Fri, May 8 2026 • 03:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.66)
2.15 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 25.2% | 20.7% | 51.5% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
1 - 1
8.5%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| América W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Toluca W | 0 | 2.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 4.0% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | |
| 2 | 2.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | |
| 3 | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Toluca W | América W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 50% | 81% |
| Defense | 38% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
76%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Toluca W | América W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 19 | 19 | 38 | 21 | 21 | 42 |
| Wins | 68% | 47% | 58% | 76% | 62% | 69% |
| Draws | 11% | 37% | 24% | 14% | 24% | 19% |
| Loses | 21% | 16% | 18% | 10% | 14% | 12% |
Toluca WDWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWWLDWWLWWDLDWW
América WWWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWWDLWDWWWWDWDLWWWWWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Toluca W | América W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 46 | 33 | 79 | 71 | 46 | 117 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 3.4 | 2.2 | 2.8 |
| GA total | 24 | 25 | 49 | 21 | 22 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Toluca W | América W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 74% | 93% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 61% | 37% | 79% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 34% | 13% | 48% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 18% | 5% | 26% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 8% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Toluca W | América W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Toluca W | América W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 10 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 10 |
Streaks
| Metric | Toluca W | América W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 8 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-4 | 11-0 | 1-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 11 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Toluca W | América W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 38% | 63% |
| Poisson Distribution | 43% | 57% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 55% | 45% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.5% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.16 @ 1xBet
Draw4.38 @ Pinnacle
Away1.72 @ Dafabet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.54 @ Unibet
No2.55 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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