Al-Gharafa 4-1 Al Sadd: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
πŸ† Emir Cup 🌍 Qatar
Sat, May 9 2026 Β· 14:30
FT
πŸ† Emir Cup
🌍 Qatar
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
2.25
League avg: 1.70
Both
5.00
League avg: 5.70
Away
2.75
League avg: 4.00
1X2 Probability
Home
56%
ELO-based: 25%
Draw
19%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
25%
ELO-based: 51%
Goal Probability
2.5+
85%
3.5+
64%
BTTS
86%
Best Score Tips
2 - 26%
2 - 36%
1 - 26%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Al-Gharafa vs Al Sadd

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Al-Gharafa vs Al Sadd.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Al Sadd
01234
Al-Gharafa 0 0.7% 1.9% 2.5% 2.3% 1.6%
1 1.5% 4.2% 5.7% 5.3% 3.6%
2 1.7% 4.7% 6.4% 5.9% 4.1%
3 1.3% 3.5% 4.8% 4.4% 3.0%
4 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 1.7%
ELO Overview
Home
1486+42
League
1501Β±0
Away
1611+14
ELO Verdict
Away edge, High confidence, low upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Al-Gharafa14861534151514981392+42
Al Sadd16111620157318601383+14
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Al-Gharafaβ€”3930051WWW
Al Saddβ€”39300126WWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Al-Gharafa 3 100% 23% 95% 1.7 0.3
Al Sadd 3 100% 55% 73% 4.0 2.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Al-Gharafa 2.0 1.0 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.3
Al Sadd 2.0 5.0 4.0 1.0 2.5 2.0
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Al-Gharafa 1.7 2.0 0.3 0.5
Al Sadd 4.0 5.0 2.0 2.5
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 25.00% 100.00%
16-30 50.00% 25.00%
31-45 50.00% 16.67%
46-60 8.33% 16.67%
61-75 8.33% 33.33%
76-90 33.33% 33.33%
Team Comparison
5%
Form
5%
29%
Attack
71%
86%
Defense
14%
61%
Poisson
39%
15%
H2H
85%
3%
Goals
7%
45%
Total
55%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Al-Gharafa 2-0 0-1 2 / 1 1 / 0
Al Sadd 2-1 1-4 2 / 6 1 / 4
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Al-Gharafa 2 1 1 0 0 0
Al Sadd 0 0 0 0 0 0
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Al-Gharafa 1 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Al Sadd 2 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-01-31 Al-Gharafa 1 - 3 FT Al Sadd
2025-09-01 Al-Gharafa 3 - 3 FT Al Sadd
2025-08-28 Al Sadd 2 - 0 FT Al-Gharafa
2025-05-14 Al-Gharafa 2 - 2 FT Al Sadd
2025-02-27 Al-Gharafa 0 - 4 FT Al Sadd
2024-09-26 Al Sadd 4 - 2 FT Al-Gharafa
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 5.00 Homepage market
Draw 4.50 Homepage market
Away win 1.45 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.36 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+1' Al-Gharafa Y. Brahimi Goal Assist: A. Surag
90+1' Al-Gharafa F. Diaz subst Out: D. Traore
88' Al Sadd J. Dilrosun Goal Assist: Roberto Firmino
86' Al Sadd Roberto Firmino Card Yellow Card
83' Al-Gharafa A. Al Ganehi subst Out: A. Djalo
76' Al-Gharafa A. Gunnarsson subst Out: J. Hamed
72' Al Sadd Paulo Otavio subst Out: J. Dilrosun
67' Al Sadd A. Soria subst Out: Roberto Firmino
65' Al Sadd Paulo Otavio Card Yellow Card
63' Al-Gharafa Y. Brahimi Goal Assist: A. Gunnarsson
46' Al Sadd H. Ali subst Out: T. Salman
46' Al Sadd R. Saiss subst Out: M. Camara
27' Al-Gharafa Y. Brahimi Goal Assist: F. Sassi
21' Al-Gharafa F. Sassi Goal Assist: A. Al Ganehi
20' Al Sadd Giovani subst Out: H. Ali