F

Ethiopia vs Malawi Prediction, Odds & Stats | Friendlies

NS

🏆 Friendlies 🌍 World

Tue, Jun 9 2026 · 12:00

NS

Ethiopia

NS

Malawi

🏆 Friendlies

🌍 World

🏟️ TBA

Pre-Match Predictions

Expected Goals

Home

0.76

League avg: 1.00

Both

0.91

League avg: 1.00

Away

0.15

League avg: 0.00

1X2 Probability

Home

47%

ELO-based: 43%

Draw

44%

ELO-based: 24%

Away

9%

ELO-based: 33%

Goal Probability

2.5+

22%

3.5+

10%

BTTS

29%

Best Score Tips

0 - 040%

1 - 031%

2 - 012%

FT Score Probability Grid

		Malawi
		0	1	2	3	4
Ethiopia	0	40.3%	6.0%	0.5%	0.0%	0.0%
	1	30.6%	4.6%	0.3%	0.0%	0.0%
	2	11.6%	1.7%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%
	3	2.9%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
	4	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

ELO Overview

Home

1511+9

League

1507±0

Away

1461-30

ELO Verdict

Home edge, Medium confidence, medium upset risk

ELO	Overall	Form	H/A	Attack	Defense	Last 5 +-
Ethiopia	1511	1550	1519	1518	1516	+9
Malawi	1461	1416	1484	1415	1557	-30

League Snapshot

Team	Pos	MP	Pts	W	D	L	GF	GA	Form
Ethiopia	—	1	3	1	0	0	1	0	W
Malawi	—	3	0	0	0	3	0	3	LLL

Recent Team Form

Team	Played	Form	Attack	Defense	GF avg	GA avg
Ethiopia	1	100%	7%	100%	1.0	0.0
Malawi	3	0%	0%	79%	0.0	1.0

Goal Trends

Team	GF H	GF A	GF Tot	GA H	GA A	GA Tot
Ethiopia	1.0	0.0	1.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
Malawi	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0

Goals Trends, home + away avg.

Teams	GF	GF H/A	GA	GA H/A
Ethiopia	1.0	1.0	0.0	0.0
Malawi	0.0	0.0	1.0	1.0

Goal Minutes

Min	Home For	Away For	Home Against	Away Against
0-15	100.00%			50.00%
16-30
31-45
46-60
61-75				50.00%
76-90

Team Comparison

1%

Form

%

1%

Attack

%

1%

Defense

%

1%

Poisson

%

64%

H2H

36%

75%

Goals

25%

7%

Total

31%

Biggest Results

Team	Win H	Win A	Loss H	Loss A	GF H/A	GA H/A
Ethiopia	1-0				1 / 0	0 / 0
Malawi				1-0	0 / 0	0 / 1

Clean sheets & failed to score

Team	CS	CS H	CS A	FTS	FTS H	FTS A
Ethiopia	1	1	0	0	0	0
Malawi	0	0	0	3	0	3

Penalties

Team	Scored	Scored %	Missed	Missed %	Won	Committed
Ethiopia	0	0%	0	0%	—	—
Malawi	0	0%	0	0%	—	—

Recent H2H

Date	Home	Score	Away
2026-06-06	Ethiopia	1 - 0 FT	Malawi
2023-06-20	Ethiopia	0 - 0 FT	Malawi
2022-06-05	Malawi	2 - 1 FT	Ethiopia
2021-03-17	Ethiopia	4 - 0 FT	Malawi

Best Odds Snapshot

Market	Best odd	Bookmaker

Best available odds from cached bookmaker data. No live bookmaker calls are made on this page.