USD Casatese 4-0 Leon: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
🏆 Serie D - Girone B 🌍 Italy
Sun, May 10 2026 · 14:00
FT
USD Casatese
4 - 0
Leon
🏆 Serie D - Girone B
🌍 Italy
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.05
League avg: 1.40
Both
2.05
League avg: 2.70
Away
1.00
League avg: 1.30
1X2 Probability
Home
31%
ELO-based: 44%
Draw
35%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
34%
ELO-based: 32%
Goal Probability
2.5+
43%
3.5+
31%
BTTS
62%
Best Score Tips
1 - 014%
1 - 114%
0 - 013%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: USD Casatese vs Leon

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for USD Casatese vs Leon.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Leon
01234
USD Casatese 0 12.9% 12.9% 6.4% 2.1% 0.5%
1 13.5% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6%
2 7.1% 7.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3%
3 2.5% 2.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1596+27
League
1505±0
Away
1539-31
ELO Verdict
Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
USD Casatese15961606152216021638+27
Leon15391531151015051527-31
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
USD Casatese23461161354928WWWWW
Leon53453141194434WLDDL
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
USD Casatese 5 100% 71% 100% 2.0 0.0
Leon 5 33% 36% 64% 1.0 1.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
USD Casatese 1.2 1.6 1.4 0.9 0.8 0.8
Leon 1.5 1.1 1.3 1.1 0.9 1.0
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
USD Casatese 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.9
Leon 1.3 1.1 1.0 0.9
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 14.29% 6.82% 7.14% 23.53%
16-30 22.45% 9.09% 10.71% 8.82%
31-45 14.29% 18.18% 17.86% 11.76%
46-60 12.24% 9.09% 10.71% 32.35%
61-75 10.20% 25.00% 25.00% 11.76%
76-90 26.53% 29.55% 28.57% 11.76%
Team Comparison
75%
Form
25%
67%
Attack
33%
1%
Defense
%
51%
Poisson
49%
64%
H2H
36%
63%
Goals
38%
64%
Total
36%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
USD Casatese 4-1 0-4 1-3 2-1 4 / 4 3 / 3
Leon 4-1 1-3 0-3 3-0 4 / 3 3 / 3
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
USD Casatese 14 6 8 7 4 3
Leon 11 5 6 12 5 7
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
USD Casatese 0 0% 0 0% — —
Leon 3 100.00% 0 0% — —
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-03 USD Casatese 1 - 0 FT Leon Monza e Brianza
2025-12-21 Leon Monza e Brianza 0 - 0 FT USD Casatese
2022-05-08 Leon Monza e Brianza 2 - 4 FT USD Casatese
2021-12-22 USD Casatese 0 - 1 FT Leon Monza e Brianza
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.85 Homepage market
Draw 3.20 Homepage market
Away win 3.75 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.65 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
71' USD Casatese M. Gningue Goal Penalty
67' USD Casatese G. Avinci Goal Normal Goal
4' USD Casatese N. Mendola Goal Normal Goal
2' USD Casatese G. Avinci Goal Normal Goal
League Standings
Local standings cache · Serie D - Girone B 2025
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Folgore Caratese Promotion 1 34 68 19 11 4 58 27 31 WLDDW
USD Casatese Promotion Playoffs 2 34 61 16 13 5 49 28 21 LWWWW
Chievo Promotion Playoffs 3 34 60 18 6 10 52 43 9 WWWDD
Milan II Promotion Playoffs 4 34 56 16 8 10 62 37 25 LWWLW
Leon Monza e Brianza Promotion Playoffs 5 34 53 14 11 9 44 34 10 LLDDL
Oltrepò 6 34 52 15 8 11 38 36 2 WWLDW
Brusaporto 7 34 51 15 6 13 41 38 3 LWWLW
Scanzorosciate 8 34 47 11 14 9 41 33 8 DLDLL
Villa Valle 9 34 47 13 8 13 43 46 -3 LLDDD
Virtus Ciserano Bergamo 10 34 46 11 13 10 33 31 2 DLWDL
Caldiero Terme 11 34 45 10 15 9 50 40 10 DWDDL
Real Calepina 12 34 42 11 9 14 42 47 -5 DLDDW
Castellanzese Relegation Playoffs 13 34 41 10 11 13 41 39 2 LDLDW
Breno Relegation Playoffs 14 34 38 9 11 14 39 51 -12 LWDLD
Pavia Relegation Playoffs 15 34 37 9 10 15 36 47 -11 WLWLW
Varesina Relegation Playoffs 16 34 36 7 15 12 38 44 -6 WDDWL
Sondrio Relegation 17 34 31 8 7 19 37 64 -27 LWWDL
Vogherese Relegation 18 34 11 2 8 24 21 80 -59 LLLLL