Australia W 3-1 Mexico W: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Australia W 3-1 Mexico W: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Friendlies Women 🌍 World

Tue, Jun 9 2026 · 09:00

Australia W

3 - 1

Mexico W

🏆 Friendlies Women

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.15

League avg: 2.30

Both

0.65

League avg: 3.30

Away

0.50

League avg: 1.00

1X2 Probability

Home

10%

ELO-based: 40%

Draw

51%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

39%

ELO-based: 36%

Goal Probability

2.5+

26%

3.5+

14%

BTTS

28%

Best Score Tips

0 - 052%

0 - 126%

1 - 08%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Australia W vs Mexico W

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Australia W vs Mexico W.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Mexico W
		0	1	2	3	4
Australia W	0	52.4%	26.0%	6.5%	1.1%	0.1%
	1	7.9%	3.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
	2	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1612+18

League

1508±0

Away

1597+14

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Low confidence, high upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Australia W	1612	1630	1558	1649	1608	+18
Mexico W	1597	1610	1515	1724	1609	+14

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Australia W	—	3	6	2	0	1	7	1	WWL
Mexico W	—	2	6	2	0	0	2	0	WW

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Australia W	3	67%	100%	86%	2.3	0.3
Mexico W	2	100%	29%	100%	1.0	0.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Australia W	2.5	2.0	2.3	0.5	0.0	0.3
Mexico W	1.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Australia W	2.3	2.5	0.3	0.5
Mexico W	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against
0-15	14.29%
16-30	14.29%
31-45	14.29%
46-60	28.57%
61-75
76-90	28.57%	100.00%	100.00%

Team Comparison

Form

78%

Attack

22%

Defense

Poisson

H2H

67%

Goals

33%

61%

Total

39%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Australia W	5-0	0-2	0-1		5 / 2	1 / 0
Mexico W	1-0	0-1			1 / 1	0 / 0

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Australia W	2	1	1	1	1	0
Mexico W	2	1	1	0	0	0

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Australia W	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Mexico W	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-06-06	Australia W	0 - 1 FT	Mexico W
2024-04-10	Mexico W	0 - 2 FT	Australia W

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	2.00	Bet365
Draw	3.50	Pinnacle
Away win	3.65	10Bet
Over 2.5	1.80	10Bet
Under 2.5	2.00	Bet365
BTTS Yes	1.73	Bet365
BTTS No	2.01	Marathonbet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
88'	Australia W	K. Torpey	subst	Out: J. Rankin
86'	Australia W	A. Kennedy	subst	Out: A. Murphy
86'	Australia W	M. Fowler	subst	Out: R. Siemsen
86'	Mexico W	A. Delgado	subst	Out: F. Servin
78'	Mexico W	D. Ordonez	subst	Out: M. Sanchez
72'	Australia W	H. Raso	subst	Out: H. McNamara
72'	Australia W	S. Kerr	subst	Out: L. McKenna
72'	Mexico W	R. Reyes	subst	Out: K. Robles
72'	Mexico W	M. Saldivar	subst	Out: V. Corral
72'	Mexico W	J. A. Casarez	subst	Out: K. Palacios
72'	Mexico W	K. Nieto	subst	Out: A. Soto
70'	Australia W	C. Foord	Goal	Assist: K. Torpey
65'	Australia W	C. Rule	Card	Yellow Card
48'	Mexico W	G. Espinoza	Card	Yellow Card
46'	Australia W	W. Heatley	subst	Out: C. Rule
36'	Australia W	E. Barreras	Goal	Own Goal
26'	Mexico W	D. Ordonez	Goal	Assist: M. Saldivar
22'	Australia W	A. Kennedy	Goal	Normal Goal