Sat, May 9 2026 • 23:10 •
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Expected Goals
3.03 (league 1.19)
1.49 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 59.9% | 15.3% | 15.8% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.5%
2 - 1
7.5%
4 - 1
5.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Deportivo Pasto | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Deportes Tolima | 0 | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 4 | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 28% | 44% |
| Defense | 67% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
70%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 10 | 9 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 70% | 11% | 42% | 60% | 44% | 53% |
| Draws | 20% | 56% | 37% | 20% | 22% | 21% |
| Loses | 10% | 33% | 21% | 20% | 33% | 26% |
Deportes TolimaWWDDLDWLWDWDWWDLWLD
Deportivo PastoWWWLDWDDWWLWWLDWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 8 | 27 | 14 | 15 | 29 |
| GF avg | 1.9 | 0.9 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 7 | 10 | 17 | 8 | 17 | 25 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 74% | 63% | 84% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 21% | 53% | 42% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 5% | 16% | 16% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 2-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 38% | 62% |
| Def | 57% | 43% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 46% | 54% |
| Total | 46.3% | 53.7% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.90 @ 10Bet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away4.90 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.25 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.67 @ Pinnacle
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.05 @ Betano
No1.75 @ 10Bet
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League standings
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