Suomen Cup
— Finland
Wed, May 13 2026 • 16:30 •
Vare Areena
Expected Goals
4.72 (league 1.27)
0.61 (league 3.29)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 62.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
best score tips
4 - 0
10.0%
5 - 0
9.5%
3 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Honka | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| KuPS Akatemia | 0 | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 10.0% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.5% | 5.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
Honka carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 136 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: KuPS Akatemia +20.3, Honka +3.5.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
KuPS Akatemia
vs
Honka
Elo gapHonka +136
Home / draw / away25% / 18% / 57%
Expected home share31%
Combined Elo3200.8
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3200.8
Elo home share
31%
Match tone
Heavy Favorite
| Metric | KuPS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1514.9 | 1685.9 |
| Form Elo | 1566 | 1688.2 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1493.9 | 1606.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1593.8 | 2052.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1430 | 1646.5 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +20.3 | +3.5 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. KuPS Akatemia last-5 Elo change: +20.3; Honka last-5 Elo change: +3.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | KuPS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 100% |
| Attack | 24% | 32% |
| Defense | 96% | 84% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 3 | 8 | 4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 4 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
7.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
55%
FT probability
BTTS
86%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-1
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | KuPS Akatemia | Honka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Wins | — | 100% | 100% | — | 100% | 100% |
| Draws | — | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | — | 0% | 0% | — | 0% | 0% |
KuPS AkatemiaWW
HonkaWW
League goals
| Metric | KuPS Akatemia | Honka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 8 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.0 |
| GA total | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GA avg | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | KuPS Akatemia | Honka | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 50% | 0% | 100% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | KuPS Akatemia | Honka | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | KuPS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | KuPS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-4 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | — |
| Goals For | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | KuPS Akatemia | Honka |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 80% | 20% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 0% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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