Netherlands 2-1 Uzbekistan: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Netherlands 2-1 Uzbekistan: Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review | footywow

🏆 Friendlies 🌍 World

Mon, Jun 8 2026 · 18:45

Netherlands

2 - 1

Uzbekistan

🏆 Friendlies

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

1.50

League avg: 1.00

Both

3.76

League avg: 3.00

Away

2.26

League avg: 2.00

1X2 Probability

Home

30%

ELO-based: 42%

Draw

26%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

44%

ELO-based: 34%

Goal Probability

2.5+

55%

3.5+

33%

BTTS

58%

Best Score Tips

1 - 29%

1 - 18%

1 - 37%

Post-Match Analysis & Prediction Review

Post-match analysis: Netherlands vs Uzbekistan

This full-time post-match analysis compares the pre-match prediction signals, 1X2 probabilities, expected goals, goal markets, BTTS angle, score tips, final score and available full-time match stats for Netherlands vs Uzbekistan.

Prediction review loading: the final-score comparison and full-time stats assessment are prepared from the fixture data on this page.

FT Score Probability Grid

		Uzbekistan
		0	1	2	3	4
Netherlands	0	2.3%	5.2%	5.9%	4.5%	2.5%
	1	3.5%	7.9%	8.9%	6.7%	3.8%
	2	2.6%	5.9%	6.7%	5.0%	2.8%
	3	1.3%	3.0%	3.4%	2.5%	1.4%
	4	0.5%	1.1%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%

ELO Overview

Home

1579+5

League

1508±0

Away

1543-12

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Netherlands	1579	1582	1529	1669	1561	+5
Uzbekistan	1543	1526	1497	1532	1566	-12

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Netherlands	—	3	4	1	1	1	3	3	WDL
Uzbekistan	—	3	4	1	1	1	6	6	DWL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Netherlands	3	44%	18%	82%	1.0	1.0
Uzbekistan	3	44%	35%	65%	2.0	2.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Netherlands	1.0	0.0	1.0	1.0	0.0	1.0
Uzbekistan	3.0	0.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	2.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Netherlands	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0
Uzbekistan	2.0	0.0	2.0	2.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15			25.00%	16.67%
16-30			50.00%	33.33%
31-45	50.00%	16.67%
46-60	50.00%	16.67%		16.67%
61-75		33.33%
76-90			25.00%	16.67%

Team Comparison

Form

33%

Attack

67%

Defense

33%

Poisson

H2H

Goals

Total

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Netherlands	2-1		0-1		2 / 0	1 / 0
Uzbekistan	4-2			2-0	4 / 0	2 / 2

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Netherlands	0	0	0	1	1	0
Uzbekistan	0	0	0	1	0	1

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Netherlands	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Uzbekistan	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker
Home win	1.31	Betano
Draw	6.53	1xBet
Away win	12.00	1xBet
Over 2.5	1.63	1xBet
Under 2.5	2.55	10Bet
BTTS Yes	1.98	Marathonbet
BTTS No	1.95	10Bet

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.

Match Stats

Stat	Netherlands	Uzbekistan
expected_goals	—	—
Ball Possession	65%	35%
Total Shots	15	8
Shots on Goal	4	1
Shots off Goal	8	3
Blocked Shots	3	4
Shots insidebox	11	2
Shots outsidebox	4	6
Corner Kicks	3	3
Offsides	2	2
Fouls	13	14
Yellow Cards	1	1
Red Cards	1	0
Goalkeeper Saves	0	1
Total passes	547	288
Passes accurate	493	224
Passes %	90%	78%
goals_prevented	—	—

Match Events

Min	Team	Player	Type	Detail
90+8'	Netherlands	C. Gakpo	Goal	Penalty
90+2'	Uzbekistan	I. Sergeev	Goal	Normal Goal
87'	Netherlands	G. Til	Card	Red Card
77'	Uzbekistan	E. Shomurodov	subst	Out: I. Sergeev
77'	Uzbekistan	A. Fayzullaev	subst	Out: J. Iskanderov
75'	Netherlands	C. Summerville	Card	Yellow Card
72'	Netherlands	F. de Jong	subst	Out: G. Til
67'	Netherlands	B. Verbruggen	subst	Out: M. Flekken
67'	Uzbekistan	R. Ashurmatov	Card	Yellow Card
65'	Netherlands	D. Malen	subst	Out: B. Brobbey
54'	Uzbekistan	O. Urunov	subst	Out: D. Khamdamov
32'	Netherlands	C. Gakpo	Goal	Penalty