Union Magdalena 3-0 Real Cartagena: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow
FT
Tue, May 12 2026 Β· 21:00
FT
πŸ† Primera B
🌍 Colombia
🏟️ TBA
Pre-Match Predictions
Expected Goals
Home
1.05
League avg: 1.70
Both
1.85
League avg: 3.20
Away
0.80
League avg: 1.50
1X2 Probability
Home
30%
ELO-based: 35%
Draw
39%
ELO-based: 24%
Away
31%
ELO-based: 41%
Goal Probability
2.5+
44%
3.5+
31%
BTTS
63%
Best Score Tips
1 - 017%
0 - 016%
1 - 113%
Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Union Magdalena vs Real Cartagena.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.
FT Score Probability Grid
Real Cartagena
01234
Union Magdalena 0 15.7% 12.6% 5.0% 1.3% 0.3%
1 16.5% 13.2% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3%
2 8.7% 6.9% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
3 3.0% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
ELO Overview
Home
1540+21
League
1475Β±0
Away
1566-20
ELO Verdict
Away edge, Low confidence, high upset risk
ELOOverallFormH/AAttackDefenseLast 5 +-
Union Magdalena15401556151015511525+21
Real Cartagena15661555152015631560-20
League Snapshot
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAForm
Union Magdalena2183611343118LWDWL
Real Cartagena518339632716LLDWW
Recent Team Form
TeamPlayedFormAttackDefenseGF avgGA avg
Union Magdalena 5 47% 100% 14% 1.4 1.2
Real Cartagena 5 47% 71% 29% 1.0 1.0
Goal Trends
TeamGF HGF AGF TotGA HGA AGA Tot
Union Magdalena 1.6 1.9 1.7 1.0 1.0 1.0
Real Cartagena 2.2 0.6 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.9
Goals Trends, home + away avg.
TeamsGFGF H/AGAGA H/A
Union Magdalena 1.7 1.6 1.0 1.0
Real Cartagena 1.5 0.6 0.9 0.5
Goal Minutes
MinHome ForAway ForHome AgainstAway Against
0-15 12.90% 7.41% 16.67% 6.25%
16-30 16.13% 22.22% 22.22% 18.75%
31-45 19.35% 37.04% 33.33% 25.00%
46-60 9.68% 7.41% 16.67% 18.75%
61-75 22.58% 11.11% 5.56% 31.25%
76-90 19.35% 14.81% 5.56%
Team Comparison
5%
Form
5%
58%
Attack
42%
45%
Defense
55%
53%
Poisson
47%
29%
H2H
71%
38%
Goals
62%
46%
Total
55%
Biggest Results
TeamWin HWin ALoss HLoss AGF H/AGA H/A
Union Magdalena 4-2 1-3 0-2 2-1 4 / 3 2 / 2
Real Cartagena 4-0 0-1 1-3 1-0 4 / 1 3 / 1
Clean sheets & failed to score
TeamCSCS HCS AFTSFTS HFTS A
Union Magdalena 5 3 2 3 3 0
Real Cartagena 7 3 4 3 0 3
Penalties
TeamScoredScored %MissedMissed %WonCommitted
Union Magdalena 4 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Real Cartagena 5 100.00% 0 0% β€” β€”
Recent H2H
DateHomeScoreAway
2026-05-09 Real Cartagena 2 - 1 FT Union Magdalena
2026-03-23 Real Cartagena 2 - 1 FT Union Magdalena
2024-08-25 Real Cartagena 2 - 0 FT Union Magdalena
2024-03-11 Union Magdalena 2 - 2 FT Real Cartagena
2021-08-31 Union Magdalena 1 - 0 FT Real Cartagena
2021-02-15 Union Magdalena 2 - 1 FT Real Cartagena
Best Odds Snapshot
MarketBest oddBookmaker
Home win 1.95 Homepage market
Draw 3.30 Homepage market
Away win 3.80 Homepage market
2.5 goals market 1.95 Homepage market
Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.
Match Events
MinTeamPlayerTypeDetail
90+4' Union Magdalena Card Yellow Card
90+4' Real Cartagena C. Florez Card Yellow Card
90+1' Union Magdalena J. Mercado subst Out: J. Perez
88' Union Magdalena A. Carreno subst Out: J. Romero
88' Real Cartagena F. Montero subst Out: C. Florez
88' Real Cartagena C. Graciano subst Out: L. Yanes
84' Union Magdalena J. Lerma subst Out: M. Cervantes
84' Union Magdalena J. Giraldo subst Out: O. Surmay
84' Union Magdalena G. Arrieta subst Out: M. Ballesteros
80' Union Magdalena A. Carreno Goal Penalty
73' Real Cartagena Card Yellow Card
71' Real Cartagena A. Escobar Card Red Card
71' Real Cartagena C. Paternina subst Out: J. A. Solarte Espana
71' Real Cartagena M. Manotas subst Out: A. Melendez
71' Real Cartagena D. Pino subst Out: J. Nieva
71' Union Magdalena V. Cabezas Card Yellow Card
68' Union Magdalena A. Carreno Goal Penalty
62' Union Magdalena J. Lerma Card Yellow Card
35' Union Magdalena G. Arrieta Goal Normal Goal
34' Union Magdalena A. Carreno Card Yellow Card
League Standings
Local standings cache Β· Primera B 2026
TeamPosMPPtsWDLGFGAGDForm
Quindio Finals 1 5 10 3 1 1 4 2 2 LWWDW
Envigado 2 5 8 2 2 1 5 3 2 WDDWL
Internacional Palmira 3 5 6 1 3 1 1 1 0 WDDDL
Tigres FC 4 5 3 1 0 4 2 6 -4 LLLLW
Union Magdalena Finals 1 4 7 2 1 1 7 3 4 WLWDW
Real Cartagena 2 4 7 2 1 1 4 4 0 LWWDL
Barranquilla 3 4 5 1 2 1 3 3 0 DWLDW
Bogota FC 4 4 2 0 2 2 2 6 -4 DLLDW
Internacional Palmira Next group phase 1 15 38 12 2 1 29 13 16 WDDDL
Union Magdalena Next group phase 2 15 32 10 2 3 27 15 12 WLWDW
Quindio Next group phase 3 15 31 9 4 2 20 10 10 LWWDW
Envigado Next group phase 4 15 29 9 2 4 24 14 10 WDDWL
Real Cartagena Next group phase 5 15 26 7 5 3 23 15 8 LWWDL
Bogota FC Next group phase 6 15 23 6 5 4 16 14 2 DLLDW
Barranquilla Next group phase 7 15 20 6 2 7 21 20 1 DWLDW
Tigres FC Next group phase 8 15 20 5 5 5 15 14 1 LLLLW
Ind. Yumbo 9 15 19 4 7 4 13 14 -1 DDLWL
Patriotas 10 15 17 4 5 6 13 17 -4 LWWLD
Orsomarso 11 15 17 4 5 6 13 17 -4 DLLDW
Popayan 12 15 13 2 7 6 15 20 -5 LDDDD
Real Soacha 13 15 13 2 7 6 14 19 -5 DLDLD
Leones FC 14 15 10 2 4 9 8 24 -16 DWLLL
Depor FC 15 15 9 1 6 8 12 23 -11 LLLDW
Real Santander 16 15 7 1 4 10 9 23 -14 LLLLL