Expected Goals
1.25 (league 0.79)
0.44 (league 0.68)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.6% | 30.1% | 13.1% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.1%
0 - 0
18.5%
2 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| DSC | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pikine | 0 | 18.5% | 8.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.1% | 10.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 14.4% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Pikine carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 61 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Pikine +15.7, DSC +17.9.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Pikine
vs
DSC
Elo gapPikine +61
Home / draw / away45% / 23% / 32%
Expected home share59%
Combined Elo2994.4
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2994.4
Elo home share
59%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Pikine | DSC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1510 | 1484.4 |
| Form Elo | 1507.7 | 1481.8 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1506.9 | 1499.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1377.2 | 1425.3 |
| Defense Elo | 1664.2 | 1539.8 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +15.7 | +17.9 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Pikine last-5 Elo change: +15.7; DSC last-5 Elo change: +17.9.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pikine | DSC |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 100% |
| Defense | 33% | 0% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
47%
FT probability
2.5+
33%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pikine | DSC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 25 |
| Wins | 33% | 23% | 28% | 23% | 8% | 16% |
| Draws | 42% | 46% | 44% | 54% | 58% | 56% |
| Loses | 25% | 31% | 28% | 23% | 33% | 28% |
PikineDLWDDWDDDWDWDLDLLLDLWLWWD
DSCWDLWDDDDWDDDDLDLDLLDDLWDL
League goals
| Metric | Pikine | DSC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 10 | 18 | 15 | 7 | 22 |
| GF avg | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 31 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pikine | DSC | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 40% | 40% | 56% | 72% |
| 1.5 | 16% | 16% | 16% | 28% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 0% | 8% | 12% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pikine | DSC | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 7 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 8 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pikine | DSC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pikine | DSC |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 5-2 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-4 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pikine | DSC |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 67% | 33% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 82% | 18% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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