Jaguares 1-2 Real Soacha: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Jaguares 1-2 Real Soacha: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Copa Colombia 🌍 Colombia

Thu, May 7 2026 · 21:00

Jaguares

1 - 2

Real Soacha

🏆 Copa Colombia

🌍 Colombia

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

2.25

League avg: 2.10

Both

3.70

League avg: 3.80

Away

1.45

League avg: 1.70

1X2 Probability

Home

56%

ELO-based: 34%

Draw

19%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

25%

ELO-based: 42%

Goal Probability

2.5+

74%

3.5+

53%

BTTS

83%

Best Score Tips

2 - 19%

1 - 18%

3 - 17%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Jaguares vs Real Soacha

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Jaguares vs Real Soacha.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Real Soacha
		0	1	2	3	4
Jaguares	0	2.5%	3.6%	2.6%	1.3%	0.5%
	1	5.6%	8.1%	5.8%	2.8%	1.0%
	2	6.3%	9.1%	6.6%	3.2%	1.2%
	3	4.7%	6.8%	4.9%	2.4%	0.9%
	4	2.6%	3.8%	2.8%	1.3%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1528±0

League

1503±0

Away

1564+19

ELO Verdict

Away edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Jaguares	1528	1528	1535	1506	1534	±0
Real Soacha	1564	1582	1535	1519	1605	+19

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Jaguares	—	39	61	19	4	16	81	65	LLWLW
Real Soacha	—	39	51	14	9	16	67	72	DLDLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Jaguares	5	40%	53%	47%	2.0	2.0
Real Soacha	5	13%	37%	37%	1.4	2.4

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Jaguares	2.3	1.9	2.1	1.3	2.0	1.7
Real Soacha	1.9	1.6	1.7	1.5	2.2	1.8

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Jaguares	2.1	2.3	1.7	1.3
Real Soacha	1.7	1.6	1.8	2.2

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	10.26%	16.92%	11.11%	11.59%
16-30	12.82%	16.92%	22.22%	18.84%
31-45	16.67%	12.31%	14.29%	17.39%
46-60	19.23%	13.85%	14.29%	13.04%
61-75	11.54%	12.31%	12.70%	14.49%
76-90	29.49%	27.69%	25.40%	24.64%

Team Comparison

75%

Form

25%

59%

Attack

41%

55%

Defense

45%

67%

Poisson

33%

H2H

45%

Goals

55%

59%

Total

42%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Jaguares	5-0	1-4	2-4	5-2	5 / 4	4 / 5
Real Soacha	5-2	2-4	1-3	6-0	5 / 4	3 / 6

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Jaguares	8	6	2	4	2	2
Real Soacha	5	4	1	4	1	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Jaguares	2	100.00%	0	0%	—	—
Real Soacha	5	100.00%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-04-29	Den Bosch	2 - 3 FT	Almere City FC
2026-04-29	Den Bosch	2 - 3 FT	Almere City FC
2026-04-06	Almere City FC	1 - 2 FT	Den Bosch
2025-11-21	Den Bosch	5 - 2 FT	Almere City FC
2025-08-01	Almere City FC	1 - 1 FT	Den Bosch
2023-05-12	Den Bosch	2 - 2 FT	Almere City FC

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.85	Homepage market
Draw	3.10	Homepage market
Away win	4.50	Homepage market
2.5 goals market	2.30	Homepage market
BTTS market	2.25	Homepage market

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
56'	Real Soacha	O. Acosta	Goal	Normal Goal
55'	Jaguares	D. Lopez	Goal	Penalty
45'	Real Soacha	J. Amaya	Goal	Normal Goal