Sun, May 10 2026 • 18:00 •
Estadio Azteca
Expected Goals
2.66 (league 1.66)
1.28 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.4% | 16.9% | 16.2% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
7.8%
2 - 0
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| América W | 0 | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.9% | 8.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | América W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 47% |
| Attack | 95% | 32% |
| Defense | 63% | 26% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 18 | 3.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
5.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
74%
FT probability
3.5+
53%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | América W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 22 | 43 | 20 | 19 | 39 |
| Wins | 76% | 64% | 70% | 65% | 47% | 56% |
| Draws | 14% | 23% | 19% | 10% | 37% | 23% |
| Loses | 10% | 14% | 12% | 25% | 16% | 21% |
América WWWWWWWWWLDLDWWLWWDWWWDLWDWWWWDWDLWWWWWWWDWW
Toluca WDWWWWWDLWWLDDWDWWDLWWWLWWWLDWWLWWDLDWWL
League goals
| Metric | América W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 71 | 53 | 124 | 47 | 33 | 80 |
| GF avg | 3.4 | 2.4 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 21 | 23 | 44 | 31 | 25 | 56 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | América W | Toluca W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 60% | 85% | 74% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 30% | 59% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 49% | 12% | 33% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 28% | 0% | 18% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 16% | 0% | 8% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | América W | Toluca W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 10 | 7 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | América W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 11 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 11 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | América W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 11-0 | 1-7 | 6-0 | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 3-2 | 1-7 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 11 | 7 | 6 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 7 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | América W | Toluca W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 63% | 37% |
| Total | 66.7% | 33.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.45 @ 10Bet
Draw5.40 @ Unibet
Away8.00 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.13 @ BetVictor
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.50 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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