Castellanzese 1-2 Varesina: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Castellanzese 1-2 Varesina: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Serie D - Girone B 🌍 Italy

Sun, May 10 2026 · 14:00

Castellanzese

1 - 2

Varesina

🏆 Serie D - Girone B

🌍 Italy

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.10

League avg: 1.20

Both

2.20

League avg: 2.30

Away

1.10

League avg: 1.10

1X2 Probability

Home

30%

ELO-based: 35%

Draw

32%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

38%

ELO-based: 41%

Goal Probability

2.5+

46%

3.5+

33%

BTTS

66%

Best Score Tips

1 - 113%

0 - 112%

1 - 012%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Castellanzese vs Varesina

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Castellanzese vs Varesina.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Varesina
		0	1	2	3	4
Castellanzese	0	11.1%	12.2%	6.7%	2.5%	0.7%
	1	12.2%	13.4%	7.4%	2.7%	0.7%
	2	6.7%	7.4%	4.1%	1.5%	0.4%
	3	2.5%	2.7%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%
	4	0.7%	0.7%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1485-10

League

1506±0

Away

1510+13

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Castellanzese	1485	1473	1487	1488	1540	-10
Varesina	1510	1525	1537	1506	1518	+13

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Castellanzese	13	34	41	10	11	13	41	39	LWDLD
Varesina	16	34	36	7	15	12	38	44	WLWDD

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Castellanzese	5	33%	36%	50%	1.0	1.4
Varesina	5	53%	50%	57%	1.4	1.2

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Castellanzese	1.1	1.3	1.2	1.1	1.2	1.1
Varesina	1.1	1.1	1.1	1.5	1.1	1.3

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Castellanzese	1.2	1.1	1.1	1.1
Varesina	1.1	1.1	1.3	1.1

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	25.64%	13.51%	17.50%	13.04%
16-30	10.26%	13.51%	12.50%	13.04%
31-45	15.38%	16.22%	17.50%	10.87%
46-60	10.26%	13.51%	12.50%	6.52%
61-75	15.38%	10.81%	10.00%	23.91%
76-90	17.95%	32.43%	27.50%	28.26%

Team Comparison

38%

Form

62%

42%

Attack

58%

46%

Defense

54%

49%

Poisson

51%

H2H

45%

Goals

55%

45%

Total

55%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Castellanzese	3-1	0-8	1-3	3-1	3 / 8	3 / 3
Varesina	4-1	0-2	0-2	2-0	4 / 2	3 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Castellanzese	11	7	4	11	5	6
Varesina	7	2	5	9	6	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Castellanzese	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Varesina	4	80.00%	1	20.00%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-03-18	Varesina	2 - 2 FT	Castellanzese
2025-11-02	Castellanzese	2 - 1 FT	Varesina
2025-04-06	Varesina	1 - 1 FT	Castellanzese
2024-11-24	Castellanzese	0 - 0 FT	Varesina
2024-01-13	Varesina	2 - 0 FT	Castellanzese
2023-10-18	Castellanzese	0 - 2 FT	Varesina

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.50	Homepage market
Draw	2.75	Homepage market
Away win	2.88	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	1.50	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
82'	Varesina	C. Manicone	Goal	Normal Goal
67'	Castellanzese	M. Chessa	Goal	Normal Goal
52'	Varesina	A. Arcopinto	Goal	Normal Goal
33'	Castellanzese	A. Robbiati	Card	Red Card

League Standings

Local standings cache · Serie D - Girone B 2025

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Form
Folgore Caratese Promotion	1	34	68	19	11	4	58	27	31	WLDDW
USD Casatese Promotion Playoffs	2	34	61	16	13	5	49	28	21	WWWWW
Chievo Promotion Playoffs	3	34	60	18	6	10	52	43	9	WWDDW
Milan II Promotion Playoffs	4	34	56	16	8	10	62	37	25	LWWLW
Leon Monza e Brianza Promotion Playoffs	5	34	53	14	11	9	44	34	10	LLDDL
Oltrepò	6	34	52	15	8	11	38	36	2	WWLDW
Brusaporto	7	34	51	15	6	13	41	38	3	LWWLW
Scanzorosciate	8	34	47	11	14	9	41	33	8	DLDLL
Villa Valle	9	34	47	13	8	13	43	46	-3	LLDDD
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo	10	34	46	11	13	10	33	31	2	DLWDL
Caldiero Terme	11	34	45	10	15	9	50	40	10	DWDDL
Real Calepina	12	34	42	11	9	14	42	47	-5	DLDDW
Castellanzese Relegation Playoffs	13	34	41	10	11	13	41	39	2	LDLDW
Breno Relegation Playoffs	14	34	38	9	11	14	39	51	-12	LWDLD
Pavia Relegation Playoffs	15	34	37	9	10	15	36	47	-11	WLWLW
Varesina Relegation Playoffs	16	34	36	7	15	12	38	44	-6	WDDWL
Sondrio Relegation	17	34	31	8	7	19	37	64	-27	LWWDL
Vogherese Relegation	18	34	11	2	8	24	21	80	-59	LLLLL