Wed, May 13 2026 • 22:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 2.02) 4.09 (league 1.27)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.1% 1.9% 75.1%
best score tips
0 - 4
18.6%
0 - 3
18.2%
0 - 5
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cruzeiro U17
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletico PR U17 0 1.6% 6.4% 13.2% 18.1% 18.6% 15.2%
1 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 0.9% 0.8%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home strong edge

Athletico PR U17 carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 103 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Athletico PR U17 +27.2, Cruzeiro U17 +13.6.

Strong confidence Upset risk: Low Elo standalone
Athletico PR U17 Elo 1584.8 · +27.2
vs
Cruzeiro U17 Elo 1516.4 · +13.6
Elo gapAthletico PR U17 +103
Home / draw / away53% / 18% / 29%
Expected home share64%
Combined Elo3101.2
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home strong edge
Confidence band Strong confidence
Upset risk Low
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 3101.2
Elo home share 64%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Athletico PR U17 Cruzeiro U17
Overall Elo1584.81516.4
Form Elo16111531.1
Home / Away Elo1532.21502
Attack Elo1762.51596.6
Defense Elo1487.91511.9
Last 5 Elo change+27.2+13.6

This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Athletico PR U17 last-5 Elo change: +27.2; Cruzeiro U17 last-5 Elo change: +13.6.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletico PR U17Cruzeiro U17
Played55
Form100%100%
Attack100%100%
Defense70%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)23 | 4.621 | 4.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.20 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

8.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

8.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

69%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletico PR U17 Cruzeiro U17
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins100%100%100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%
Athletico PR U17WWWWW
Cruzeiro U17WWWWW

League goals

Metric Athletico PR U17 Cruzeiro U17
HATHAT
GF total12112313821
GF avg4.05.54.64.34.04.2
GA total426000
GA avg1.31.01.20.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletico PR U17Cruzeiro U17
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%80%100%0%
1.5100%20%100%0%
2.5100%20%80%0%
3.5100%0%60%0%
4.540%0%40%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletico PR U17Cruzeiro U17
HATHAT
Clean sheets101325
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAthletico PR U17Cruzeiro U17
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAthletico PR U17Cruzeiro U17
Wins55
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-66-00-6
Biggest losses————
Goals For4666
Goals Against3100

Model comparison

MetricAthletico PR U17Cruzeiro U17
Form50%50%
Att52%48%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.5%49.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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