20	46	-26	DLDDD